(At least I think the votes are all in. I’m not sure, but it’s been three whole days now.)
So apart from our statewide races (Gov, LG, SoS, and Comptroller), our town had just one local race: the race for probate court judge.
Background information and analysis is beneath the fold.
4:09 pm: Well, we now have East Windsor results. Again, I’m not sure if this is the full count, but this would be a slightly even lower turnout than South Windsor’s (at 5.6% instead of 6.9%). Well, Fisher didn’t even get a total number of votes bigger than Griffin’s margin–it’s Fisher 311-241. Final tally of all three is Griffin 2665-2351. Griffin wins the D primary, and he goes on to a rematch with Fisher in the general election, but with Fisher as the R nominee. I’d say he’s now definitely favored, and now I’m wondering if there was some other local race in Windsor that really drove up turnout.
13 August 2010
1:52 pm: Wow, finally, some results! South Windsor, Fisher’s home, has reported, and as expected, she won big, 1305-408. However, assuming these are all the results, this is a notably lower turnout here relative to Windsor–only 1713 votes total, out of a population of about 25,000. Griffin now leads by under 400 votes. Can East Windsor make up Fisher’s deficit, with a 2000 census population of only 9,818?
12 August 2010
9:00 pm: It’s been a whole day now, and they still only have the Windsor results. I wonder when they’re counting the ballots; I know there’s at least two votes in Fisher’s column in South Windsor (mine and my mom’s) so I know they haven’t reported yet.
1:51 am: Still nothing new. I’m taking a break from following the main reporting thread on the front page and going off to watch some Record of Lodoss War. It’s completely possible that they still won’t have reported several episodes later, so I might just turn in for the night if that’s the case. I’ll bump this thread tomorrow with a comment if there are new results. I also added a bit more commentary about the demographics of each town.
1:36 am: Nothing new reported, but I’ve just posted this diary.
1:04 am: Windsor has reported. Not surprisingly, Griffin won big there, 2016 to 735.
11 August 2010
11:29 pm: No results from any of the three towns yet.
10 August 2010
CT SoS election results, probably updated irregularly as results come in
Marianne Lassman Fisher is the probate court judge in South Windsor and East Windsor. Brian Griffin is the probate court judge in nearby Windsor, across the Connecticut River. But the two probate court districts are being combined into a single district, to be called Region 4.
The Democratic primary was held on 10 August 2010, as with everything else, of course. Both of these candidates are Democrats.
Here is the local newspaper’s background on the race.
Note this important detail: a Griffin loss in this primary would mean that he’d have to wait four years to run for this office again, but a Fisher loss in this primary is tempered by the fact that Fisher has been cross-endorsed by the Republicans and thus will still appear on the ballot for a rematch this November. (Though this isn’t as favorable obviously; and all three communities are Democratic-leaning at a national level.)
Demographics of Windsor, demographics of East Windsor, demographics of South Windsor.
Based on this being a low-info, low-issue-politics race where each candidate seems to have their own base, I’m predicting a Fisher win based on her having a larger base–about 25,000+9,000 versus about 28,000. Additionally, Windsor is on average a slightly poorer community with a greater percentage of minorities. Though the sparse and even less wealthy East Windsor may eat into Fisher’s potential additional margin from that town, so it may yet be close.