Public Policy Polling (PDF) (8/21-24, registered voters):
Blanche Lincoln (D-inc): 40
Gilbert Baker (R): 42Blanche Lincoln (D-inc): 40
Curtis Coleman (R): 41Blanche Lincoln (D-inc): 40
Tom Cotton (R): 39
(MoE: ±3.5%)
Ugly. Horrendously ugly. Any incumbent who’s failing to crack a higher mark than 40% against three C-grade GOP opponents with single-digit name ID is pretty far from being in a comfortable position for re-election. Her approvals, too, are underwater at 36-44.
While I’m sure that the NRSC will make an effort to get a better nominee in place than gaffe-prone crackpots like businessman Curtis Coleman or Kim Hendren, this poll suggests that the GOP could make a race of it even with a less than top-tier challenger.
RaceTracker Wiki: AR-Sen