Rasmussen Reports (2/22, likely voters, 1/26 in parentheses):
Roxanne Conlin (D): 36 (31)
Chuck Grassley (R-inc): 53 (59)
Some other: 5 (4)
Not sure: 6 (5)Bob Krause (D): 33 (26)
Chuck Grassley (R-inc): 55 (59)
Some other: 5 (7)
Not sure: 8 (8)Tom Fiegen (D): 28 (25)
Chuck Grassley (R-inc): 56 (61)
Some other: 6 (4)
Not sure: 11 (10)
(MoE: ±4.5%)
Rasmussen Reports (2/18, likely voters, 9/22 in parentheses):
Chet Culver (D-inc): 37 (34)
Terry Branstad (R): 53 (54)
Some other: 6 (8)
Not sure: 4 (4)Chet Culver (D-inc): 40 (39)
Bob van der Plaats (R): 46 (43)
Some other: 7 (9)
Not sure: 7 (9)
(MoE: ±4.5%)
Research 2000 for KCCI-TV (2/15-17, likely voters, 10/12-14 in parentheses):
Roxanne Conlin (D): 35 (39)
Chuck Grassley (R-inc): 56 (51)
Undecided: 9 (10)
(MoE: ±4%)
Research 2000 for KCCI-TV (2/15-17, likely voters, 10/12-14 in parentheses):
Chet Culver (D-inc): 38 (43)
Terry Branstad (R): 54 (48)
Undecided: 8 (9)Chet Culver (D-inc): 41 (55)
Bob van der Plaats (R): 38 (33)
Undecided: 21 (12)Chet Culver (D-inc): 44 (58)
Chris Rants (R): 33 (28)
Undecided: 23 (14)Chet Culver (D-inc): 48 (NA)
Rod Roberts (R): 26 (NA)
Undecided: 26 (NA)
(MoE: ±4%)
Selzer for Des Moines Register (1/31-2/3, adults, 11/8-11 in parentheses):
Chet Culver (D-inc): 33 (33)
Terry Branstad (R): 53 (57)
Not sure: 9 (8)Chet Culver (D-inc): 40 (37)
Bob van der Plaats (R): 43 (45)
Not sure: 12 (15)Chet Culver (D-inc): 41 (42)
Chris Rants (R): 37 (35)
Not sure: 14 (18)Chet Culver (D-inc): 41 (NA)
Rod Roberts (R): 36 (NA)
Not sure: 15 (NA)
(MoE: ±4%)
A whole lot of Iowa data has found its way across our desk over the last week, none of it terribly good for incumbent Governor Chet Culver or Senate challenger Roxanne Conlin. Or you can look at the bright side: the news is less bad if you look at the Rasmussen and Selzer trendlines. (Research 2000, not so much, but that trendline goes all the way back to October… and the earlier poll was commissioned for Daily Kos rather than KCCI, although that shouldn’t affect the toplines.)
In case you were hoping that somehow Chet Culver might wind up facing former Republican state legislative leader Chris Rants, though, don’t get your hopes up… Rants dropped out of the race last Friday, probably seeing no path out of the primary that’s dominated by Branstad and van der Plaats. As always, desmoinesdem is on the scene, with discussion already underway in two different diaries.