Biggest House retirement shocker of the cycle?
Rep. Mike Ferguson will announce today that he will not seek re-election to a fifth term in 2008. The 37-year-old Republican, who won re-election last year by just 1% against Democratic Assemblywoman Linda Stender, wants to spend more time with his four young children.Senate Minority Leader-designate Thomas Kean, Jr. becomes one of the most likely GOP candidates for the seat. Kean, the Republican U.S. Senate in 2006, was among the candidates who ran against Ferguson in the 7th district Republican primary in 2000, when Bob Franks gave up the seat to run for the Senate.
This seat just vaulted up a dozen or so places on the list of pick-up opportunities for Democrats.
(For those keeping score, this makes 17 GOP House retirements this year. Wowza!)
Update (Trent): While this is a seat Kerry and Gore narrowly lost (with 47% and 48%, respectively), a PVI of R+0.6 suggests Stender should be able to easily improve on last year’s performance without an incumbent in the race.