Why prognosticate an election happening in a day, when I could predict an election happening a year and a day from now?!
In 2011, there are 3 gubernatorial races occuring: A Republican-held open seat in Mississippi (Barbour’s got term limits), A Republican incumbent running for re-election in Louisiana (Jindal), and a Dem. incumbent running for reelection (Beshear).
LA-GOV: Likely Republican: Jindal’s got a lot of dough and Louisiana’s turning red fast. A good candidate could make things interesting
MS-GOV: Likely R: in 2007, Barbour won by 16 points against an inexperienced opponent. Dems have a decent bench here, and could make it competitive.
KY-GOV: Toss-up/ Lean D: Beshear is up by 5 according to polls, but the rust belt’s moving away from us fast.
These races havn’t got any attention- for good reasons-but a victory in KY and MS could help drive the narrative for dems in 2012.
Bonus: the VA state senate is a complete toss-up, and the most interesting race in 2011