Cook’s New Ratings: Massive Shift to Blue

Now that everyone acknowledges that Barack Obama is the Democratic nominee, Charlie Cook has shifted ten distric rating, and boy are they huge.

Primary Aftermath: Race Ratings Change in Ten Districts: House Editor David Wasserman releases the latest updates for districts in which primaries were held on Tuesday, and explains what the conclusion of the Democratic presidential nomination fight may mean in several other districts across the country. We are changing our race ratings in ten districts where we believe Democratic chances of taking Republican-held seats have increased. With these changes, the GOP occupies 21 of the 27 seats now listed in the Toss Up column.

CA-04- OPEN (Doolittle)- Solid Republican to Likely Republican

CO-04- Marilyn Musgrave- Lean Republican to Toss Up

CT-04- Chris Shays- Lean Republican to Toss Up

IL-10- Mark Kirk- Lean Republican to Toss Up

NM-02- OPEN (Pearce)- Likely Republican to Lean Republican

NY-29- Randy Kuhl- Lean Republican to Toss Up

NC-08- Robin Hayes- Lean Republican to Toss Up

OH-01- Steve Chabot- Lean Republican to Toss Up

VA-02- Thelma Drake- Likely Republican to Lean Republican

WA-08- Dave Reichert- Lean Republican to Toss Up

Some like CO-04 and CT-04 were long overdue, but the one that stands out is OH-01. If we can take out someone like Chabot, we’ll have a VERY big night.

By what margin will Bob Shamansky win?

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