FL-22: You stray, you pay. Marco Rubio strayed from the GOP reservation on Arizona’s new immigration law, and now ultra-rightist Allen West is attacking him for it. It will probably endear West even more to his base, but I note that the 22nd CD is 15% Hispanic (though undoubtedly some portion is Cuban).
PA-12 (PDF): Global Strategy Group (D) for Mark Critz (4/27-29, likely voters, mid-April in parens):
Mark Critz: 45 (41)
Tim Burns: 37 (38)
(MoE: ±4.9%)
RI-01: Former Providence city councilman David Segal is considering a run, and the Progressive Change Campaign Committee wants to back him. He would join former state Democratic Party Chairman William Lynch and current Providence Mayor David Cicilline in the race. Businessman Anthony Gemma says he is also “strongly considering” a bid.
VA-05: Virgil Goode, who briefly served in Congress as an independent (between his switch from the Democratic to the Republican Party) has abandoned the major parties once again. He says he’s joining the Constitution Party – though no word on whether he plans to run on that line for his old seat. However, Jeff Clark says he [Clark] has gathered enough signatures to qualify for the ballot as an independent – but will only run if state Sen. Robert Hurt is the GOP nominee. It seems like local conservatives hate Hurt as much as we hate Lieberman.
UT-02: Retired school teacher Claudia Wright is planning to challenge Rep. Jim Matheson at the 2nd CD Democratic convention this Saturday, and says she thinks she can get the 40% she needs to make it on to the primary ballot. Wright principally cites Matheson’s healthcare vote as the reason for her run. While we just saw last night that unhappy liberals in North Carolina were willing to vote for no-names against two other Dems who voted nay on HCR (Heath Shuler and Larry Kissell), the stakes are a lot higher in UT-02, where it’s hard to imagine any Dem other than Matheson holding this seat.
How’s their track record, and are they an internal poll?
please…
Don’t forget to mention that David Segal is a current State Rep.
Also, if Anthony Gemma is who I think he is, he might actually have some name recognition. Back when I actually spent most of my time in Providence I used to hear commercials for Gemma’s plumbing/heating company a lot, and they were known for (get this) their phone number being 867-5309.
not a big deal
Considering the teabaggers seem to hate Coats, is there any chance that he will get a third party challenge? He got less than 40 percent in the Repub primary, there seems to be a large swath of voters who don’t want to see him back in the Senate.
(as usually – all conclusions are my own only…)
1. Establishment won big yesterday (Fisher and, probably, Marshall among Democrats, Coats, Rokita, Burton, Buchson, Ganley, Stivers, Renacci. and, probably, Gibbs – among Republicans)
2. Teabaggers made splashes (especially in Indiana), but lost almost everywhere
3. “conservative” (read – anti-HCR, read – Kissel, Shuler) Democrats got some “mild” (still over 60%) “warnings” from left-leaning Democratic primary electorate, but have good chances to get reelected in November
4. The enthusiasm among Republicans is still higher then among Democrats (may be – because of greater number of candidates and competitive races)
5. Wait for Pennsylvania and Arkansas for further conclusions)))
That’s all for now))))
As I have stated before, the PA-12 race is really going to come down to turnout. The higher the turnout, the better for the Republicans as they need an electorate that is like the one that went for McCain in 2008. The lower the turnout, the better for the Democrats as they need an electorate that is like the one that went for the Democratic judicial slate in 2009 when the rest of the state pretty much went Republican. The fly by night style pollsters of this race are providing few details so we cannot tell if the electorate they are polling resembles that of 2008 or that of 2009.
The good thing for the Democrats though is that they have a highly contested state representative race in the most Democratic part of the district, Greene County and the western portion of Fayette County. Localized turnout might be very heavy in this district, which would be great for the Democrats seeing the registration advantage in PA HR-50 is 3 to 1 Democratic.
It is interesting to see that Goode is joining the Constitution Party. From what I have read about him, Goode is not too friendly to the Hispanics and Muslims, I wonder if he is familiar with the 14th Amendment. I may be wrong but Goode does not strike me as the kind of guy who supports the 1st Amendment. I wonder if the Constitution Party is just another name for a party that views the 2nd Amendment as the whole Constitution?
http://www.politico.com/news/s…
Gulp.
that sucks.
http://tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo…
Ugh, that’s not the kind of retirement I like to see, especially this late in the cycle.
And to think, I was letting myself get my hopes up that maybe we were turning the tide and on the way to mitigating losses?
Maybe we still are, but being a daily obsessive junkie leaves me making too much emotionally of every high and low, even though my head says just watch the longer term trend.
http://capitaltonight.com/2010…
I think the only potential contender who hasn’t decided is fmr. State Sen. Michael Balboni. There have been rumblings that Cornyn’s been trying to recruit fmr. Massachusetts Gov. William Weld to give it go (hence, Cornyn’s recent statements on Gilly), but that seems pretty doubtful.