I love do-over polls, especially when they show numbers like this, and especially when they feature John Kasich.
Public Policy Polling (PDF) (3/10-13, Ohio voters, no trendlines):
Q: If you could do last fall’s election for Governor over again, would you vote for Democrat Ted Strickland or Republican John Kasich?
Ted Strickland (D): 55
John Kasich (R-inc): 40
Undecided: 5Q: In the election for Governor last year did you vote for Democrat Ted Strickland or Republican John Kasich, or did you not vote in the election?
Ted Strickland (D): 49
John Kasich (R-inc): 46
Didn’t vote/don’t remember: 5
(MoE: ±4.1%)
Kasich’s job approval (the first tested by PPP) is a truly miserable 35-54. PPP also posed a question on SB5, a bill which would institute “right-to-work” in the state of Ohio. This legislation, once law, would almost certainly go before the voters in the form of a ballot question, probably this November. It’s definitely helping to drag Kasich down:
Q: If Senate Bill 5, which would limit collective bargaining rights for public employees, passes the legislature and is signed by the Governor there may be a statewide vote this fall on repealing the bill. Would you vote to repeal Senate Bill 5 or would you vote to let the law stand, or are you not sure?
Would vote to repeal SB5: 54
Would vote to let the law stand: 31
Not sure: 15
(MoE: ±4.1%)
Once again, I’ll let Tom have the final words:
Of course the reality is that Democratic leaning voters did this to themselves to some extent. It’s a small sample but among those who admit they didn’t vote last fall, Strickland has a 57-13 advantage over Kaisch. It was a similar story in Wisconsin the other week where Tom Barrett led Scott Walker 59-22 among those who had stayed at home in 2010. Democratic voters simply did not understand the consequences – or didn’t care – of their not voting last fall and they’re paying the price right now. But the winners of that realization in the long run may be Barack Obama, Sherrod Brown, and Herb Kohl – these states are already looking politically a whole lot more like 2008 than 2010.
Nope, Kasich can’t be recalled. Ohio has no recall provision.
There’s some talk about trying to introduce one to the constitution, but it would probably be a difficult process.
Exactly the same as 2008. The exit poll in November was dead even. The Obama numbers and those for Sherrod Brown should be very interesting.
Kasich has plenty of time to turn things around. Terry Branstad’s approval rating was in the 30s during Iowa’s 1992 budget crisis, but he was re-elected in 1994.
It’s really too bad that Strickland lost. He was a good governor and deserved to be re-elected. On the other hand, it’s a miracle it was as close as it was, given how high Ohio’s unemployment rate is and how weak Democratic turnout was across the Midwest.
When Obama and many democratic senators are up next to these uberly unpopular republican governors. Yes things can turn around but I don’t think the public ever expected this much of a rightward turn and I don’t think they will be forgiven specially in the states where collective bargining is being thrown out.
This is the story of America’s life, at the moment. Here is a comment from a protestor on the capitol lawn here in Michigan, today, about his vote for Governor Snyder:
So, along with Dems who simply didn’t care about the consquences at the time, you also have a group of independents and non-partisans who enthusiastically voted for people simply because they weren’t Democrats not really caring who they were electing. And, the rest of us have to suffer along.
We’re expecting another 3,000 folks, at least, for tomorrows rally, and a possible occupation of the capitol.
would have caught fire against Hoekstra or Cox. I’d count on it but Snyder hit all of the right buttons for moderates. He campaigned as a nice intellectual and actually had a compromising tone at a time when Republicans were almost universally firebreathing. Then Bernero came off as the angry partisan hack. I’d expect against someone as unappealing as Hoekstra that Bernero would do really well.
Snyder was an outside, campaigned as a moderate, had a compromising image/tone, had a cool narrative and message. He even ended up winning some quiet support from the Democratic establishment. Basically he was the perfect candidate for 2010, it should come as no surprise that Bernero’s truthful attacks would bounce right off him.
we’re talking about idiotic GOP governors let’s talk about Paul LeTeabag. LePage protected his own pension from the pension changes he’s trying to push through the legislature. The guy even has the gall to call for “shared sacrifice” from everyone….except himself.
And the savings from these pension reforms isn’t going to shore up the pension fund, its being used to pay for tax cuts for the wealthy. I could understand why this guy managed to sneak through a fractured field but someone want to tell me how Mainers gave this guy GOP majorities in both the state house and the state senate?
http://thinkprogress.org/2011/…