About a week ago, anti-immigrant fanatic Lou Barletta jumped into the race against Dem Rep. Paul Kanjorski in PA-11. Barletta is the Republican mayor of Hazelton, PA and is best known for pushing his city to adopt a measure which “sought to deny business permits to companies that employ illegal immigrants, fine landlords who rent to them and require tenants to register and pay for a rental permit.” It was later found unconstitutional.
This, of course, has made Barletta immensely popular among winger circles, and David Wasserman of the Cook Political Report says that GOPers are “justifiably encouraged” by his entry into the race. Consequently, he’s moved his rating on the race from Safe Dem to Likely Dem. This still makes Kanjorski the overwhelming favorite, but it suggests that this seat might be in play.
While bluish, PA-11 is not rock-solid Dem territory – it has a PVI of D+5.5. However, Kanjorski has $1.5 million on hand, and he thumped Barletta by 13 points the last time the two faced off in 2002. (You’ll recall that was not an especially good Democratic year.)
Barletta is definitely swimming against the tide, with the economy teetering and voter disgust about the war in Iraq unchanged. But could being a one-issue candidate somehow play to his advantage? Can his anti-immigrant obsession tap into fears about the economy and push all other issues to the side? Without knowing a lot more about the particulars of this district, I just can’t say.
But SSPers, what say you? Does Barletta have any kidn of shot? Is Wasserman’s rating change justified? What’s this district like? Tell us.