Tag: 1Q 2008

Just as we did yesterday for the House race scene, SSP has ranked the Senate races this year in terms of their cash-on-hand competitiveness. This measure reflects the ratio of the challenger’s cash-on-hand to that of the incumbent. The only difference is that this time, in the interest of comprehensiveness, we’ve included several candidates who are defending open seats currently held by their party (marked in italics) and slotted them in the incumbent column — because, hey, we had to stick ’em somewhere. So without further ado:

Rank	State	Candidate	Party	CoH	Incumbent*	Party	CoH	Rating
1	VA	Mark Warner	D	4,384,294	Jim Gilmore	R	208,133	2106%
2	NM	Tom Udall	D	2,582,990	Steve Pearce	R	855,203	302%
3	NM	Tom Udall	D	2,582,990	Heather Wilson	R	1,196,053	216%
4	CO	Mark Udall	D	4,236,533	Bob Schaffer	R	2,160,863	196%
5	ME	Tom Allen	D	2,687,701	Susan Collins	R	4,511,493	60%
6	MN	Al Franken	D	3,491,480	Norm Coleman	R	6,960,913	50%
7	NJ	Rob Andrews	D	2,232,312	Frank Lautenberg	D	4,702,249	47%
8	NH	Jeanne Shaheen	D	1,837,539	John Sununu	R	4,313,762	43%
9	LA	John Kennedy	R	1,623,391	Mary Landrieu	D	4,564,082	36%
10	ID	Larry LaRocco	D	253,707	Jim Risch	R	935,876	27%
11	OK	Andrew Rice	D	597,478	Jim Inhofe	R	2,221,848	27%
12	NE	Scott Kleeb	D	281,095	Mike Johanns	R	1,335,390	21%
13	AK	Mark Begich	D	204,207	Ted Stevens	R	1,318,722	15%
14	IL	Steve Sauerberg	R	1,074,982	Richard Durbin	D	7,567,277	14%
15	MS-B	Ronnie Musgrove	D	337,249	Roger Wicker	R	2,765,229	12%
16	KY	Greg Fischer	D	854,557	Mitch McConnell	R	7,741,422	11%
17	NE	Tony Raimondo	D	140,720	Mike Johanns	R	1,335,390	11%
18	NC	Kay Hagan	D	312,000	Elizabeth Dole	R	3,200,000	10%
19	KS	Jim Slattery	D	286,125	Pat Roberts	R	2,986,794	10%
20	OR	Jeff Merkley	D	473,833	Gordon Smith	R	5,149,251	9%
21	GA	Jim Martin	D	333,132	Saxby Chambliss	R	3,637,392	9%
22	KY	Bruce Lunsford	D	666,373	Mitch McConnell	R	7,741,422	9%
23	TN	Bob Tuke	D	217,093	Lamar Alexander	R	2,874,512	8%
24	SC	Buddy Witherspoon	R	257,911	Lindsey Graham	R	4,777,019	5%
25	OR	Steve Novick	D	197,007	Gordon Smith	R	5,149,251	4%
26	TX	Rick Noriega	D	329,294	John Cornyn	R	8,688,954	4%
27	WY-B	Nick Carter	D	26,743	John Barrasso	R	1,139,381	2%
28	MA	Jim Ogonowski	R	186,929	John Kerry	D	9,323,486	2%
29	AL	Vivian Figures	D	44,628	Jeff Sessions	R	4,033,195	1%
30	SD	Joel Dykstra	R	20,393	Tim Johnson	D	2,523,586	1%
31	MT	Kirk Bushman	R	8,097	Max Baucus	D	6,394,024	0%
32	SD	Sam Kephart	R	2,107	Tim Johnson	D	2,523,586	0%
33	MT	Michael Lange	R	1,976	Max Baucus	D	6,394,024	0%

A few notes:

• There are several incumbent Senators who have either not drawn challengers, or their opponents have not filed FEC reports: Biden (DE), Cochran (MS-A), Enzi (WY), Harkin (IA), Levin (MI), Pryor (AR), Reed (RI), and Rockefeller (WV).
• These numbers were compiled from the National Journal and the Senate Guru.

The deadline for congressional candidates in Indiana and North Carolina to file their extended first quarter fundraising reports passed last night.  Let’s take a look at the notable numbers (all figures are in the thousands):

A few notes:

• Andre Carson’s numbers cover 2/21-4/16, while Jon Elrod’s cover 2/21-3/31.
• All other filings cover the period from 1/1-4/16.

Nels Ackerson and Michael Montagano continue to impress in deep red districts (R+17.5 and R+16.3, respectively).  Daniel Johnson, a Democrat running against the odious Patrick McHenry, is also raising a very respectable amount of money.  Democrats truly are blessed with a deep second tier of challengers this year.

On another note, Larry Kissell’s slow fundraising pace ($106K raised, $131K cash on hand) continues to be weak, despite his presence on the DCCC’s Red to Blue program.  Kissell needs to find money fast, because he won’t have the benefit of a surprise attack this cycle.  For a top tier race, we need to be doing better here.

(Bumped – promoted by James L.)

Tuesday was the deadline for House and Senate campaigns to file their fundraising reports for the first quarter of 2008. We’ve amassed a list of noteworthy fundraising numbers for House incumbents and challengers. While this list is pretty big, it is not meant to be comprehensive. If we missed anything, please post the numbers in the comments. And remember: these numbers are adjusted for rounding. The second column shows cash-on-hand, and the third shows cycle-to-date fundraising.

Notes:

• NJ filings in italics cover the period from 12/1 through 3/31.
• IL filings in italics cover the period from 1/17 through 3/31, with the exception of IL-14 (2/18-3/31).
• All PA filings cover the period from 1/1 through 4/2.
• All IN & NC filings cover the period from 1/1 through 4/24.
• All numbers are in thousands.

A few quick notes:

• Democratic challengers who out-raised Republican incumbents: Ethan Berkowitz (AK-AL), Joshua Segall (AL-03), Bob Lord (AZ-03), Ed Chau (CA-42), Debbie Cook (CA-46), Annette Taddeo (FL-18), Raul Martinez (FL-21), Suzanne Kosmas (FL-24), Joe Garcia (FL-25), Walt Minnick (ID-01), Mark Schauer (MI-07), Kay Barnes (MO-06), Jim Hunt (MT-AL), Eric Massa (NY-29), Steve Driehaus (OH-01), Vic Wulsin (OH-02), Jane Mitakides (OH-03), Linda Ketner (SC-01) [note: her filing covers the period from 8/1-3/31, but the bulk of her fundraising was done this year], Rob Miller (SC-02), Michael Skelly (TX-07), Tom Perriello (VA-05), Judy Feder (VA-10), Darcy Burner (WA-08).
• Republican challengers who out-raised Democratic incumbents: Deborah Honeycutt (GA-13), Jim Ryun (KS-02), Anne Northup (KY-03).
• GA-12: After barely holding on in 2006, Democrat John Barrow draws a 4th tier challenger with abysmal fundraising ability. Unbelievable.
• Overall, this was a dynamite quarter for House Democrats. Highly-touted GOP candidates like Dean Andal (CA-11), Rick Goddard (GA-08), Steve Greenberg (IL-08) and Lou Barletta (PA-11) are being outpaced by their Democratic opponents, and the list of Dem challengers with burgeoning coffers absolutely dwarfs the GOP’s. It’s no small wonder that the NRCC is turning to self-funding millionaires in their candidate recruitment process this cycle.

Eight luscious Goya nectars:

VA-Sen:

     Mark Warner (D): $2.5M raised; $4.4M CoH

VA-02:

     Glenn Nye (D): $252K raised; >$220K CoH

NH-Sen:

     Jeanne Shaheen (D): ~$1.2M raised; ~$2M CoH

FL-21:

     Raul Martinez (D): >$615K raised

     Lincoln Diaz-Balart (R-inc): >$600K raised, >$1.4M CoH

KY-02:

     David Haire (D): >$200K raised

KY-03:

     John Yarmuth (D-inc): ~$250K raised

MN-01:

     Tim Walz (D-inc): $352K raised; $1.02M CoH

PA-05:

     Bill Cahir (D): $121K raised; $99K CoH (the report says otherwise, but it was obviously a tabulation error)

PA-15:

     Charlie Dent (R-inc): $167K raised; $616K CoH

TX-07:

     Joe Culberson (R-inc): $297K raised; $271K CoH

PA-03:

     Kyle Foust (D): $61K raised; $43K CoH

     Mike Waltner (D): $55K raised; $39K CoH

IL-13:

     Scott Harper (D): $134K raised; $103K CoH

AZ-08:

     Gabby Giffords (D-inc): $467K raised; $1.67M CoH

PA-11:

     Lou Barletta (R): $185K raised; $154K CoH

1Q Fundraising Results Thread | Son of… | Revenge of… | Raiders of the… | Alien vs. Predator vs… | Grandson of… | Return of…

Freeze ’em on a stick:

IA-04:

     Kurt Meyer (D): $131K raised; $109K CoH

PA-04:

     Melissa Hart (R): $141K raised; $393K CoH

     Jason Altmire (D-inc): $471K raised; $1.35M CoH

NJ-03:

     Chris Myers (R): $335K raised; $288K CoH (12/1-3/31)

     Jack Kelly (R): $306K raised; $281K CoH

AK-AL:

     Ethan Berkowitz (D): >$275K raised; $280K CoH

TX-23:

     Ciro Rodriguez (D-inc): $950K CoH

     Lyle Larson (R): $60K CoH

NM-01:

     Darren White (R): $233K raised; ~$300K CoH

CT-05:

     Chris Murphy (D-inc): >$400K raised; $1.55M CoH

1Q Fundraising Results Thread | Son of… | Revenge of… | Raiders of the… | Alien vs. Predator vs… | Grandson of…

IL-10:

     Dan Seals (D): $613K raised; $750K CoH

IL-14 (2/18-3/31; post-special):

     Bill Foster (D-inc): $724K raised; $263K CoH

     Jim Oberweis (R): $493K raised; $133K CoH

PA-11 (1/1-4/2):

     Paul Kanjorski (D-inc): $442K raised; $1.84M CoH

CT-05:

     Tony Nania (R): ~$30K-$40K raised

AZ-05:

     David Schweikert (R): $175K raised; >$500K CoH

FL-24:

     Suzanne Kosmas (D): $300K raised; $550K CoH

PA-07 (1/1-4/2):

     Craig Williams (R): $135K raised; $133K CoH

MN-02:

     John Kline (R-inc): $194K raised; $510K CoH

1Q Fundraising Results Thread | Son of… | Revenge of… | Raiders of the… | Alien vs. Predator vs…

AK-AL:

     Don Young (R-inc): ~$164K raised; <$948K CoH ($142K spent on legal bills)

     Gabrielle LeDoux (R): $150K CoH

     Diane Benson (D): $48K raised; $45K CoH

     Ethan Berkowitz (D): “significantly more” than $124K raised

AK-Sen:

     Ted Stevens (R-inc): $540K raised; $1.3M CoH

PA-10:

     Chris Hackett (R): $119K raised + $340K personal loan; $175K CoH

VA-10:

     Judy Feder (D): $310K raised; $710K CoH

AL-05:

     Parker Griffith (D): $115K raised (in one week)

AZ-03:

     Bob Lord (D): $220K raised; $630K CoH

1Q Fundraising Results Thread | Son of… | Revenge of… | Raiders of the…

CA-04:

     Tom McClintock (R): $300K raised (March only), $159K CoH

NC-Sen:

     Kay Hagan (D): >$800K raised, >$1M CoH

LA-Sen:

     Mary Landrieu (D): $1M raised, ~$4.5M CoH

     John N. Kennedy (R): $1.4M raised

GA-Sen:

     Jim Martin (D): $350K raised (since March 19)

NJ-07:

     Linda Stender (D): $430K raised, $840K CoH

     Kate Whitman (R): $230K raised

IL-10:

     Mark Kirk (R): $715K raised, $2.25M CoH (Source: House Race Hotline)

OR-05:

     Kevin Mannix (R): $110K raised (since March 5)

WA-08:

     Darcy Burner (D): >$400K raised (Update: I’ve been told by the campaign that this figure is “not accurate”.  We’ll bring you the real figure once we hear it.)

KY-Sen:

     Greg Fischer (D): $500K raised + $510K personal donation (Source: Media release)

Previous diaries:

1Q Fundraising Results Thread | Son of… | Revenge of…

Girls, rock your boys:

AZ-01:

     Ann Kirkpatrick (D): $260K raised (revised from $240K), $450K-$500K CoH

PA-08:

     Patrick Murphy (D-inc.): ~$600K raised

     Tom Manion (R): >$400K raised

SC-02:

     Joe Wilson (R-inc.): $75K raised “in the past two weeks,” >$300K CoH

Got more numbers?  Post ’em in the comments.

UPDATE:

AZ-03:

     Bob Lord (D): >$211K raised

Previous diaries:

1Q Fundraising Results Thread | Son of…

Come on, feel the noise:

FL-25:

     Joe Garcia (D): $320K raised (since mid-February)

CA-04:

     Charlie Brown (D): $225K raised

CA-26:

     Russ Warner (D): $100K raised

Feel free to post more reports in the comments.  We’ll add more numbers as we get ’em.

UPDATE:

NJ-03:

     John Adler (D): $529K raised

OH-03:

     Jane Mitakides (D): $150K raised

Yesterday’s numbers can be found here.