OH-16: Boccieri (D) & Schuring (R) Outraise Regula

Ralph Regula is an absolute relic in the House of Representatives.  Now in his 18th term and approaching his 83rd birthday, he has begun to show some significant signs of rust lately, especially given his lackluster performances in his 2006 primary and general election campaigns, where he won only 58% of the vote against low-profile challengers in each race.  It’s only natural then, that Regula, now in the House Minority, would be the subject of intense retirement speculation.  The speculation is so intense, that Republican state Senator J. Kirk Schuring has put his name forward as the heir apparent in the event of Regula’s retirement.  According to CQ Politics, Schuring has pledged only to run if Regula steps aside.  Democrats, for their part, have been eyeing the Democratic-trending 16th District hungrily, and have recruited a strong challenger in state Sen. John Boccieri, an air force veteran of Iraq and Afghanistan.

The real doozie, though, lies in the second quarter numbers:

John Boccieri (D): $155K raised; $145K cash-on-hand
J. Kirk Schuring (R): $136K raised; $130K CoH
Ralph Regula (R-inc.): $82K raised; $164K CoH

If Regula is at all serious about going for a 19th term, he might want to pick up the slack.  It speaks volumes that Schuring is apparently being seen as the better investment opportunity by GOP donors.

NV-03: DCCC Finds a Foe For Porter

Has the DCCC found its man to challenge Republican Jon Porter of Nevada?  According to Roll Call, local Democrats are breathing a sigh of relief that Clark County deputy district attorney Robert Daskas plans to officially enter the race in a few weeks:

Roll Call has learned that after a number of discussions with the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, Clark County prosecutor Robert Daskas plans to file as a House candidate with the Federal Election Commission by summer’s end if not sooner – provided he sails through the final vetting stages of the DCCC’s recruiting process.

“He’s been in talks with the DCCC,” said one Democratic source, who declined to be named because of the sensitivity of the recruitment process. “[Daskas] is one they’re focusing on at this point.”

Daskas’ presumptive candidacy would come after months of DCCC failures to field a high-profile challenger to Porter, who Democrats say is increasingly vulnerable in a pure swing suburban Las Vegas district. A Democratic poll from April suggests that just more than one-quarter of local voters want to re-elect Porter and about one-third “want to consider someone else.”

The Garin Hart Yang survey of 405 likely voters, conducted March 13-17, had a 4.9-point margin of error.

Indeed: after flying below the top-tier radar for much of the 2006 campaign, former Harry Reid aide Tessa Hafen surged in the closing weeks of the campaign, eventually falling short of toppling Porter by 1% and less than 4,000 votes in the propeller-shaped third district.  Close elections are par for the course in this district: Al Gore won this area by 1% in 2000, and Bush edged Kerry by that same margin in 2004.

Is Daskas the right guy to send Porter (an apt name for a reliable bagman of the Bush Administration) packing?  If he runs this kind of campaign, I could dig it:

A Daskas candidacy likely would hammer away at Porter’s perceived ties to major White House policy blunders. Last year, Porter voted with the White House 93 percent of the time. In 2007, he voted to approve of the troop escalation in Iraq but was one of 51 House Republicans who voted to override President Bush’s veto of expanded stem-cell research funding.

“He’s been blanket support in the war in Iraq,” a Democratic source said. “He’s a puppet for the Bush administration and every frustration that people have with the Bush administration … they need to realize that Jon Porter is a staunch supporter.”

It may be common sense on this side of the fence, but Republicans like Porter can’t seem to get this simple fact through their thick skulls: 2006 was Round One of the referendum on Iraq.  2008 could very likely be Round Two.

WV-02: GOP efforts to throw mud back fire on Capito

Crossposted at West Virginia Blue.

I’ve watched with bemusement at the effort by supporters of vulnerable Rep. Shelley Moore Capito to throw mud at State Sen. John Unger only to have it splash back on Capito.

The latest effort by Capito’s supporters to protect their vulnerable Rubberstamp Republican has been to criticize what Unger does for a living and make it sound like there is controversy where none exists.

Now considering how badly the last effort by the right worked, you would think they would learn.  Of course, they don’t. They’re rightwingers.

Jake Stump of the conservative-leaning Charleston Daily Mail does a good job debunking the latest smear effort by the rightwingers.

Unger acknowledges he has what some might consider a vague, confusing job title. He’s senior adviser of homeland security and economic development for the National Energy Technology Laboratory, part of the U.S. Department of Energy with offices in Morgantown.

But he is an employee of EG&G, a Gaithersburg, Md.-based national defense contractor that provides engineering and technical services. The company provides direct-labor employees who are paid based on their performance with contracted clients.

Now some of Unger’s critics are too stupid to understand the complexities of federal government contracting. But others are simply Republican political hacks who know they haven’t found any dirt to throw at Unger so they have to make it up through implication.

But like an earlier effort, see here for an example – their efforts end up unintentionally making Capito look bad.

Here’s Stump on how Unger got the job:

An employee at the National Energy Technology Laboratory recommended him for the EG&G job, Unger said.

“I’m not a federal employee, but I work with federal officials,” he said. “The reason I don’t talk much about the particulars of the job is because we’re dealing with sensitive materials and homeland security.”

The senator said he believes the company tapped him not because of his political background, but for his experiences overseas.

He has worked with Mother Teresa in India during monsoons and riots in 1990. There he coordinated the distribution of relief supplies.

Before that, he worked for the United States Refugee Program in Hong Kong and helped Vietnamese refugee children there.

He’s also aided in disaster relief efforts in Turkey and Iraq, where he has traveled twice.

Unger said those experiences provided him with knowledge concerning international relations and security.

“Part of our training in Iraq dealt with security,” Unger said. “When you’re working with government in the area of human relief, there’s a large component of security.”

In other words, the Rhodes scholar Unger not only can speak knowledgeably on homeland security issues, he already has experience at international issues. Plus he did missionary work which shows he cares compassionately about people.

Compare that experience to Capito’s, whose only qualification before her election in 2000 was she was former Gov. Arch Moore’s daughter and she has a pleasant smile.

In an earlier smear attempt, Republican strategist Gary Abernathy tried to put words in the mouth of Unger’s friend and WEPM cohost Chris Strovel to make up dirt on Unger even though Strovel had said nothing critical about Unger.

Just like before, there is nothing there.

You don’t  have to take my word for it. Thanks to Stump’s reporting you can hear it from Unger’s employer:

Brent Armstrong, vice president of the Energy, Environment and Health Services Department at EG&G, confirmed Unger’s employment with the company.

“He is earning a living,” Armstrong said. “I’m not sure what the confusion is.”

Two specific projects Unger is contracted to work on with the laboratory include the modern grid initiative, which updates the nation’s electricity system, and ensuring that infrastructure is in place for securing energy supplies.

Armstrong said he’s heard no complaints from the laboratory regarding Unger’s job performance. Unger is required to submit monthly progress reports on each project.

“I don’t care who they are,” Armstrong said. “If they’re not cutting the mustard, they won’t have a job. He’s been doing a job the client is very pleased with.”

Unger makes his employer happy. He’s knowledgeable and experienced at national security issues, energy issues, and international issues.

Capito has a pleasant smile. She’s probably quite personable to talk with. People say she’s quite devoted to her family. I’ve never questioned that. But as a Rubberstamp Republican, she has shown poor judgement time after time and as a continued supporter of occupying Iraq in the midst of a complex sectarian civil war that is bankrupting the country and making us less secure, she has blood on her hands. She has failed to show the wisdom of our other Congressional representatives Alan Mollohan and Nick Rahall on Iraq. She has floundered as a Congressional representative, allying herself with suspected criminals like Republicans Tom Delay (she was the largest recipient of his illegal PAC contributions) and Mark Foley (she formed a political action committee with him even while he cyberstalked underage male pages and she served on the Page Board that was to protect them). Did she intentionally ally herself with so many Republicans now caught up in criminal scandals? Real scandals unlike the ones the rightwingers keep trying to make up about Unger. I don’t know what is in her heart.

I do know that Unger is knowledgeable and makes his employer happy with the work he does and as a constituent of WV-02 I want to hire him to represent all of us in the District in Congress in 2008.

CT-04: Himes Outraises Shays

There are a lot of reasons to like Jim Himes, not the least of which is his remarkable hustle against Chris Shays in the second quarter of 2007:

Jim Himes (D): $352K raised
Chris Shays (R-inc.): $280K raised, $364K cash-on-hand

Of course, it’ll take a lot more than just giant sacks full of money to topple the slippery Shays, but Himes has shown some savvy at this early stage in the game.  Check out his recent liveblog at DailyKos (a great and enjoyable read) for more.

UPDATE: From a Jim Himes press release tonight:

Jim Himes Statement on Chris Shays’ Vote Today Against the Responsible Redeployment from Iraq Act

Stamford, CT — Affordable housing executive, businessman and Democratic Congressional candidate Jim Himes issued the following statement today in response to Chris Shays’ vote against HR 2956, the Responsible Redeployment from Iraq Act, which requires the Secretary of Defense to begin the redeployment of troops from Iraq within 120 days, limiting our presence in Iraq by April 1, 2008. 

“Chris Shays’ vote today is a betrayal of the trust of the people of the 4th Congressional District.  Rep. Shays promised voters last year that he would support a timeline for troop withdrawal from Iraq, but since the election, not only has he failed to support timelines for ending the war, he has enthusiastically supported President Bush’s escalation of the war.

“Since the so-called “surge” supported by Shays began earlier this year, nearly 600 more American troops have been killed in Iraq.  While Chris Shays continues to support spending $329 million dollars a day in Iraq with no end in sight, he is neglecting the real needs of the people of the 4th Congressional District.

“Today, Rep. Shays called again for a new Iraq Study Group report, while disregarding the most important recommendation of the Iraq Study Group: to end major combat operations in Iraq by spring 2008. Rep. Shays’ vote today not only goes against ISG recommendations, it is in direct violation of his campaign promise to the people of the 4th District.  After 5 years of Chris Shays steadfastly supporting Bush’s failed Iraq policy, it’s time for a change.”

More like this, please.

NC-Sen: New Poll Shows Dole Vulnerable to a Grier Challenge

In case you missed it, Public Policy Polling released a new poll (warning: PDF) today of the North Carolina Senate race, pitting Republican Sen. Elizabeth Dole against several hypothetical Democratic challengers: state Rep. Grier Martin, state Sen. Kay Hagan, and Secretary of State Elaine Marshall.  But wait–this isn’t any ordinary poll; it’s an informed vote poll, where respondents (likely voters, in this case) hear a brief one-line bio about the lesser known-candidates:

“To compensate for the extremely low name recognition of state legislators, we added a short description of Martin and Hagan to the survey,” explained Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling.

Martin was described as a “37 year-old two-term legislator” and “veteran of the War in Afghanistan,” while Hagan was a “five-term State Senator” and “chair of the Senate Appropriations Committee.”

So take it with the appropriate grain of salt that Dole isn’t doing this badly against Grier Martin (at least, not yet):

Grier Martin (D): 37%
Elizabeth Dole (R): 43%

Kay Hagan (D): 27%
Elizabeth Dole (R): 43%

Elaine Marshall (D): 35%
Elizabeth Dole (R): 46%

MoE: ±4.2%

So who is Grier Martin?  Back in February, SSP diarist blue south gave us his profile:

Grier Martin is a relative newcomer to politics.  He is 37, and was first elected to the NC House in 2004.  There are two very important details though.  First, in 2004 he won a very expensive race against an incumbent with a large amount of personal income in a district that leans Republican.  A huge upset.  Just as importantly, he actually has name ID across the state, due to the fact that his father, DG Martin was the Attorney General for many years.  He has also taken some interesting stands in the legislature, including voting against the budget one year and voting against the creation of a lottery.  Additionally, he has military credentials.  After 9/11 he volunteered for the Army, and spent 2003 in Afghanistan.

His name has been mentioned in the rumor mill as someone contemplating a run.  To be honest, after Brad Miller, he is my top choice.  He has a gorgeous family, including a young daughter.  His age puts him square into the only age bracket that showed support for Dole in the last poll.  And, he is the type of candidate that has a background that would allow him to take progressive positions without being called a no good dirty, Washington, liberal.

Grier sounds like an interesting option now that a Brad Miller candidacy is off the table.  Like the poll suggests: he has the right profile.

Paging Chuck Schumer to the multi-colored courtesy phone, please.  Paging Chuck Schumer…

BlueNC has more.

Breaking: Secretary of State announces retirement plans

Betty Ireland is the West Virginia Secretary of State, and, today, she announced she would not run for reelection, stating that the deteriorating health of her aging parents did not leave her enough time to run a campaign, ( http://www.dailymail… ). She is the only elected statewide official who is a Republican, which is very indicative of the state’s Democratic lean. It’s likely that the only reason won in 2004 was because her opponent was 94 year old has ben Ken Heckler, a long time rival of Nick Rahall, who won his congressional seat in 1976 when Heckler foolishly ran for Governor and ended up coming third in the Democratic primary, losing to some nobody named Jay Rockefeller.

This is a very important matter because Ireland was one the West Virginia GOP’s only rising stars. Their only other one can now be said to be Shelley Capito, and she might be out the door in 2008 election. State Democrats now have a much easier path to retake this seat and once again hold all statewide offices, and at the same time one of the state GOP’s most prominent public members loses most of her clout. If we could take out Capito, bang, we shatter every gain the WV-GOP’s made since Bush was elected in 2000. It’s a big deal, shatter their morale, their fundraising slumps, putting them further behind Democrats. We take out a possible threat against the open WV-Gov seat in 2012, or the likely open WV-Sen seat in 2012, (this is assuming that our candidate, State Sen. Unger, will win reelection in a possible rematch in 2010).

The race isn’t over now, but at least now Democrats don’t have to mount an insurgent campaign against a prominent, fairly popular State Republican and an incumbent. Now Democrats start off with the advantage, and if we nominate a strong candidate, the position should go back into Democratic hands, and, if we hold all our other statewide positions, we maintain our upper hand in 2012, and stunt the State GOP’s recent growth.

P.S. Please vote in the poll, it’s the only indicator I have of how many read this, and I really like knowing that, for curiosties sake.

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IL-18: LaHood Withdraws From University Bid

A few weeks ago, we noted that Republican Ray LaHood was considering putting his name in the running for the Presidency of Bradley University.  Unfortunately for Democrats, LaHood has made his decision to stay put in the House:

Rep. Ray LaHood (R-Ill.) abruptly ended a public flirtation with the presidency of Bradley University on Tuesday, declaring himself out of the running for the top job at his alma mater and recommitted to his re-election campaign.

[…]

This was the second time that LaHood has considered leaving Congress; he also mulled a run for governor in 2006. In this case, he said, “I think I would have had a shot” at the Bradley job, but also conceded that the university was likely to pick someone with a doctoral degree, which he does not hold.

Republican insiders predicted this week that the lack of a doctorate would keep LaHood, an outspoken and often aisle-crossing congressional veteran, from landing the presidency.

The decision likely kills Democrats’ dreams of stealing LaHood’s GOP-leaning seat. LaHood said he would reschedule fundraisers he had canceled and expected the lost time wouldn’t hurt his chances next year.

Indeed: it would be a tough climb for a Democrat in the 18th.  With a PVI of R+5.5, Bush won this district by 16 points in 2004.  But given LaHood’s frequent flirtation with a career change, perhaps it will open up in the not too distant future.

As an aside, while I don’t often take swipes at Rahm Emanuel, I couldn’t help but cringe at this:

At least one Democrat welcomed his move. Rep. Rahm Emanuel of Illinois, the Democratic caucus chairman and a longtime fan of LaHood’s cooperative style, said, “It’s Congress’s win, Bradley’s loss.”

LaHood didn’t let the decision-making process distract from his day job. He noted in the interview that he fielded a call from President Bush last week. They discussed immigration and the Iraq war, which faces a series of critical House votes.

“He asked me to hang in there with him,” LaHood said. “I am going to hang in there with him… I’m not bailing on him.”

Bleh.  Keeping around Bushbots like LaHood in the House is precisely my definition of “Congress’s loss”.

VA-11: TOP GUN Running for Congress

If you ever watched the movie “Top Gun”, this guy is the real thing and he’s running for Congress as a Democrat according to Raising Kaine.

As a Naval Flight Officer, I led over 200 people as a commanding officer of a fighter squadron and I was a TOPGUN instructor.  I am a combat veteran of Operation Iraqi Freedom and I was one of few aviators awarded the Distinguished Flying Cross for valor in combat.  Upon my return, I worked directly for the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. I am a leader, and I understand first-hand the complexities of this war and the need to create an exit strategy to bring our troops home safely.

I have a Bachelor of Science in Aerospace Engineering from the U.S. Naval Academy.  At the graduate level, I have a Master of Arts in National Security Studies and a certificate in legislative studies from Georgetown University.  I’ve studied economics for a term at Oxford University in England.  I?ve completed a political candidate training program at UVA?s Sorensen Institute, and I was a national security fellow at MIT’s Seminar XXI fellowship program.  For a living, I sell Navy jet aircraft for Boeing. 

I am most proud of my role as husband to a wonderful wife and father to two terrific kids.  I ask you to join me as I fight to change America?s future and improve our lives in Virginia?s 11th District.  Please vote for me on November 4, 2008.

Well, he apparently assumes there will be no primary, which there will be if Tom Davis leaves the seat. This guy looks like he comes out on Central Casting and is definately worthy of a look.

CT-04: Jim Himes Raises Record $350k in 2Q

(Cross-posted at Daily Kos.)


Things are heating up quickly for Chris Shays. As the Greenwich Time reports today, challenger Jim Himes is reporting he’s raised $352,000 in merely ten and a half weeks:

Trying to gain the attention of national party leaders with money and resources to spare in a targeted congressional race, Greenwich Democrat Jim Himes said yesterday that he has raised about $352,500 for his 2008 challenge of incumbent Rep. Christopher Shays, R-Conn.


“When I introduced myself to the voters in the 4th (congressional) District, the question was, ‘Is this guy for real?’ ” Himes said. “I think this shows a lot of enthusiasm. It shows that this campaign is for real and we’ve got a good shot.”…


A spokeswoman for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee said Himes’ fundraising totals were impressive.


“This is a district that votes Democratic in presidential years, and Democrats are showing at an early stage that they’re active and standing behind Jim Himes,” said Carrie James of the committee. “So I think he’s a very strong candidate.”

Connecticut Local Politics chimes in on the success of the fledgling campaign:

Here are the takeaways: There is no chance that there will be a primary for the Democratic nomination. Shays is in serious trouble. Jim Himes can raise money.


And as a press release from the campaign notes, this is a record for any campaign at this point in a race against Shays. More from Jim:

“The people who have contributed — in amounts small and great — and those who have given of their time and energy — have shown that our District is ready for a different voice in Congress,” said Himes. “We want a Congressman who will put the chaos and confusion of an ill-conceived war behind us and move on to address the issues of the day: education, health care, transportation, energy independence and competent national security. Our working families in Bridgeport, our growing businesses in Stamford and our commuters from every corner deserve nothing less.”


“My pride today is mixed. Today a man half my age is shouldering a weapon and climbing aboard a transport that will deliver him to a foreign battlefield. He, more than any of us, has cause to reflect on how we choose those who will send him away or bring him home,” continued Himes. “Would he, or any of the brave men and women in our military, be interested in dollars raised? Or would he instead select a leader based on the caliber of his ideas and judgment? Thank you very much to everyone who has given of their time and resources to demonstrate their trust in me to do the job better. It is time for change.”


You can learn more about Jim here, or read his recent liveblog at Daily Kos here.


Disclosure: I am currently doing some early volunteer work online for Jim Himes.

2Q Fundraising Reports Open Thread

UPDATE: Mark Udall hauled in $1.1 million+ in the second quarter and has $2.5 million cash on hand in his bid for Colorado’s open Senate seat.



While we plan on posting a comprehensive chart listing all the fundraising action in hot Senate and House races (like we did here for the first quarter), the deadline for campaigns to file their reports is still under a week away–so let’s use this as a chance to profile some of the reports we’ve seen so far.

  • WA-08: According to Horse’s Ass, Democrat Darcy Burner has raised $200K in the second quarter and has $185K left in the bank.  Not unimpressive.  Burner is pledging to run a different kind of campaign in 2008, and she’s started by hiring a better media guy: Dan Kully, who created the beloved ad Creating a Buzz for Jon Tester last year.
  • NM-02: Doña Ana County Commissioner Bill McCamley just might have the most surprising fundraising total of them all so far this quarter: a very respectable $140K.  Given that McCamley is facing Republican incumbent Steve Pearce in the state’s most Republican-leaning district (at a PVI of R+5.7), reports like McCamley’s could be evidence of an increased sense of optimism among ambitious Democrats that many more Republican-leaning districts could be in play next year.
  • MI-07: As noted in the comments by SSPer Fitzy, local attorney and Democrat David Nacht raised $160K in the second quarter in his bid to challenge freshman Rep. Tim Walberg.  While Nacht is not the only candidate for the Democratic nomination (former state Sen. Jim Berryman is another), Walberg Watch picks up the real significance of the numbers:

    This is great fundraising for Nacht, and more than a little refreshing– $160,000 is more than all the Democratic candidates from 2002 to 2006 combined.

  • CO-04: Angie Paccione raised “more than” $100K.

If you’ve got any other numbers, post ’em in the comments.