11:06PM: It’s over – Hanson wins! Congratulations! Final tally: 3,932 to 3,825. Burgmeier actually carried Wapello by four votes, but it wasn’t enough. Anyhow, this is great news… for John McCain!
10:55PM: Pass the dutchie ‘pon the lef’ han’ side… looks like our friends at the Wapello County Board of Elections are taking a bit of a ganja break.
10:38PM: The first two precincts in Wapello have come in, and they are looking good for Hanson – he leads there 339-178. Burgmeier would need to carry those last six precincts by an 18-point margin to eke out a win.
10:34PM: All of the outstanding precincts are in Wapello Co., which Obama won with 55% of the vote last fall.
10:33PM: Much closer now – 20 of 28 precincts, and Hanson’s lead is just 3,335 to 3,224.
10:22PM: Polls are closed in Iowa, and with a quarter of precincts reporting (all from Jefferson Co.), Dem Carl Hanson has a lead of 2,050 to 1,441.
James provided some background on both of tonight’s special elections in this earlier post. Polls close in Iowa at 10pm Eastern time, and in California at 11pm. UPDATE: Via folks in comments, Gov. Schwarzenegger has ordered that results be held until 10pm Pacific (1am Eastern) so that firefighters from the district who are fighting fires in Southern California can have extra time to vote.
If you have other results links, please post `em in comments. Also, as always, you can use this thread to make predictions.
Just left this explanation in the previous thread.
There will be no reported results in CA-10 until 10 p.m. California time due to the Gov allowing firefighters to vote in their command certers until 10. The law does not allow release of results until all polls are closed.
http://www.ibabuzz.com/politic…
You east coasters: Get some sleep.
So the counties in the Iowa Senate district are Jefferson, Wapello and Van Buren Counties. Obama won Jefferson with 58% and Wapello with 55%. McCain won Van Buren with 54%. So here is what you need to watch for: the Democrat has to come in really strong in Wapello and Jefferson Counties to win. If he loses one of them, he should be toast.
What does the Fourth of July party stand for?
Curt Hanson Democrat 2050
Stephen Burgmeier Republican 1441
with about 59% in Jefferson through 7 districts.
for the 4th of July party.
Seven of 11 precincts reporting in Jefferson, Hanson up 57.8%-40.7%, a healthy margin with raw numbers of 2050 to 1441.
Need to win Wapello big, and if Hanson does that, Van Buren shouldn’t matter.
Obama won the Senate district. Hanson is winning Jefferson County with about 58% of the vote, the same as Obama. The race is still too early to call but I think Hanson has a good shot at winning.
Curt Hanson Democrat 3039
Stephen Burgmeier Republican 3041
I guess Wapello will decide it.
Van Buren is all in and Burgmeier is up by 2 votes. Hansen should win remaining precincts.
Voted for Obama by 14 points. Since Hanson ran as well as Obama in Jefferson County, he should do the same in Wallepo County. I expect a win for Hanson. P.S Two precincts in Jefferson have not reported and Van Buren is all in with Wallepo 0% in.
Current count is
Curt Hanson
Democrat 3039
Stephen Burgmeier
Republican 3041
Dan Cesar
Fourth of July Party 34
Douglas William Philips
Nominated by Petition 222
Write-In Votes
6
Total Votes
6342
I am calling this race for Hanson. Even if the Republican magically wins Wallepo County, he should not win by 111 votes.
Current results
Precincts Reported: 20/28
Curt Hanson
Democrat 3335
Stephen Burgmeier
Republican 3224
Dan Cesar
Fourth of July Party 35
Douglas William Philips
Nominated by Petition 228
Write-In Votes
6
Total Votes
6828
The GOP overperformed (compared to McCain) in Van Buren, but the turnout was tiny per precinct compared to Jefferson, where Hanson did only slightly worse (56-43) than did Obama.
Unless Wapello comes in GOP, this is done. Anyone know offhand where the candidates are from?
Didn’t the R here do better than McCain in Van Buren?
Hanson has 2675 votes or 55.6%.
Burgmeier has 2057 votes or 42.8%.
D wins.
Doubt it will stay that way, but it is provides him with an almost unbeatable cushion.
Good win for the Iowa Dems, if this holds. Shows that in politically marginal territory, railing about the scary gays isn’t a surefire electoral winner.
Thank God.
Im pretty much calling it for Hanson now :). So much for the anti-gay marriage folks voting like it was no tomorrow. This just shows how this issue is changing for the better.
How closely did Hanson tie himself to gay marriage? Did he come out in support or opposition, or try to avoid the issue?
there are 1500 votes out the R would have to win 900 to 600 in a D county.
the six remaining Wapello precincts are taking a ganja break.
A shame the Fourth of July Party is doing so poorly.
and the good guys win by 107 votes.
Burgmeier won Wapello. Hanson wins by 107 votes.
GREAT!
Now we go to waiting for the California results come 1am. Screw you haters of gays. This is another lose for you :P.
bad news for the St. Patrick’s Day Party
Is the Jefferson County district that much larger than the rest? The R did much better than McCain in the other 2 counties but Jefferson swamped them.
After the Dem pickup of a Republican seat in the Kentucky State Senate and a hard win in Louisiana for the State Senate (add on an easy House election), Democrats just won a 4th of 4 special elections. Three of the elections were in competitive districts and I think this shows that the Democratic brand is still strong!*
But if Congress doesnt get off it’s a* and get SOMETHING passed… then we’ll have some real problems!
Who thinks the Republican candidate looks like the love child of Robert E. Lee and an Amish farmer?