House Polls 2008

(From the diaries with minor edits – promoted by DavidNYC)

Below is a handy table of all the verifiable House polls I could find for the current election cycle. Special election polls are only included for upcoming elections, not for those that are already over. Every poll contains a link and an exact date range. Polling for candidates who have dropped out or decided against running is not included.

Cross posted from Election Inspection.

District Incumbent Poll Dem Candidate % Rep Candidate %
AL-02 Terry Everett (R) Anzalone Liszt 10/2-10/4 Bobby Bright 43 Harri Anne Smith 38
AL-02 Terry Everett (R) Anzalone Liszt 10/2-10/4 Bobby Bright 46 Jay Love 27
AL-05 Bud Cramer (D) Capital Survey Research Center 4/1 Parker Griffith 48 Wayne Parker 32
AK-AL Don Young (R) Research 2000 12/3-12/6 Ethan Berkowitz 49 Don Young 42
AZ-08 Gabby Giffords (D) Summit Group (R) 12/3-12/4 Gabby Giffords 36 Tim Bee 30
FL-13 Vern Buchanan (R) Public Opinion Strategies 3/5-3/6 Christine Jennings 37 Vern Buchanan 53
FL-24 Tom Feeney (R) Garin-Hart-Yang 7/9-7/11 Suzanne Kosmas 23 Tom Feeney 42
IL-10 Mark Kirk (R) Garin-Hart-Yang 2/7-2/8 Dan Seals 39 Mark Kirk 46
LA-06 Richard Baker (R) Anzalone Liszt 4/8-4/10 Don Cazayoux 49 Woody Jenkins 42
LA-06 Richard Baker (R) Anzalone Liszt 3/16-3/20 Don Cazayoux 49 Woody Jenkins 44
MD-01 Wayne Gilchrest (R) Moore Information 1/15-1/16 Frank Kratovil 22 Andy Harris 37
MI-07 Tim Walberg (R) EPIC-MRA 2/27-3/2 Mark Schauer 40 Tim Walberg 51
MI-09 Joe Knollenberg (R) Greenberg Quinlan Rosner 10/31-11/02 Gary Peters 35 Joe Knollenberg 42
MS-01 Roger Wicker (R) Anzalone Liszt 4/3-4/7 Travis Childers 41 Greg Davis 40
NM-01 Heather Wilson (R) Public Opinion Strategies (R) 10/8-10/9 Martin Heinrich 33 Darren White 51
NY-25 Jim Walsh (R) Global Strategy Group (D) 2/16-2/20 Dan Maffei 41 Peter Cappuccilli 29
NC-08 Robin Hayes (R) Greenberg Quinlan Rosner 11/13-11/15 Larry Kissell 49 Robin Hayes 47
OH-02 Jean Schmidt (R) Tarrance Group (R) 3/11-3/12 Vic Wulsin 33 Jean Schmidt 51
PA-10 Chris Carney (D) Momentum Analysis 12/6-12/9 Chris Carney 53 Dan Meuser 23
PA-10 Chris Carney (D) Momentum Analysis 12/6-12/9 Chris Carney 55 Chris Hackett 21
TX-07 John Culberson (R) IVR 4/8 Michael Skelly 39 John Culberson 57
WY-AL Barbara Cubin (R) Mason-Dixon 1/18-1/21 Gary Trauner 41 Cynthia Lummis 40

Based on the polling above, Democrats are likely to pick up at least 5-10 seats, and that’s with many competitive races yet unpolled and many campaigns just starting to rev up. Although there are a few seats held by Democrats that are in danger, none yet polled show us losing to the GOP.

Keep an eye on EI for House and Senate polls updated daily.

By what margin will Bob Shamansky win?

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4 thoughts on “House Polls 2008”

  1. If you know of any polls that I missed, please provide a link. (Don’t just link to DC’s Political Report or USA Election atlas – give me a pollster’s website, a media news report, or failing that, a blog (including this one, DKos, and RCP’s blog)

  2. 20 being more likely. Maybe a couple D seats will be lost but certainly no more than 5. I think 250 total Reps. is a reasonable target to aim for.

  3. I have downloaded two other polls not in the list above: Ivan Moore’s poll commissioned by and for Berkowitz and a poll by Cracium Research Group commissioned by Diane Benson.  Can you please add these polls to your list?  Cracium polled for the 2008 Democratic primary match-up and found 28.6% for Berkowitz v. 21% for Benson, and found that Benson and Berkowitz would beat Young in the General (DB 45.3 to DY 36.7) and (EB 49.7% to DY 35.1%).  Moore’s poll only included and it looks like Research 2000 also only included Berkowitz.  Benson ran as the Democratic nominee against Young in 2006 winning 40%. Let’s give Benson some credit, and give readers the benefit of knowing there is a choice for Alaskans among at least two credible and viable candidate in the primary in August 28th.    

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