Now that we’ve pretty much buried Indiana, it’s time to move the party over to a fresh new thread.
RESULTS
- NC: Associated Press | NC BoE | Politico
- OH: Associated Press | OH SoS | Politico
11:51pm: Gibbs now leads Dailey by 5 votes in OH-18. 35 precincts to go.
11:41pm: ‘Chili wins OH-02 — the AP calls it.
11:28pm: Last update from jeffmd here, but I’m gonna say a narrow ‘Chili win in OH-02 (he’ll improve slightly), and a very very narrow win in OH-18 for Dailey, within recount territory.
11:13pm: Things are looking better for Yalamanchili in OH-02, up 651 votes with 11 precincts left; 9 are in Hamilton County, where Chili’s been getting 55%. (jeffmd)
10:59pm: A new back of the envelope calculation says 21.1% for Dailey to 20.7% for Gibbs, or a 167-vote margin. Guernsey, Licking, and Tuscarawas Counties are left. Guernsey was 17-14 for Dailey, with some dude Moll winning; Licking was 30% for some dude Daubenmire but was 15-10 for Gibbs. Tuscarawas was also good for Moll, but leaned Gibbs 12-10. (jeffmd)
10:54pm: Here’s a bit of good news: In OH-02, Surya Yalamanchili has taken the lead from David Krikorian for the first time. He’s up 39-38 with three quarters in.
10:49pm: We’re down to stems and seeds, folks. The only real excitement left is OH-18.
10:42pm: 509 of 589 precincts are in, and Dailey leads by 160 votes in OH-18. Meanwhile, all the votes are now counted in NC-11, and it looks like Jeff Miller will barely make it to the general without a runoff — unless there’s a recount.
10:22pm: SSP’s jeffmd.app is projecting Fred Dailey to win OH-18 by 21.5% to Bob Gibbs’ 20.5%. Ohio law calls for a mandatory recount if the margin is below 0.5%.
10:19pm: The AP has called a runoff for NC-08, with Harold Johnson and Tim D’Annuzio the lucky twosome. Meanwhile, jeffmd has called IN-09 for Todd Young.
10:13pm: With 445 of 589 precincts in, NRCC pick Bob Gibbs leads Fred Daily by just 70 votes. Hang on to your butts…
10:03pm: The AP has called the Ohio Senate primary for Lee Fisher. He’s leading Brunner by 56-44 with about 48% of the votes in.
9:58pm: In OH-18, Fred Dailey leads NRCC pick Bob Gibbs by 25-22. Over half the vote’s in there.
9:53pm: OH-16 got super-tight – Jim Renacci leads Matt Miller by just over 100 votes.
And I’m surprised how close OH-sen has been. I thought it was going to be a blow out.
A close race: Dailey 25% – Gibbs 22%.
It looks like it’ll be a runoff, Elaine’s got 37%, Cunningham has 28%, Lewis has 16%, and the others have the rest. I’m still surprised that the minor candidates took so much of the vote from the big two (or three), that seems to be what made the difference.
Expect a Marshall endorsement by Kenneth Lewis, he ran attack ads against Cunningham. This will help Elaine consolidate the black vote and win the runnoff. Ann Worthy also was harsh on Cunningham during the debate, she might endorse Elaine as well. I think Elaine will be favored in the runoff.
Hopefully Conway beats Mongiardo on the 18th, and Halter makes Blanche mince meat.
Two examples of voters on our side likely not knowing what they are voting for, these aren’t just cases of more moderate Dems winning, nuts really can do well in a low turnout primary. Ask the voters of TX-22 if you need more evidence.
Too much of Stark County remaining.
Dailey back in the lead by less than 200 votes. Recount?
All precincts in, Jeff Miller wins with 40.19%. 65 votes out of runoff territory.
in OH-02 with 76% in.
don’t look now; chili is in the lead……..
I hope there’s more fun Thursday with the UK elections.
For an incumbent Representative to lose the biggest and most important county in his district is pretty distressing (Buncombe). I really hope Shuler doesn't have a problem in November with the Democratic base there. FWIW the GOP challenger who won his primary in NC did not win Buncombe either.
Uncalled races:
NC-11 – Miller within 0.2% of a runoff with Eichebaum with all precincts reporting. Should be Miller’s unless votes shift in the final canvass.
OH-02 – Looks all but certain for Chili, with 99% in.
OH-18 – Looks like a recount between Dailey and Gibbs, with 91% in. Looks like Dailey will have a tiny lead.
He is a full throttle teabagger.
He is connected with the Fishwater case where a local teacher taught creationism in the classroom (that’s the Good part!) and BURNED A CROSS into a student’s arm!!
(Daubenmire/ Fishwater= best buds!)
He showed up a a teabagger rally outside of a private fundraiser and demanded to speak to Space. After rumors of guns in the posession of the teabaggers, the Knox County Police was called in.
Go to his website to see more. Or better yet….DON’T!
I think the results are closer than the polls indicated because Republicans voted for Brunner.
Either that or Quinnipiac polls outside of the NYC area are garbage.
Larry Kissell, with all precincts in, won his primary just 63-37 after being the state’s Democratic House darling last cycle in the R+2 NC-08. Healthcarevotemuch?
Heath Shuler, with all precincts in, won his primary 62-38, running for his third term in the R+6 NC-11….after winning against Carl Mumpower 62-36 in 2008.
Hmmmm….
It looks like Gibbs will pull off a ‘victory’ by a margin of possibly less than 50 votes. Pretty much guarantees a recount.
I was quite amused on what politico had to say
Good night for the GOP establishment.