Quinnipiac (8/25-30, likely voters, 8/5-9 in parens):
Jon Corzine (D-inc): 37 (40)
Chris Christie (R): 47 (46)
Chris Daggett (I): 9 (7)
(MoE: ±2.4%)
Fairleigh Dickinson (8/24-30, registered voters, 6/22-29 in parens):
Jon Corzine (D-inc): 42 (39)
Chris Christie (R): 47 (45)
(MoE: ±4%)
Fairleigh Dickinson did not include Chris Daggett in their poll, but 1% of respondents volunteered his name. In any event, after seeing Christie suffering a prolonged stretch of bad press followed by a pair of polls showing Corzine inching back, these polls have to be considered as something of a disappointment for Corzine fans.
Voters Unhappy with Congress
A new Public Policy Polling survey finds that only 36% of voters approve of the job congressional Democrats are doing, and for congressional Republicans that number declines to 32%.
However, in a generic congressional ballot test, 45% of voters say they would choose a Republican if there was an election being held today, while 41% say they would vote Democratic.
Those are ugly numbers too, why are dems taking such a hit? What exactly are they doing wrong? Health care is not there fault it isn’t passing.
Corzine hurting himself with attacks and Daggett getting benefit? Too soon to tell.
I’ve just been watching too many episodes of “Mayday”, but this race is really starting to look like one of those airline crashes where the plane is about 900 feet short of the runway. Corzine is pulling out of his dive, slightly, but he’s already too low.
Still, the pollsters really need to learn how to poll a 3-way race. I’ve never seen any of them do so accurately. The question is who Daggett hurts more – Corzine or Christie. I have a sinking feeling the answer is probably Corzine.
Corzine deserves to lose, but the thought of Chistie getting anywhere near the governorship of any state makes my skin crawl.
What does concern me is that fatboy Christie could be well-positioned for a run at Lautenberg’s seat in the future if he win the governorship. I don’t like Corzine, but Christie is a blowhard who would definitely use his governorship to boost his national profile (he’s already a regular on Fox News).
I have a lot of issues with Corzine as well, but he never hides who he is or what he has done unlike Christie. Also, Christie engages in broad platitudes about reforming the state’s property taxes, but never offers specifics as to how he would do it. Unfortunately, Jersey is a mess. The real problem are the political machines that hand-pick candidates to run for the municipal, county, and Assembly races. It’s lead to a lot of dysfunction and corruption, and it requires reform-minded Democrats to stand up for internal change. I just don’t see that happening though.
Corzine will probably pull this race out but he won’t be shown leading in the polls until mid October or until the debates happen. Polls aren’t very reflective of the final results in New Jersey until right before the election. This is my current prediction for the final results in the NJ-gov election.
Corzine 45%
Christie 42%
Daggett 11%
Other 2%
(behind Byrd).
Would a Gov. Christie get to appoint a Repub replacement should a vacancy occur?
Notice how Christie never smiles even when being paraded around. I also think that Kim Guadagno must have skeletons in her closet (someone should look into that).