Liveblog Thread #4

11:31: Time for some fresh thread.

11:26: Dave Loebsack hangs on in IA-02.

11:24: NY-29 called for Tom Reed, an expected R pickup. PA-06 called for Jim Gerlach – hope we see Manan Trivedi again, though.

11:23: In TX-27, Blake Farenthold is up by 77 votes with 88% reporting. Also, the results in New York are really crappy.

11:20: More craptastic news: In SC-05, Mick Mulvaney beats John Spratt.

11:19: In WA-03, Jamie Herrera is up big over Denny Heck, 57-43 (18%).

11:17: With 22% reporting, John Kitzhaber has a 57-41 lead in OR-Gov.

11:14: Michele Bachmann unsurprisingly wins in MN-06. Tight race in AL-02.

11:13: OH-12 called for Pat Tiberi. AR-02 called for Tim Griffin, so another GOP pickup.

11:11: A little bit of good news out of PA: PA-12 called for Mark Criz and PA-04 called for Jason Altmire.

11:08: PA-15 called for Charlie Dent, NY-27 called for Brian Higgins, KS-04 called for Mike Pompeo (wouldn’t be surprised if he gets primaried next cycle), AR-04 called for Blue Dog King Mike Ross, and in some very bad news, WI-08 called for roofer Reid Ribble, who beats Dem Rep. Steve Kagen.

11:06: Another shitty loss: Rick Berg beats Earl Pomeroy in ND-AL.

11:04: Kilroy Was Here. Steve Stivers beats Mary Jo Kilroy in OH-15.

11:04: Believe it: Mike Keown beats Rep. Sanford Bishop in GA-02.

11:03: Debbie Halvorson loses to Adam Kinzinger in IL-11. Nikki Haley wins in SC-Gov, but hopefully some shine is off her halo after a narrow victory. (DGA, where were you?)

11:01: CO-04 called for Corey Gardner (R). Hate to see Bill Foster lose in IL-14, but he goes down to Randy Hultgren. Sucks.

10:59: TX-25 called for Lloyd Doggett. Melissa Bean is losing in IL-08 and Bob Dold has a narrow lead in IL-10. Talk about sucky.

10:58: KS-03 called for Kevin Yoder. IA-03 called for Leonard Boswell. PA-07 called for Pat Meehan, so another GOP pickup.

10:55: Not terribly surprising: Teabagger Ron Johnson beats Russ Feingold in WI-Sen.

10:54: Just horrible: Patrick Murphy loses in PA-08 to Mike Fitzpatrick. Also, WI-Gov called for GOPer Scott Walker. And CT-04 apparently called for Dem Jim Himes, though the reported numbers are whack.

10:52: In PA-17, Tim Holden (D) wins. Emanuel Cleaver in MO-05 had an unexpectedly close race but hangs on.

10:51: Fuckity – Jim Renacci beats John Boccieri in OH-16.

10:50: Dems lead in MN-07 (Peterson 53-41) and MN-08 (58-38 Oberstar).

10:49: Republican Bill Johnson defeats Dem Charlie Wilson in OH-06.

10:44: NY-21 and 22 appear to be okay, but the rest of upstate… NY-23: Owens 48, Doheny 45 (9%); NY-24: Hanna 53, Arcuri 47 (16%); NY-25: Buerkle 51-49 (20%).

10:43: Some fugly numbers out of NY:NY-19: Hayworth 61-39 (10%); NY-20: Gibson 58-42 (10%).

10:41: In NY-09, Anthony Weiner (a late add to our big board) wins.

10:39: Ben Chandler is declaring victory in KY-06, but we may be headed to a recount there. NM-Gov is called for Susana Martinez (R).

10:38: MO-Sen called for Roy Blunt. Looks like a huge blowout.

10:37: MA-06 called for John Tierney.

10:36: SC-02 called for Joe Wilson (but note unimpressive margin). NE-02 called for Lee Terry. MA-05 called for Niki Tsongas.

10:34: PA-10: Tom Marino beats Chris Carney; PA-11: Lou Barletta beats Paul Kanjorski; MS-01: Alan Nunnelee beats Travis Childers, someone SSP supported big-time during the 2008 special election.

10:31: Some results from Louisiana: Joe Cao loses in LA-02 to Cedric Richmond, so it’s a Dem pickup, while Jeff Landry picks up LA-03 for the Republicans. In GA-12, John Barrow hangs on.

10:30: A DGA press release congratulates John Hickenlooper in CO-Gov, and that’s good enough for us.

10:28: RI-01, David Cicilline (the Dem) wins the open seat. In IL-17, sophomore Phil Hare (who didn’t even have an opponent last cycle) loses to Bobby Schilling (R).

10:27: In NJ-03, John Adler concedes. Better news in NJ-06, where Frank Pallone survives.

10:25: Thank god: Rush Holt is called the victor in NJ-12. Sadly, Zack Space loses in OH-18. Larry Kissell survives in NC-08.

10:24: Frank Kratovil loses in MD-01, while Mike Michaud (ME-02) and Mike McIntyre (NC-07) both survive.

10:23: Leads for David Rivera and Allen West down in Florida, for Scott Keown in GA-02.

10:22: Crap: PA-Gov called for Republican Tom Corbett. Not exactly surprising.

10:22: 19% in in ME, and Cutler’s still leading. Up 39-32-22.

10:20: This is barfy: Hultgren up 53-44 for in IL-14. And Melissa Bean is up just 50-47 with two thirds in, against what had seemed like a totally imploded Walsh campaign.

10:19: In IL-17, Bobby Schilling leads Phil Hare 54-42 with 60% in.


Let’s get rolling.

RESULTS: CNN | Politico

224 thoughts on “Liveblog Thread #4”

  1. He is kind of a schmuck… That seat can be gotten back pretty easily in 2012 when Schilling is unable to bring Caterpillar back to Decatur.

  2. I’ll be VERY interested to see national turnout numbers.  I really want to know if Dems stayed home, or if so-called independents just came out in droves (and for the Republicans).  I honestly don’t know what’s happening.

  3. Just got back from voting, my polling place was packed, and there were TONS of mostly older hippies who turned out, so I think we’re looking good in California. How’s the rest of the country looking?

    Ohhhhh fuck.

  4. Space, Boccieri, Kilroy and likely Wilson are going to lose, yet Pat Tiberi (R) is baring leading Paula Brooks 49.9-46.9 and Driehaus is losing but not by the blowout he was supposedly going to lose by. Regarding OH-12, is Delaware County in? or just Columbus? That could explain Tiberi’s narrow margin

  5. Sestak’s margin is slowly declining.  85.7% of precincts reporting and Sestak’s margin is ~29,000 votes, looks like it’s going to be VERY close.

  6. It’s time to make a list of the ethically challenged frosh GOPers in congress.

    David Rivera. Allen West. Tom Marino.

    Also, I’m sure there can be a list of complete dumfucks.

    Runyan comes to mind first.

  7. Mark was WRONG Beebe and Weiner win and the Republicans will not win anything close to 90 seats. Thank you for playing our little game Mark.

  8. Democrats in Tennessee General Assembly have EPICALLY collapsed. Tennessee House Dems appeared posed to lose 15 seats, with many long-term incumbents getting slaughtered.

    Tennessee State Senate sees two Dems (Burks, Jackson)who were considered safe upset, while my State Senator, Lowe Finney appears as one of the lone bright spots by surviving the TENNOCALYPSE.

    Old House: 50R-48D-1I

    New House: 65D-33D-1I*

    Old Senate: 19R-14D

    New Senate: 21R-12D*

    *- Tentative Results

  9. Connolly is up 696 votes, 98 percent in. Looks like outstanding votes in Prince William Co (Fimian won 51-46), and Fairfax, (50-48 Connolly). Recount here as well?

  10. I seriously thought he was gonna make it. First you take away  the House, then the best mustache in Congress? Damn you, American voters, damn you to Hell. I may need something stronger than beer…

  11. That will make it that much more painful.  Same will be said for Alexi as well.  

    Polls were ultimately right, even if percentages were wrong – it was a massacre.  

  12. In the blazes can Hall (NY-19) and Murphy (NY-20) be losing when Cuomo, Schumer, and Gillibrand are at the top of the ticket? Can this trifecta save those two and other upstate incumbents?

  13. Bean down 65 votes with 87 percent in. Did not expect this at all. Halvorson getting killed, no surprise there, and I bet Foster is done in IL-14 too.

  14. Toomey leads with half of Lancaster still outstanding.  The half of Montgomery still out can’t offset Toomey’s lead plus his margin in Lancaster (40,000 total).

    Sigh, my worst loss of the night.

  15. Our seats:

    Tim Kennedy’s down 3% in 58, thanks to Stachowski’s ballot presense, though we can pull it off.

    Antoine Thompson is down 30% with 3% in, but he’ll win by 10-15% due to the district’s reporting nature.

    Breslin leads by 8%, though that should grow.

    So far so good for Aubertine, up 16%.

    Same for Addabbo.

    There are three seats I’m worried about: Nothing from Foley or Johnson and Valesky is up only 2%.

    GOP seats:

    No results in for Hannon or Golden, but real opportunites.

    Saland, Bonacic and Alesi may be beat, but we are behind 6-8%.

    Padavan is being beat by 10%.

    Carlucci is up 18% in late Morahan’s open seat; we almost assured of a pickup here.

    My prediction as of now:

    33D, 31R, losing one and gaining two

  16. news, Chafee pulls ahead in Rhode Island. Bad news, South Carolina called for Haley, hopefully she’ll give South Carolina more of that Sanford type of leadership they love down there.

  17. He has a 60K vote lead with 3/4 of the vote in.  More of Chicago is in than downstate, so it will be a close one.

  18. Skelton losing to Vicky Hartzless, 50-45.

    In the night I hear ’em talk, the coldest story ever told

    Somewhere far along the road he lost the votes

    To a woman so Hartzless

  19. Looks Gene Taylor and Olivero are toast

    Same goes for Pomeroy and Herseth Sandalin(unless of course the native American counties turn out big for us)

  20. Scott is going to win.  All of Broward is in and 2/3rds of Miami-Dade.  Not enough votes in Palm Beach County for her to catch up.  Expect a call any moment.

  21. Everybody’s called it for Himes, yet the numbers still show him behind by 6,000. This may be good news for Foley, as if Bridgeport came in really, really heavy to allow them to call Himes race already then they must be huge.

    Interesting that Chris Murphy still hasn’t been called.

  22. Democrats aren’t great, but it seems like a lot of people voted for way too many Republicans solely because they were Republicans. These people are going to do who knows what to America if they get the chance.

    It disgusts me that voters rewarded openly racist, sexist, homophobic candidates over and over.

  23. Suprisingly, the anti-health care amendment in Colorado is losing 55%-45% and the anti-abortion amendment, aka the “personhood” amendment is losing 73%-27%

  24. We lost every statewide race, every congressional seat, and a bunch of seats in the Legislature that we should’ve won … Whipple, Swenson(!), Manning in Wichita plus every single Democrat from Johnson County lost, except Mike Slattery.

    That’s just absolute annihilation. Wow, and to think I even considered the thought we might win some of these.  

  25. Was hoping with a Dayton win that we’d be able to pass gay marriage but our suburban state legislators appear to not be doing too well and they are the key to getting the votes lined up.

  26. Dems are now likely to lose every statewide office (though Cordray might stage a last minute comeback in the AG race), the state house and the only seat on the Supreme court they held.

    Congressional delegation went from 10-8 Dem to 13-5 Rep.

    This is unbelievably depressing. So much for the vaunted ODP turnout machine.  

  27. Still think Murray holds this.  Wish she were winning Kitsap county though.  Looks like exit polls give her a double digit lead among women, which I’d expected.  Should be enough to give her a 1-3% victory if true.

  28. :sigh:

    I didn’t really expect to win this, but when the results started coming in, this was going to be my silver lining of the night.

    Guess it was not to be.

    :sigh:

    Well, if both Bennet and Reid hold on, then at least we limited Senate gains to +6 for the Republicans, which isn’t bad.  

  29. After being left to twist in the wind, he got a much higher percentage of the vote than Boccieri, Kilroy, or Space, and did nearly as well as Wilson. I wouldn’t be surprised to see him retake that seat in 2012.

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