DE-Sen, DE-AL: New Polling from Research 2000 & Rasmussen

Research 2000 for Daily Kos (2/22-24, likely voters, 10/12/09-10/14/09 in parens):

Chris Coons (D): 35 (39)

Mike Castle (R): 53 (51)

Undecided: 12 (10)

Chris Coons (D): 47

Christine O’Donnell (R): 31

Undecided: 22

(MoE: ±4%)

Rasmussen (2/22, likely voters, 1/25 in parens)

Chris Coons (D): 32 (27)

Mike Castle (R): 53 (56)

Other: 8 (5)

Undecided: 8 (13)

(MoE: ±4.5%)

Pretty similar numbers from both firms, though interestingly, Ras has Coons improving a bit while Research 2000 (albeit over a much longer timeframe) sees him dropping somewhat. R2K gives Coons 52-25 favorables, while Rasmussen has him much worse off, at 43-35 – but both show the same number of folks who have no opinion of the man. And both outfits also have Castle with essentially the same favorables, 65-30 (Ras) and 65-32 (R2K).

Christine O’Donnell, incidentally, is a teabagger who took 35% against Joe Biden in 2008. She also sought the privilege of getting slaughtered by Tom Carper in 2006, but scraped together a pathetic 17% in the GOP primary. She’s only raised about $20K this cycle, so I tend to doubt she’ll have much of an impact, though I guess we can always hope.

And as for Delaware’s at-large House seat (which Rasmussen apparently did not poll):

John Carney (D): 46 (44)

Charlie Copeland (R): 29 (21)

Undecided: 25 (35)

John Carney (D): 50

Fred Cullis (R): 26

Undecided: 24

John Carney (D): 45

Ferris Wharton (R): 35

Undecided: 20

(MoE: ±4%)

Right now, I’d rather be John Carney than any of the Republicans, but there are only two ways to run for office: unopposed, and scared – and Carney ain’t unopposed.

24 thoughts on “DE-Sen, DE-AL: New Polling from Research 2000 & Rasmussen”

  1. I think even the Delaware teabagger crowd (which may very well be composed of 17% of the state’s GOP electorate) realizes O’Donnell’s a surefire loser, while Castle’s a pretty solid bet to turn this seat red. If she continues with a bid here, I suspect she has a ceiling of about 20% against Castle. She’s not even a very exciting teabagger at that.

  2. seriously though, who are these Repubs running against Carney? are they serious contenders, like county officeholders or state legislators or something, or just some rich business guys with big egos and cash to burn?

  4. Adam B’s dkos post last Friday which released these numbers also included a great write-up making sound suggestions on how Coons ought to run against Castle.

    Coons has over 8 months to chip away at Castle’s 65% favorable rating.

    And that’s the tone Coons should adopt, especially given Delaware’s genteel political traditions (the “Delaware Way.”)  He ought to demonstrate due respect for Rep. Castle and his decades of service to the First State, but then pivot: a vote for Mike Castle isn’t just a vote for Mike Castle — it’s a vote to put Mitch McConnell in charge of the Senate and folks like Tom Coburn, Jim DeMint and David Vitter in positions of power over the President’s agenda.  In a state that still holds a strongly favorable opinion of President Obama (59%-36%), it’s a message which will resonate.

    http://www.dailykos.com/storyo…

  5. what you mean by this.

    Right now, I’d rather be John Carney than any of the Republicans, but there are only two ways to run for office: unopposed, and scared – and Carney ain’t unopposed.

    Um, I think most good politicians don’t run unopposed or scared, so I’m really not understanding that line.  Unless you’re playing some 11-dimensional chess I’m not getting.

  7. That some of the same people who are very relieved over the Bobby Bright poll and assuming Bright is now safe are assuming Coons can pull an upset against Castle, even though the numbers are about the same.

    I say – I wouldn’t call either Bright or Castle safe yet.  

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