NY-Gov should be completely uninteresting for most poll junkies by now – another day, another poll showing Paterson getting creamed by Cuomo.
Quinnipiac (HTML – June 16-21, registered voters)
David Paterson: 20%
Andrew Cuomo: 57%
MoE: +3%
Here’s the slightly more newsworthy bit – Sen. Gillibrand is behind Rep. Carolyn Maloney for the 2010 Senate nomination:
Quinnipiac (HTML – June 16-21, registered voters)
Kirsten Gillibrand: 23%
Carolyn Maloney: 27%
Jonathan Tasini: 4%
Don’t Know:: 44%
MoE: +3%
Don’t Know still winds in a landslide, naturally – but I’m wondering what is keeping Gillibrand’s numbers so far in the pits, considering that she’s fairly smoothly transitioned from upstate conservative Democrat to the liberal New York mainstream. My thought was a sort of “throw the bums out” mentality, considering how badly Paterson is doing.
The fav/unfav of Gillibrand and Maloney are pretty similar – not many people have heard enough about them yet to really form an opinion one way or the other.
Gillibrand’s, among Democrats:
Favorable: 29%
Unfavorable: 8%
Haven’t Heard Enough 63%
And Maloney’s, among Democrats
Favorable: 34%
Unfavorable: 2%
Haven’t Heard Enough 63%
I think Gillibrand will be fine in the primary in the end. I don’t know that any of the attacks from the downstate Democrats will necessarily stick as her voting record in the Senate gets fleshed out over the next year or so, and Upstate Democrats adore her, so she really just has to win a plurality of the NYC vote to carry the primary (or even a close second).
Bonus question from the Q-poll:
DavidNYC’s favorables, among Democrats:
Favorable: 63%
Unfavorable: 10%
Haven’t Heard Enough 27%
Obviously DavidNYC should be the Democratic Party’s choice for this one. Peter Fucking King stands no chance.
We really have to hope Suozzi gets in as Cuomo is apparently scared or something else.
Gillibrand’s going to win her primary. Frankly, she needs one to really sharpen her skills and introduce herself to New York voters. She’s done everything she’s needed to neutralize Maloney’s threat. She’ll be fine.
Paterson however has earned his place in the shitter. It seems like his low approval rating always gets chalked up to the Carolyn Kennedy mess but he’s been terrible on everything from the state’s budget to promoting transparency in government. He’s just a bad governor and a bad Democrat and someone needs to run him out of town and try to make New York at least somewhat functional.
As I have posted here before I don’t really feel strongly about either Gillibrand or Maloney. Gillibrand just kind of rubs me the wrong way, I don’t hate her or anything like that, I might even eventually warm up to her. But what I really do resent is basically the establishment lining up behing her and basically telling me “hey she’s our pick for senator so you better get used to it.” I mean why do you think she’s all of a sudden getting all these endorsements so soon? Yeah, it might be because she’s impressesd somme people. But it’s mostly due to some serious mojo, ala Schumer and Obama. You know shoudn’t she be doing a little bit better now then 23% in a primary?