WA-Gov: Rossi Taking Pains To Avoid a Macaca Moment

Dino Rossi has been going to great lengths to hide his conservative nature in the Washington gubernatorial race: starting with deferring all questions about issues that are sure-fire losers in a blue state (like abortion, always deferred with an “I’m not running on that issue“), and even going so far as to ditch the entire Republican label in favor of the “GOP Party“.

Rossi has also taken extreme measures to keep Democratic cameramen out of his events (to the extent of roping off large swaths of public property), in order to avoid the fate that befell George Allen two years ago almost to the day. Last Thursday Rossi was making an appearance at the Seattle Police Guild headquarters to receive the Guild’s endorsement, and Democratic cameraman Kelly Akers showed up to join other photographers inside the Guild building. Rossi did not get the chance to welcome his friend Akers here, or welcome him to America and the real world of Washington. Instead, off-duty police officers providing security for the event roughed up Akers and forcibly removed him from the event. According to the Seattle Times:

Akers was confronted by three off-duty police officers, and he says one or more grabbed him and pushed him out of the building. Once outside they continued to argue as the officers held Akers in what he described as a “submission hold.”

That’s just current Rossi campaign policy, apparently:

“We don’t allow them in to collect attack video,” Rossi spokeswoman Jill Strait said.

Horse’s Ass has YouTube video of the confrontation, and also, as an amusing compare-and-contrast, video of the rough reception that Rossi’s trackers get when they show up at Christine Gregoire events. As Goldy puts it:

Jesus Christ… they did everything but offer him milk and cookies.

AK-AL: Parnell Up In His Own Internal

Basswood Research for Sean Parnell (8/5, likely voters):

Sean Parnell (R): 42

Don Young (R-inc): 38

Gabrielle LeDoux (R): 8

(MoE: ±5.7%)

Last week we saw a poll for the GOP primary in the Alaska House race from Ivan Moore that had Young up by a solid 8-point margin. The Parnell camp counters with its own internal poll showing him beating Young by 4 points. The sample was taken on Aug. 5, so this is post-Trooper-gate.

The poll doesn’t appear to test the various configurations for the general election. The primary will be held Aug. 26.

In other somewhat-related grumpy-old-corrupt-guys-from-Alaska news, the feds are fighting Ted Stevens’ attempts to change the venue of his trial from Washington DC to Alaska, claiming the unlikelihood of finding an impartial jury. This is important, because a) any delay makes it less likely the trial will be resolved before Election Day, and b) Stevens will be able to campaign in his off-hours if the trial is in Alaska, while he can’t if he’s stuck in DC.

GA-Sen: Chambliss Leads by 6 in New Poll

The Mellman Group for the DSCC (8/6-10, likely voters):

Jim Martin (D): 36

Saxby Chambliss (R-inc): 42

Allen Buckley (L): 3

(MoE: ±4%)

Very nice numbers for Jim Martin. That’s is what some in the biz would like to call “striking distance”.

Chambliss’ job approval rating is only 37-38 — soft numbers for an incumbent.

Yeah, Chambliss has raised a ton of money, but this is a race that the DSCC has their eyes on, and we could see the committee getting frisky here.

AK-Sen: Begich Raises $412K in Pre-Primary Period

Democrat Mark Begich had an impressive July:

Support for the Mark Begich for U.S. Senate campaign continues to be strong across Alaska with Begich raising more than $400,000 in the five weeks between July 1 and August 6. In the report being sent to the Federal Elections Commission (FEC) today, the Begich campaign brought in $412,549.02. […]

In the Pre-Primary reporting period that ran from July 1 to August 6, a total of 1,526 people donated to the Begich campaign. Of those donors nearly 1,200 gave $100 or less.

Begich has raised over $1.7 million since forming his exploratory committee at the end of February, and has $462K on-hand. That CoH number may seem low-ish for a Senate candidate, but bear in mind that Alaska’s media market is dirt cheap — it only costs around $70K for a week’s worth of decent TV advertising. Begich is on pace to raise all he needs to stay up on he air this fall.

Also, a special kudos to the Mark Begich campaign for posting their FEC report on their website. I wish more Senate campaigns would follow Begich’s example.

SSP currently rates this race as Lean Democratic.

CA-46: Crazy Dana Walking Precincts… WHERE??!!

(Proudly cross-posted at Clintonistas for Obama)

Ah, how I love me the right-wing blogs! Sometimes, I find it amusing to simply lurk over there and see the vile garbage spew out of their keyboards. But to my surprise, I found out today that some of my recent diaries have been featured on an infamous local right-wing blog.

Apparently, Debbie Cook is foolish for actually talking to voters. I mean, why should she actually take time to talk to voters? “Crazy Dana” Rohrabacher obviously doesn’t. I have yet to see one neighborhood outreach walk, volunteer phone bank, or any other kind of voter outreach activity happening with his campaign.

Well, I guess it’s Crazy Dana’s loss that he doesn’t talk to voters while Debbie Cook does. The more voters here in the 46th District find out about him, the less they like him. And as they learn more about Debbie Cook, the more they like her for her hard work to protect our quality of life as well as her plan to make real change that benefits real people.

OK, so Dana doesn’t want to earn his votes? And he’d rather continue with his extreme right-wing agenda than listen to the more moderate voters in his own district? So be it.

I just hope Dana’s ready to face the consequences. From what I understand, voters don’t like to be ignored. And if Dana keeps ignoring his own voters, he may have a tougher November than what he’s planning for. I just wonder if he & his GOP buddies have actually thought this through.

Whatever. I shouldn’t have to worry about Crazy Dana & his far-right GOP pals. We have enough work to do ensuring that great Democrats like Debbie Cook get elected this fall.

Are you with me? 😉

The Biggest Evironmental Disaster in American History!

This will likely be the longest post I have ever written. But I can’t make claim to most of it, or for the inspiration of writing it. Both those go to Mike Tidwell, whose book, Bayou Farewell: The Tragic Death of Louisiana’s Cajun Coast, was an amazing eye opening book, the best travelogue, and the best environmental expose that I have ever seen, ranking at the very top of the best non-fiction books that I have read.  

The problem? The greatest environmental disaster in country is happening, right now, on Louisiana’s coastline, and nobody is doing anything about, in fact, no one, not environmental activists, know about it.

Swampy South Louisiana, unbeknownst to most people, contains a staggering 25% of America’s total wetlands, 40% of its salt marsh. This area contains a massive ecosystem, as Tidwell notes:

Wetland habitats hold the title as the most biologically productive areas on earth, and the great range of plant and animal life found within Louisiana’s coastal zone provides food and protection for no fewer than 353 species of birds residing here at some point during the calendar year.

The area is also one of the nation’s largest seafood producers, thanks to the marsh and swamp.

Before the morning is out, he’ll pull in a respectable catch of 120 pounds, part of annual Louisiana crab harvest that has no equal anywhere outside of Alaska. Indeed, I learn later, that even in Maryland’s Chesapeake Bay region where I presently live and where the blue crab industry is a source of great local pride and eating crab cake borders on cult behavior-even there as much as a quarter of all crabs consumed actually come from Louisiana during some months.

Yet crabs are just one small part of the take in this massive estuarine waterscape of fresh, brackish, and saltwater habitats spread across endless bays, lagoons, inlets, and marshes shaped by the Mississippi River. Coastal Louisiana, by itself, accounts for an astonishing 30% of America’s annual seafood harvest, measured by weight.

Tidwell describes the beauty of this vast area:

What’s being lost is an American Treasure, a place as big as the Everglades and just as beautiful, where sky and marsh and wildlife converge, where millions of migratory birds thrive on wetlands that once served as muse to John James Audubon.

What exactly is happening? Well, since the 1930s, Louisiana has already lost an amount of land the size of the state of Delaware. Today, more than fifty acres of land are lost everyday, every ten months Louisiana loses an area the size of Manhattan. An area the size of the state of Connecticut will wash away in the coming decades, three million square acres of barrier islands, marsh and wetlands.

Why has this happened? It is not nature made, this is an entirely man-made conundrum, and, again, allow to use several of Tidwell’s sharpest words here, as they say it best.

Today, throughout the wetlands of lower Louisiana, more than ten thousand miles of such pipe lie underwater-criss-crossing, interlocking, overlapping, going everywhere. And to lay pipe across this ocean of marsh grass, an area so vast it’s often called the “trembling prairie” with its pudding like mud below, requires the construction of canals: straight and narrow streets of water dredged four or five feet deep, knifing through the grass…

“This?” I say. With a girth of about two hundred feet, the water almost as wide as Bayou Lafourche itself, I had simply assumed it was another large bayou meandering to the gulf. But Tee Tim informs me this stretch of water began as a roughly thirty foot canal builtby Texaco in the early 1960s…

“This is happening because the Mississippi River doesn’t flood anymore?” I ask Tim…

Reading up on the subject later, I learn that tattered boot of Louisiana was created exclusively by the mighty hand of the Mississippi…

Then came the worst deluge of all, the Great Flood of 1927, which killed over a thousand people in Arkansas, Mississippi, and Louisiana. Intending to end such outburst once and for all, the U.S. Corps of Engineers after 1927 perfected the construction of massive, unbreachable levees along the entire lower Mississippi. This has frozen the river in its present course, which streams past New Orleans and out into the Gulf where its sediments no longer create any land whatsoever, tumbling instead thousands of feet over the cliff-like edge of the continental shelf.

Adding to the damage is an effect called “intrusion” where salt water moves into freshwater. Driving the oysters, alligators and freshwater fish further inland, and, killing thousands of trees. In Houma, in Terrebonne Parish about eighty to a hundred miles South of Baton Rouge you can drive down certain roads and see the groves of hundreds of dead old growth oak and cypress trees.

I recently learned that oil companies had for decades engaged in abusive practices, including dumping massive amounts of a toxic drilling by-product known as brine into holes dredged into the marsh, the dredging which, of course, weakned the marsh more and made it break up more rapidly and letting this toxic chemical spread out over a vast area. Oil Companies did this until 1990. Then there’s the canal’s they cut in the swamp, ten thousand miles of them. These rapidly speed up erosion so much that a canal that was thirty feet wide twenty years ago is over 200 feet wide today. They also let in salt water into the freshwater estuaries which kills thousands of trees and further weakens the soil by destroying freshwater wetland ecosystems. The canals are the main cause of the massive intrusion seen over the last few decades, leaving it’s haunted mark over all the land. Tree graveyards.

The Louisiana coastline is moving inward at a rate of half a mile per year, per year, in places. One of second cousins in Houma had a no hunting sign up about thirteen feet from the waters edge. Eight Months later, eight months, that sign was five feet out in the water. Eighteen feet of ground gone in eight months. Some people are keeping entire towns and neighborhoods together by dumping tens of thousands of tons of oyster shells where there is no soil or a road has completely disapeared. They even use Christmas trees, thousands of them to break waves and try to create new marsh when all of these programs are very useless and the 2050 plan is the only scientifically proven mass-scale plan to save my states beautiful and extremely ecologically important coastline.

The eventual result would the wearing away of the entirety of Louisiana’s jagged, boot-like coastline to something much further inland that was more resemblant to Mississippi and Alabama.

This is the biggest environmental disaster in the United States today. And, Tidwell concurs with this assessment in his book, though he is an admitted dedicated environmentalist. Look at what he states:

The Chesapeake Bay, of course, was another enormous estuary system in decline…But the bay, I realized, had two major factors on its side: much of America understood it was a threatened gem, and relatively aggressive programs were in place to try to bring it back to health. Most importantly, unlike the Louisiana Bayou region, the Chesapeake wasn’t literally disappearing…

Similar thoughts came to mind as I reached the Great Smoky Mountains where acid rain was poisoning thousands of acres of spruce firs and northern hardwoods at higher elevations…

The same held for the Everglades, which lay a few hundred miles away as I rolled further southward, edging the Florida Panhandle. There, not only was is possible to bring back this huge wetlands complex after a century of abuse, but it was actually being accomplished with a recently passed 7.8 billion dollar federal and state rescue plan…

Meanwhile, coastal Louisiana continued its headlong spring toward a point of no return- unsalvageable, perhaps forever- and virtually no one had an inkling. This despite the fact that it provides…plus the practical benefits of a fifth of American domestic oil, a huge amount of it’s seafood, and hurricane protection for nearly 1% of it’s population. These were all functions neither the Everglades, nor the Chesapeake, despite their many merits, could claim.

Why does nobody no about it. Well, the main ideas tossed around are the fact that south Louisiana is so far away from any major news outlets, it’s not near a massive population like the Everglades and Chesapeake Bay, and it doesn’t get the same tourism. 20 million to South Florida every year, less than a tenth of that to South Louisiana, and very little of that to tour the Bayous and see the beautiful and unique coastline of marshes and barrier islands.

And, this is important, not only because of the environmental impact and natural beauty, as mentioned by Tidwell, but also because every 2.7 miles of marsh grass absorb one foot of a hurricane’s storm surge, and therein lies the real reason New Orleans’ leaves failed. In 1960 more than fifty miles of marsh lay between it and the sea, now that number is twenty five mils. The marsh and barrier islands serve as a major natural buffer for hurricanes for the state’s two million + people, some 1.2 million of them living in the southern part of the state that would get smacked hardest by Hurricanes.

He finds out later along his journey, there is a way to stop this, there is a way to save Louisiana’s coastline but we must get to it. Let me quote his epilogue.

Unfortunately, the marsh almost everywhere else along the coast continues its rush toward oblivion, with land still disappearing at the astonishing rate of 25-35 square miles a year. As if this wasn’t enough, a new threat has emerged. Fishermen and biologists have begun to notice huge areas of previously healthy green marsh suddenly turning brown and dying all along the coast…

Whatever the cause, the vast and sickening new swaths of marsh began to die at such a rate that Louisiana Governor Mike Foster, as avid duck hunter across the wetlands, finally became alarmed. Foster organized an event that restoration activists had been seeking for years: a summit of state business leaders, conversationalists, scientists, civic leaders, and government officials designed to fully commit the entire state to saving the coast.

The bill they came up with is the Coast 2050 plan, designed to cure all the problems, by instituting a massive rebuilding of barrier islands, and an equally massive controlled artificial diversions of the Mississippi River. In several, small areas, (30-40 thousand acres), have been done already to remarkable success. In those areas not only has the erosion stopped, there has also been a gain of new land and new marsh. It also calls in for the filling in of all oil pipe “canals”, which are an abusive environmental practice that has caused intrusion and rapidly sped up the natural erosion. It even plants thousands of acres of new marshland.

The full scale project could be done with 14 billion dollars, the cost of six weeks in Iraq to save three million acres of wetland that are more than worth it. It hasn’t been done yet though, pressure needs to be put representatives to sponsor and bring this bill to the floor and get it passed. Quickly. Rita and Katrina did a great deal more damage and sped up the process. Old groves of trees are dying faster, and, if we do not get started on the project in the next decade, (it is a long-scaled project), we may not be able to save and rebuild Louisiana’s coast.

This is so important. I’m glad we’re spending billions to clean up Chesapeake, I’m glad we’re spending billions to repair the Everglades, but Louisiana needs fixing soon, it’s a bigger environmental disaster than either. It will completely cease to exist very soon if we do nothing. This cultural landmark and beautiful area. It would destroy one of the last truly unique individual American cultures, displaces hundreds of thousands of people and leave two million more much more vulnerable to hurricanes.

Also, I would so strongly recommend Mike Tidwell’s book. It is a great expose and travelogue, giving a fascinating insight into the Cajun culture and world, where there are no malls, Wal-Marts, franchise stores. It’s a moving read full of vivid people and descriptions I can vouch for myself, (having been to the areas quite often and seen many of the places he describes myself).

Please help me spread awareness of this problem. Please help me get people involved with this.

P.S. Please vote in poll. There are no counters, so I use the poll to see how many people have read a given post. So, again, please vote so I can satisfy my own curiosity. Thank you.

By what margin will Bob Shamansky win?

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OR-Sen: Smith Pulls Back Ahead

Rasmussen (8/7, likely voters incl. leaners, 7/15 in parens):

Jeff Merkley (D): 44 (46)

Gordon Smith (R-inc): 50 (46)

(MoE: ±4.5%)

Without including leaners (although I don’t see why one would prefer this metric), Smith’s lead is 47-39; Merkley had led by 43-41 in this category in July.

Despite Smith’s lead in two consecutive polls, this one could be anyone’s game come fall.

SSP currently rates this race as Lean Republican.

CO-Sen: Udall Leads By 6

Public Policy Polling (8/5-7, likely voters, 7/9-10):

Mark Udall (D): 47 (47)

Bob Schaffer (R): 41 (38)

Undecided: 12 (14)

(MoE: ±3.2%)

A slight tightening, but Udall still has the edge.

SSP currently rates this race as Lean Democratic.

Bonus findings: In a hypothetical 2010 matchup, Democratic Sen. Ken Salazar leads Tom Tancredo by 49-37, and Secretary of State (and CO-06 candidate) Mike Coffman by 46-38. In the Presidential race, Obama is holding onto a 48-44 lead over McCain.

CA-26: Dreier By 12

Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for Russ Warner (7/15-16, likely voters):

Russ Warner (D): 37

David Dreier (R-inc.): 49

(MoE: ±4.9%)

Here’s a poll from CA-26, a race that got some initial enthusiasm earlier in the year but hasn’t received much attention lately. This is an R+4 district that takes in the affluent parts of the San Gabriel Valley between Los Angeles and San Bernardino; it’s one of the few districts in California that qualifies as a swing district, and one where Dreier hasn’t broken out of the mid-50s in the last few elections despite drawing third-tier opposition.

The poll is an internal poll commissioned by Dem candidate Russ Warner. Unlike many internal polls, this one seems pretty plausible: long-term incumbent Dreier is up by a solid margin, but not to the extent that the race is completely locked down. The race tightens to 47-44 when candidates’ bios are read.

SSP rates this race as Likely Republican.