Cue the “Dems are doomed! Wave of retirements! Rats jumping ship!” narrative! Another retirement! Oh, wait… another Republican?
Rep. John Shadegg (R-Ariz.), who briefly announced his retirement last cycle but then opted to seek another term, will not run for reelection in 2010, a GOP source confirms.
Shadegg becomes the third Republican to announce his retirement in recent weeks. He joins Reps. Henry Brown (R-S.C.) and George Radanovich (R-Calif.).
Shadegg, as you might recall, attempted to retire in 2008 but thought better of it (or was made to think better of it); he faced a solid challenge from Democrat Bob Lord, although he won by double digits in the end. Looks like he decided 2010 was a safer year, in terms of helping the party retain the seat, for him to hit the exit.
Right now, all the Dems seem to have on the plate is attorney and former Gary Hart staffer Jon Hulburd, although maybe an open seat will generate some interest higher up on the totem pole (this R+9 seat in middle-class and mostly white northern Phoenix, Republican as long as it has existed, doesn’t seem to have much Democratic bench though). As for a candidate on the GOP side, Shadegg’s Chief of Staff, Sean Noble, may be interested in succeeding his boss.
UPDATE: OK, it sounds like the Dem establishment will be happy to have Jon Hulburd stay in the race: he’s about to report $300,000 raised last quarter, and that’s from donors, not from his own wallet (although apparently he can self-fund too if need be). That might change the assumptions about Shadegg’s motivations, too — not wanting to face another tough race, rather than departing out of confidence. This race will be worth keeping an eye on.
RaceTracker Wiki: AZ-03