Garin Hart Yang for Bruce Lunsford (10/26-27, likely voters, 10/6-7 in parens):
Bruce Lunsford (D): 45 (45)
Mitch McConnell (R-inc): 47 (48)
(MoE: ±4.5%)
Here we are, a few days before the election, and the Minority Leader of the United States Senate is ahead by only two points and under the 50% threshold. That’s hardly a position of strength for the mighty McConnell. The polling memo, which is available below the fold, also notes that the sample may be underestimating African-American turnout by a significant margin — enough to perhaps give Lunsford an extra couple of points.
On another note, Lunsford has a pair of new ads out — one featuring excerpts from a stump speech from the Bubba Queen herself, Hillary Clinton (what an extraordinary sign of the times), and the other featuring a famous pack of bloodhounds.
UPDATE: The latest Rasmussen poll has McConnell ahead by 51-44, essentially unchanged from last week, when Mitch led by 50-43. Rasmussen has been a bit friendlier to McConnell than other pollsters have in recent weeks, but we’ll find out which poll is more accurate soon enough.
LATER UPDATE: Mason-Dixon has McConnell up by 47-42, which is an improvement for him over late September, when the race was nearly tied at 45-44.