Public Policy Polling (5/15-16, likely voters, 5/1-2 in parens):
Rand Paul (R): 52 (46)
Trey Grayson (R): 34 (28)
Undecided: 7 (21)
Other: 7 (4)
(MoE: ±3.0%)
Stick a fork in ‘im? Either we’re the subject of the biggest case of respondent hornswaggling in polling history, or Rand Paul should win this one in a walk. Let’s take a moment to reflect on just how formidable Grayson seemed when he first started “exploring” this race, and when he started threatening to primary incumbent Sen. Jim Bunning out of existence. Little did he — or anyone else, really — suspect that the Alex Jones-brown-nosing, never-before-elected son of Libertarian fetishist icon Ron Paul would knock off the star player of the Kentucky Republican Party’s bench in a primary. That’s an accomplishment for the ages.
Sadly, PPP chose not to spend its finite resources on the Democratic primary. That’s a real shame, considering that that’s actually looking like a real race after several recent polls have shown state AG Jack Conway closing in on Lt. Gov. Dan Mongiardo. But, we don’t have to wait too much longer until the final poll of this race — the one with the 0.0% margin of error — is released.
I mean, if you are going to poll KY primaries, my thought would be that the democratic Primary would have been a better choice.
This many have been one of those polls where people on the PPP website voted on what to poll, and the Paulbots may have spammed that.
Anyone have guesses as to who will win the Dem Primary?
I really hope its Conway, so much so that I think it is clouding my judgment when I say I think he will be the winner.
Even the ‘final poll’ of any race has a small but finite margin of error.
Take MN-Sen last year, when the recount flipped 1K out of 3M votes. That was enough to put the good guy over the top.
against Rand Paul. We knew his positions on the issues, but I thought being on camera with Grayson might temper his views. No pell grants? No Perkins Loans? What state of agency does Kentucky have to deal with these matter or is Mitch McConnell going to have to set a new record for the amount of money brought back to a state by a single U.S. Senator?
From every bit of polling available, Grayson would have this thing wrapped up almost from the word “go.” Instead, the Tea Party may get their first REAL win of primary season, and that’s the only thing Democrats have going for them in November. Insurgent victories help Democrats – whether it’s a GOP insurgent or a Democratic insurgent. In fact, the best possible matchup for those who hope for a party switch in Kentucky is insurgent vs. insurgent…
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