CA-11: McNerney Declares Victory, Too

Dems are feeling some California love tonight:

California Rep. Jerry McNerney claimed victory Wednesday after the latest vote tally put the second-term Democrat up by 1,681 votes, but Republican David Harmer accused McNerney of a premature celebration.

“Congressman Jerry McNerney has won re-election in California’s 11th Congressional District,” McNerney campaign manager Doug Greven said in a statement. “With the vast majority of votes tallied, the results are clear. Congressman McNerney now has an insurmountable lead.”

Harmer is refusing to concede, and the McNerney camp estimates that there are 11,000 absentee and provisional votes outstanding in San Joaquin and Contra Costa and 700 in the more McNerney-friendly Alameda and Santa Clara counties. Harmer would need to utterly romp among the outstanding votes in order to win – and that’s very likely a fridge too far for him.

46 thoughts on “CA-11: McNerney Declares Victory, Too”

  1. And how to win it. The Central Valley was mostly a killing field for CA Dems this cycle, but somehow he managed to win (again). Congrats.

    And again, the CDP must be the luckiest state party this cycle!

  2. I had to do it. Now onto to more technical things. McNerney might be someone who actually benefits from the redistricting commission, as his new district will be something more contained within Alameda and Contra Costa.

  4. He’s come a long way since then. Harmer’s no push-over and I’d have figured McNerney would be DOA with advance knowledge of the GOP tidal wave. But he’s certainly proven himself as a capable politician; good on him.

  6. Behind by 11k, but 300k votes are outstanding in Bay Area where she won 58% to 34% and 200k are in LA where she won by 58% to 39%.  So, half of the outstanding votes are going to break her way by 19-24 points.

    Based on the straight math she wins by 24,000.  With a bump for late ballots she wins by 30,000.

  7. (and I might bring this back up later), how Larry Sabato manages to consider himself an impassionate observer, from his latest blog:

    We beg to differ. If President Obama is smart, he will try to salvage his term in the White House by announcing now that he will not undertake a hopeless campaign for reelection, and instead form a bipartisan national unity government to try to hold the nation together until his successor, inevitably a Republican, is selected in November 2012.

    There’s only one logical conclusion to be drawn: President Barack Obama is down for the count, will have an early lame duck presidency, and will be out of the White House in two years.

  8. between a candidate declaring victory and the vote being certified by the SoS or Election Board? I’m sorry, but if a Democrat or Repubican or Independent went and declared victory on their own, whether they are ahead or not, I would find it skeptical. I don’t care if they have their internal polling numbers or own internal tally, it’s still pretty biased when a political candidate certifies his or her own election results.

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