Tag: 3Q 2008

SSP Cash Power Rankings: 3Q Senate Edition

Below is our final SSP Cash Power Index chart for the quarter, which looks at Senate races (both open seats and those with incumbents running for re-election). Our 1Q cash power chart is here, and our 2Q chart is here.

Once again, the same caveats apply: Many campaigns made final spending decisions before the filing deadline, so cash-on-hand figures may look artificially “low” in some cases. In other words, just looking at the final Cash Power Rankings often won’t give you a complete picture of where things stand. That’s why it’s important to consult our 3Q Senate fundraising chart in concert with this listing. Third-party expenditures are also, of course, important indicators of a race’s competitiveness.

Note that Jim Gilmore has refused to release his fundraising totals to the media (and his FEC reports are not online yet), hence our resort to mathematical symbols. But we’re pretty confident Mark Warner will retain the number one slot regardless, as he has all year.


















































































































































































































































Cash
Power
Rank		 2Q
Rank		 State Challenger Party CoH Incumbent/
Defender		 Party CoH Cash
Power
Index
1 1 VA Warner D $3,608 Gilmore R

2 2 NM Udall, T. D $1,991 Pearce R $547 364%
3 5 MN Franken D $2,783 Coleman R-inc. $3,996 70%
4 7 AK Begich D $779 Stevens R-inc. $1,242 63%
5 6 LA Kennedy R $1,255 Landrieu D-inc. $2,395 52%
6 8 NC Hagan D $880 Dole R-inc. $1,716 51%
7 18 OR Merkley D $766 Smith R-inc. $1,503 51%
8 4 ME Allen D $1,670 Collins R-inc. $3,345 50%
9 11 NJ Zimmer R $453 Lautenberg D-inc. $922 49%
10 9 NH Shaheen D $1,763 Sununu R-inc. $3,629 49%
11 15 ID LaRocco D $408 Risch R $1,277 32%
12 13 MS Musgrove D $460 Wicker R-inc. $1,663 28%
13 12 OK Rice D $484 Inhofe R-inc. $2,024 24%
14 17 KY Lunsford D $1,244 McConnell R-inc. $5,766 22%
15 3 CO Udall, M. D $546 Schaffer R $2,734 20%
16 10 NE Kleeb D $216 Johanns R $1,434 15%
17 19 TX Noriega D $951 Cornyn R-inc. $7,322 13%
18 16 KS Slattery D $145 Roberts R-inc. $1,804 8%
19 20 GA Martin D $92 Chambliss R-inc. $1,188 8%

SSP Cash Power Rankings: House Open Seats (3Q)

The chart below (a companion to this one) shows the SSP Cash Power Index for open House seats. (Our 2Q chart is here.) The same caveats apply:

Many campaigns made final spending decisions before the filing deadline, so cash-on-hand figures may look artificially “low” in some cases. In other words, just looking at the final Cash Power Rankings often won’t give you a complete picture of where things stand. That’s why it’s important to consult our 3Q House fundraising chart in concert with this listing.

This list also does not take into account third-party independent expenditures (you can find that information here) or 527 “electioneering” expenditures (available here), which are another important measure of a race’s competitiveness.

Note: Gary Trauner and Paul Carmouche are listed with multiple prior rankings due to multi-way GOP primaries.

P.S. I think you can see why we moved NY-13 to Safe D, huh?

























































































Cash
Power
Rank		 2Q
Rank		 District Challenger Party CoH Defender Party CoH Cash
Power
Index
1 1 NY-13 McMahon D $483 Straniere R $2 24,150%
2 10/15/16 LA-04 Carmouche D $145 Fleming R $5 2,900%
3 * MO-09 Baker D $326 Luetkemeyer R $43 758%
4 6 CA-04 Brown D $457 McClintock R $94 486%
5 4 NJ-03 Adler D $1,276 Myers R $288 443%
6 5 NY-25 Maffei D $599 Sweetland R $137 437%
7 10/15/16 LA-04 Carmouche D $145 Gorman R $36 403%
8 12 OH-16 Boccieri D $464 Schuring R $128 363%
9 3/8 WY-AL Trauner D $596 Lummis R $202 295%
10 9 AZ-01 Kirkpatrick D $306 Hay R $124 247%
11 2 NJ-07 Stender D $602 Lance R $258 233%
12 27 AL-05 Parker R $255 Griffith D $127 201%
13 13 IL-11 Halvorson D $275 Ozinga R $176 156%
14 14 OH-15 Kilroy D $570 Stivers R $570 100%
15 20 MN-03 Madia D $995 Paulsen R $1,101 90%
16 26 VA-11 Connolly D $646 Fimian R $719 90%
17 24 OH-07 Neuhardt D $215 Austria R $280 77%
18 18 MD-01 Kratovil D $518 Harris R $749 69%
19 – NJ-07 Hsing I $133 Lance R $258 52%
20 21 NM-01 Heinrich D $328 White R $678 48%
21 23 NY-26 Kryzan D $115 Lee R $327 35%
22 29 KY-02 Boswell D $232 Guthrie R $680 34%
23 19 NM-02 Teague D $147 Tinsley R $456 32%
24 7 AL-02 Bright D $66 Love R $307 21%
25 11 OR-05 Erickson R $42 Schrader D $233 18%
26 25 CA-52 Lumpkin D $37 Hunter R $322 11%
27 22 IL-18 Callahan D $53 Schock R $466 11%
28 28 PA-05 McCracken D $8 Thompson R $132 6%

* We did not include MO-09 in our 2Q chart because of large primaries on both sides. Had we included Baker-Leutkemeyer with their CoH at the time, Baker would have ranked 17th at 99%.

SSP Cash Power Rankings: 3Q House Edition

Once again, we are proud to present the SSP Cash Power Index – a metric designed to measure cash-on-hand competitiveness. We divide a challenger’s cash-on-hand by the size of the incumbent’s war chest to gauge the financial gap between candidates.

There’s one very important caveat with this list, which makes it different from those we published after the first and second quarters: Many campaigns made final spending decisions before the filing deadline, so cash-on-hand figures may look artificially “low” in some cases. In other words, just looking at the final Cash Power Rankings often won’t give you a complete picture of where things stand. That’s why it’s important to consult our 3Q House fundraising chart in concert with this listing.

This list also does not take into account third-party independent expenditures (you can find that information here) or 527 “electioneering” expenditures (available here), which are another important measure of a race’s competitiveness. We also plan to release indices for open seats and for Senate races shortly.

Cash
Power
Rank		 2Q
Rank		 District Challenger Party CoH Incumbent Party CoH Cash
Power
Index
1 17 LA-06 Cassidy R $477 Cazayoux D $124 385%
2 63 CO-05 Bidlack D $68 Lamborn R $18 378%
3 3 TX-07 Skelly D $1,141 Culberson R $744 153%
4 14 AK-AL Berkowitz D $384 Young R $276 139%
5 2 GA-13 Honeycutt R $317 Scott D $240 132%
6 9 MI-07 Schauer D $856 Walberg R $692 124%
7 52 FL-13 Jennings D $315 Buchanan R $278 113%
8 29 KS-03 Jordan R $430 Moore D $380 113%
9 10 NY-29 Massa D $401 Kuhl R $375 107%
10 16 KY-03 Northup R $764 Yarmuth D $763 100%
11 19 WI-08 Gard R $608 Kagen D $669 91%
12 28 KS-02 Jenkins R $553 Boyda D $622 89%
13 12 OH-02 Wulsin D $305 Schmidt R $347 88%
14 4 ID-01 Minnick D $177 Sali R $202 88%
15 34 CA-50 Leibham D $334 Bilbray R $382 87%
16 37 CA-11 Andal R $850 McNerney D $1,022 83%
17 30 NC-10 Johnson D $364 McHenry R $443 82%
18 – PA-03 Dahlkemper D $275 English R $394 70%
19 46 PA-04 Hart R $812 Altmire D $1,174 69%
20 5 WA-08 Burner D $771 Reichert R $1,194 65%
21 13 VA-10 Feder D $648 Wolf R $1,007 64%
22 24 FL-21 Martinez D $1,118 Diaz-Balart R $1,743 64%
23 54 NV-02 Derby D $246 Heller R $406 61%
24 59 MS-01 Davis R $178 Childers D $302 59%
25 11 MO-06 Barnes D $304 Graves R $522 58%
26 27 NY-24 Hanna R $181 Arcuri D $316 57%
27 39 NY-20 Treadwell R $855 Gillibrand D $1,498 57%
28 – PA-10 Hackett R $331 Carney D $584 57%
29 47 PA-12 Russell R $333 Murtha D $591 56%
30 – NE-02 Esch D $266 Terry R $514 52%
31 48 FL-16 Rooney R $189 Mahoney D $371 51%
32 25 VA-02 Nye D $349 Drake R $707 49%
33 45 NJ-05 Shulman D $279 Garrett R $571 49%
34 7 FL-24 Kosmas D $356 Feeney R $736 48%
35 36 CO-04 Markey D $382 Musgrave R $798 48%
36 6 IL-14 Oberweis R $324 Foster D $692 47%
37 23 VA-05 Perriello D $321 Goode R $686 47%
38 55 GA-08 Goddard R $480 Marshall D $1,098 44%
39 38 OH-01 Driehaus D $362 Chabot R $829 44%
40 50 CT-05 Cappiello R $469 Murphy D $1,084 43%
41 1 LA-01 Harlan D $88 Scalise R $205 43%
42 42 IL-13 Harper D $333 Biggert R $833 40%
43 – TX-22 Olson R $469 Lampson D $1,176 40%
44 68 CA-45 Bornstein D $179 Bono Mack R $463 39%
45 62 IN-09 Sodrel R $264 Hill D $685 39%
46 31 TX-10 Doherty D $221 McCaul R $598 37%
47 – SC-02 Miller D $102 Wilson R $301 34%
48 20 FL-25 Garcia D $373 Diaz-Balart R $1,132 33%
49 21 NH-01 Bradley R $166 Shea-Porter D $508 33%
50 33 PA-15 Bennett D $245 Dent R $763 32%
51 51 FL-08 Grayson D $310 Keller R $983 32%
52 57 PA-06 Roggio D $216 Gerlach R $701 31%
53 43 NV-03 Titus D $246 Porter R $836 29%
54 65 MN-01 Davis R $318 Walz D $1,083 29%
55 61 AZ-08 Bee R $255 Giffords D $917 28%
56 60 OH-02 Krikorian I $96. Schmidt R $347 28%
57 49 AZ-05 Schweikert R $150 Mitchell D $547 27%
58 – TX-23 Larson R $194 Rodriguez D $717 27%
59 – MN-06 Tinklenberg D $357 Bachmann R $1,368 26%
60 74 NJ-04 Zeitz D $142 Smith R $567 25%
61 15 CT-04 Himes D $441 Shays R $1,790 25%
62 26 MI-09 Peters D $472 Knollenberg R $1,947 24%
63 70 WV-02 Barth D $245 Moore Capito R $1,054 23%
64 – NC-08 Kissell D $250 Hayes R $1,113 22%
65 66 CA-03 Durston D $145 Lungren R $680 21%
66 – MN-02 Sarvi D $136 Kline R $676 20%
67 – NH-02 Horn R $110 Hodes D $563 20%
68 – PA-11 Barletta R $251 Kanjorski D $1,350 19%
69 – IA-05 Hubler D $65 King R $351 19%
70 – IA-02 Miller-Meeks R $83 Loebsack D $457 18%
71 64 SC-01 Ketner D $206 Brown R $1,166 18%
72 – PA-08 Manion R $370 Murphy D $2,215 17%
73 32 AZ-03 Lord D $150 Shadegg R $923 16%
74 – LA-06 Jackson I $20. Cazayoux D $124 16%
75 – OH-03 Mitakides D $91 Turner R $587 16%

The 3Q Fundraising Reports and “All the Magazines”

OK-Sen:

     Andrew Rice (D): $899K raised (7/10-9/30)

     Jim Inhofe (R-inc): $910K raised (7/10-9/30)

MN-06:

     El Tinklenberg (D): $469K raised; $357K CoH

NH-01:

     Carol Shea-Porter (D): $320K raised

NJ-03:

     John Adler (D): >$550K raised; >$1.2M CoH

     Chris Myers (R): $369K raised; $288K CoH

NJ-07:

     Linda Stender (D): $681K raised; ~$600K CoH

     Leonard Lance (R): >$500K raised

NM-01:

     Martin Heinrich (D): $750K raised

PA-11:

     Lou Barletta (R): $400K raised (via press release)

Seen any other numbers lately?

Previous threads:

3Q Fundraising Reports Thread | Wrath of… | …and the Used Tanning Bed

The 3Q Fundraising Reports & the Used Tanning Bed

OK-Sen:

     Andrew Rice (D): >$900K raised (via e-mail)

MI-09:

     Gary Peters (D): >$650K raised (since mid-July)

MN-03:

     Ashwin Madia (D): $998K raised

NC-08:

     Robin Hayes (R-inc): >$670K raised, $1.1M CoH (via press release)

TX-07:

     Joe Culberson (R-inc): $399K raised; $740K CoH

(Weak.)

Previous threads:

3Q Fundraising Reports Thread | Wrath of…

Wrath of the 3Q Fundraising Reports Thread

The trickle continues.

OR-Sen:

     Jeff Merkley (D): >$2 million raised (via press release)

TX-Sen:

     John Cornyn (R-inc): $1.86 million raised; $7 million CoH

     Rick Noriega (D): >$1 million raised

IL-10:

     Mark Kirk (R-inc): >$850K raised

     Dan Seals (D): >$700K raised

NM-02:

     Harry Teague (D): $596K raised + $500K personal loan; $147K CoH

NV-02:

     Jill Derby (D): “just under” $400K raised; $837K CTD

NY-29:

     Eric Massa (D): $462K raised

Previous threads:

3Q Fundraising Reports Thread