TX-Gov: White Catches Up to Perry in New PPP Poll

Public Policy Polling (pdf) (6/19-21, Texas voters, 2/4-7 in parens):

Bill White (D): 43 (42)

Rick Perry (R-inc): 43 (48)

Undecided: 14 (10)

(MoE: ±4.4%)

For a Texas Democrat in 2010, those are some very strong numbers. Jensen has more:

In almost every race in the country right now Republican voters are more unified around their candidates than Democrats are and independents are leaning toward the GOP. Texas is running against the national grain on both of those counts- White is winning 15% of Republicans while Perry gets just 10% of Democrats and White also has a 42-36 advantage with independent voters.

Perry’s job approval is underwater at 36-49, but that’s actually a slight uptick from February, when Perry’s rating was a dismal 33-50. Among independent voters, Perry’s approval is a brutal 27-55. With an A-grade recruit in former Houston Mayor Bill White at the helm, that all adds up to the rare opportunity for a Democratic pick-up in a solid red state like Texas. While the odds are still steep, this should be a fun race to watch.

35 thoughts on “TX-Gov: White Catches Up to Perry in New PPP Poll”

  1. Bill White’s profile on Facebook and following his campaign through that. His updates are sometimes campaign updates, but a lot of them are thoughtful messages about education, his personal life, and sports. He seems like a genuine guy, a really impressive public servant. Though many will be rooting for Perry to lose just because he’s Perry–I can’t blame them–I will do anything I can from NY to make sure that White becomes governor.

  2. …where Republicans always look like they are about to become competive but always end up falling short no matter what.  Given the Republicans have finally snatched New Jersey perhaps it’s time for the other half of the paradigm to catch up?

    The problem however is always anemic turnout by the Democratic base and in particular poor voter registration and turnout by Hispanics.  The demographics are shifting our way but a lot of work needs to be done on the infrastructure on the ground.

  3. I’m checking the crosstabs, White has 39% unknown, which sounds right, but the sample is a bit more Democratic than should be expected.

    A 43 Republican, 37 Democratic, and 20 Indy sounds right, BUT the 51 McCain, 40 Obama, 9 other does not.

    This does seem REALLY close to where it really is. My bet on the real numbers: 45 Perry, 42 White. Which is still EXTREMELY good results.

    Side note, I went to a Bill White event on Saturday for organizing Denton County. It’s taken them long enough, but it sounds like we’re finally going to get our own county office either next month or in August. It’s been 2 years since I’ve dedicated myself to a campaign, I’m ready to go*!!!!!!

    *Unless dang grad school wants to get in my way.  🙁

  4. Indie – 35%

    GOP – 33%

    Dem – 32%

    Perry – 54/87/10 = 51%

    White – 46/13/90 = 49%

    We do have a real shot here, but I suspect the environment may be too difficult.

  5. Talk about a good poll going into the state convention this weekend in Corpus Christi.

  7. Bill White is arguably the best candidate we have in the country.  Even during bad times Houston as a whole did grow.  

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