In Anzalone Liszt’s poll for the Chicago Teamsters Joint Council 25, Rahm is ahead with 42%. Moseley Braun has 26%, Chico 10%, and Del Valle 7%. In a run-off Rahm beats Moseley Braun 53%-31%. Rahm’s favorables are also very good: he’s at 68%-22%, Moseley Braun has 50%-41%, Chico 44%-20%, and Del Valle 30%-18%.
…rep. ted deutch is a BIG springsteen fan.
3 Questions:
Answer any or all of them.
1. Of the politicians who have taken office in the past 4 years (the 2006-2010 classes) who do you think will be talked up as possible presidential and vice presidential nominees come 2016?
2. Who do you think will be overrated?
3. Of the people who have the best odds, or who you’re currently rooting for, who would the the other party be best nominating against them? e.g. would Brian Schweitzer be the ideal opponent for Chris Christie? Susana Martinez for Andrew Cuomo?
Board of Supervisors votes 10-1 (Chris Daly only no vote) to make City Administrator Ed Lee interim mayor.
And in other news, Ahnold is catching a ton of flak for commuting the sentence of the son of former assembly speaker and political ally Fabian Nunez. Nunez’s son was serving 16 years in prison for his involvement in a brawl that left one person dead and another one severely injured.
What Third party do you think will have the most success in future election and reasons why (can be based on 2010 results)
I did a variation of this activity before but that was with a different Congress so lets do it again. Look at all the current officeholder across the US pick your choice to be your Governor, 2 Senators and Congressman. To make it easier lets say all newly elected Governors are now in office.
Mine:
Senators
Michael Bennet- he’s a fave of my mine who I think will be long serving and powerful. Chuck Schumer- I want the clout and I like him.
Congressman
John Yarmuth. He’s a nice guy and a good representative. I’ve met him and I know he’d serve me well in Congress.
Governor
John Hickenlooper- I mentioned this already but he is my fave of the cycle. I think he’s a good executive who will think out of the box and be a real problem solver. That’s what I would want in my Governor.
Both Allen West and David Herrera seem like they are ripe for the picking. Also no matter how republican the legislature is if they have to follow the guidelines put out by the amendment that won in 10 there is no way that the delegation will get more republican. I’d expect a dem seat out of central florida and if were lucky maybe one more out of the tampa/st. pete area and maybe one out of Tallahassee. I don’t want to perdict south florida as the map is so fucked up there but it could be a gold mine depending on how the south florida cuban districts are drawn.
Um, interesting, but I doubt that the party would consider her to be a first tier choice. She let herself get backed into a corner and made into a laughingstock last year, spoiling what they thought was a sure thing.
Not sure if this is the right place to ask this, but I can’t figure this out… I’m new here, and I have a map for PA that I’d like to post in a diary, but I can’t figure out for the life of me how to post a diary. Help?
Also, how do you get your CD, etc. to show up in comments?
What’s your favorite Senate duo? Doesn’t necessarily have to be chosen by how well they work together, just what state you think has the best two senators.
For my money I say New York, but Oregon, Minnesota, and Colorado are close. Somewhere behind them is California and New Mexico.
Schumer is a tough Democrat, and we have very few of those. He’s unabashedly liberal and not afraid to throw punches. I don’t know if his overall aggressiveness is a detriment to the national conversation or not, but, with the other side constantly lobbing bombs, it’s good to know we’ve got someone in a leadership position sending them back.
I was an early and avid supporter of Gillibrand. I must have signed five letters petitioning Gov. Patterson to appoint her to Clinton’s seat. She’s been in the Senate only two years and has already made a huge name for herself. Taking the lead on important issues like DADT repeal and 9/11 responders bill, she has consistently proven that freshmen senators don’t have to sit quietly in the back. Also, she’s a complete policy wonk from what I hear. I like to know there are senators actually reading the bills they vote on thoroughly.
U.S. Rep. Gabrielle Giffords of Arizona was shot outside a grocery store in Tucson while holding a public event, an eyewitness reported Saturday.
Giffords, who was re-elected to her third term in November, was hosting her first “Congress on Your Corner” event at the Safeway in northwest Tucson when a gunman ran up and started shooting. At least five other people, including members of her staff, were hurt, according to Peter Michaels, news director of Arizona Public Media.
The problem is, if you buy the last poll, Del Valle could drop out, leaving Chico to consolidate the Hispanic vote…and Chico would still trail Moseley Braun by a decent margin. The question isn’t WHO will be Emanuel’s run-off opponent. It’s WHETHER Emanuel crosses the run-off mark to begin with.
I want not to publish maps what help to the republicans making GOP gerrymanders but after look to this state these are my conclussions.
– I think they will find safe districts with enough high R+ rating because many democrats from NC are able for win in R+low districts.
– The republicans can not go more far than a 8R-1S-4D model without begin to endanger some of the republican districts. One D+ less would mean like three swing more. North Carolina is enough democrat and the democrats from North Carolina are enough moderate to conservative for make not viable other model more favorable for the republicans.
– Then, they are not reason for think G Butterfield, G Price, M Watt and M Miller are in risk. The republicans can put someone out of his district (Price or Miller) but this would have not big sense since an overall point.
– M McIntyre is in a good geographical position for keep his district as swing with R+low rating. In his area I was able to draw a 58% Obama district (but we will see not that). They are not chance for put him in a R+10 district without begin to endanger other neighbor republican seats. I was not able for put all the area in R+10 districts, and M McIntyre is able for win R+5 even in time of republican wave.
– H Shuler and L Kissell have high chance of lost his current districts, but still they can fight in his new district, despite they must run against some republican incumbent, or despite they need to move for run in some open seat.
Not necessarily as bad as I would’ve thought. No doubt she’d steamroll through a general election, but at least she’s above 50% with a very conservative state GOP.
also, the sox will never win, the war with King George III will never succeed and no one in boston will ever drive well (one out of four i guess).
http://blogs.suntimes.com/swee…
In Anzalone Liszt’s poll for the Chicago Teamsters Joint Council 25, Rahm is ahead with 42%. Moseley Braun has 26%, Chico 10%, and Del Valle 7%. In a run-off Rahm beats Moseley Braun 53%-31%. Rahm’s favorables are also very good: he’s at 68%-22%, Moseley Braun has 50%-41%, Chico 44%-20%, and Del Valle 30%-18%.
…rep. ted deutch is a BIG springsteen fan.
3 Questions:
Answer any or all of them.
1. Of the politicians who have taken office in the past 4 years (the 2006-2010 classes) who do you think will be talked up as possible presidential and vice presidential nominees come 2016?
2. Who do you think will be overrated?
3. Of the people who have the best odds, or who you’re currently rooting for, who would the the other party be best nominating against them? e.g. would Brian Schweitzer be the ideal opponent for Chris Christie? Susana Martinez for Andrew Cuomo?
Board of Supervisors votes 10-1 (Chris Daly only no vote) to make City Administrator Ed Lee interim mayor.
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/…
And in other news, Ahnold is catching a ton of flak for commuting the sentence of the son of former assembly speaker and political ally Fabian Nunez. Nunez’s son was serving 16 years in prison for his involvement in a brawl that left one person dead and another one severely injured.
http://blogs.sacbee.com/capito…
What Third party do you think will have the most success in future election and reasons why (can be based on 2010 results)
I did a variation of this activity before but that was with a different Congress so lets do it again. Look at all the current officeholder across the US pick your choice to be your Governor, 2 Senators and Congressman. To make it easier lets say all newly elected Governors are now in office.
Mine:
Senators
Michael Bennet- he’s a fave of my mine who I think will be long serving and powerful. Chuck Schumer- I want the clout and I like him.
Congressman
John Yarmuth. He’s a nice guy and a good representative. I’ve met him and I know he’d serve me well in Congress.
Governor
John Hickenlooper- I mentioned this already but he is my fave of the cycle. I think he’s a good executive who will think out of the box and be a real problem solver. That’s what I would want in my Governor.
Both Allen West and David Herrera seem like they are ripe for the picking. Also no matter how republican the legislature is if they have to follow the guidelines put out by the amendment that won in 10 there is no way that the delegation will get more republican. I’d expect a dem seat out of central florida and if were lucky maybe one more out of the tampa/st. pete area and maybe one out of Tallahassee. I don’t want to perdict south florida as the map is so fucked up there but it could be a gold mine depending on how the south florida cuban districts are drawn.
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories…
They won’t say why, but I don’t feel good about this.
http://tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo…
Um, interesting, but I doubt that the party would consider her to be a first tier choice. She let herself get backed into a corner and made into a laughingstock last year, spoiling what they thought was a sure thing.
Steve King got passed over for a subcommittee chairmanship and thinks Boehner influenced that decision, which has me wondering whether Latham may want to run in the new IA-04 after all. If he beat King in the primary, it would be smooth sailing.
Not sure if this is the right place to ask this, but I can’t figure this out… I’m new here, and I have a map for PA that I’d like to post in a diary, but I can’t figure out for the life of me how to post a diary. Help?
Also, how do you get your CD, etc. to show up in comments?
What’s your favorite Senate duo? Doesn’t necessarily have to be chosen by how well they work together, just what state you think has the best two senators.
For my money I say New York, but Oregon, Minnesota, and Colorado are close. Somewhere behind them is California and New Mexico.
Schumer is a tough Democrat, and we have very few of those. He’s unabashedly liberal and not afraid to throw punches. I don’t know if his overall aggressiveness is a detriment to the national conversation or not, but, with the other side constantly lobbing bombs, it’s good to know we’ve got someone in a leadership position sending them back.
I was an early and avid supporter of Gillibrand. I must have signed five letters petitioning Gov. Patterson to appoint her to Clinton’s seat. She’s been in the Senate only two years and has already made a huge name for herself. Taking the lead on important issues like DADT repeal and 9/11 responders bill, she has consistently proven that freshmen senators don’t have to sit quietly in the back. Also, she’s a complete policy wonk from what I hear. I like to know there are senators actually reading the bills they vote on thoroughly.
Anyone else?
Horrible news out of Arizona:
was shot today: http://www.npr.org/2011/01/08/…
Let’s pray for the best.
1. so glad gabby survived. rip to the others
2. james, your caption for the song is eerie as hell
3. frm rep. william walsh, father of jim walsh, died at 98.
http://www.nbcchicago.com/blog…
The problem is, if you buy the last poll, Del Valle could drop out, leaving Chico to consolidate the Hispanic vote…and Chico would still trail Moseley Braun by a decent margin. The question isn’t WHO will be Emanuel’s run-off opponent. It’s WHETHER Emanuel crosses the run-off mark to begin with.
I want not to publish maps what help to the republicans making GOP gerrymanders but after look to this state these are my conclussions.
– I think they will find safe districts with enough high R+ rating because many democrats from NC are able for win in R+low districts.
– The republicans can not go more far than a 8R-1S-4D model without begin to endanger some of the republican districts. One D+ less would mean like three swing more. North Carolina is enough democrat and the democrats from North Carolina are enough moderate to conservative for make not viable other model more favorable for the republicans.
– Then, they are not reason for think G Butterfield, G Price, M Watt and M Miller are in risk. The republicans can put someone out of his district (Price or Miller) but this would have not big sense since an overall point.
– M McIntyre is in a good geographical position for keep his district as swing with R+low rating. In his area I was able to draw a 58% Obama district (but we will see not that). They are not chance for put him in a R+10 district without begin to endanger other neighbor republican seats. I was not able for put all the area in R+10 districts, and M McIntyre is able for win R+5 even in time of republican wave.
– H Shuler and L Kissell have high chance of lost his current districts, but still they can fight in his new district, despite they must run against some republican incumbent, or despite they need to move for run in some open seat.
http://www.dallasnews.com/shar…
Not necessarily as bad as I would’ve thought. No doubt she’d steamroll through a general election, but at least she’s above 50% with a very conservative state GOP.
also, the sox will never win, the war with King George III will never succeed and no one in boston will ever drive well (one out of four i guess).
http://politicalwire.com/archi…
http://politicalwire.com/archi…
Excellent piece from Nathan Gonzales. Early looks can be deceiving.
http://rothenbergpoliticalrepo…
http://www.politico.com/news/s…