SSP Daily Digest: 9/21

MA-Sen: Here’s another academic name popping up in connect with Ted Kennedy’s vacant senate seat. The Center for American Progress Action Fund thinks that Deval Patrick should appoint Harvard prof and Boston-based surgeon Atul Gawande to the post. Gawande is best-known these days for his seminal article this summer in the New Yorker about health-care costs, but he also was a healthcare advisor to Bill Clinton in the early 90s. (D)

Also in the Bay State, Rep. Mike Capuano got a potentially helpful endorsement, from fellow Rep. Barney Frank. Frank’s imprimatur may help Capuano prove his liberal bona fides and win over some voters in the Boston suburbs who may not be familiar with him.

NH-Sen: Despite Kelly Ayotte’s reputed field-clearing abilities, yet another Republican is adding his name to the list of possible candidates in the New Hampshire Senate race. Real estate investor William Binnie is quite literally from the country club wing of the GOP — he’s owner and president of the Wentworth-by-the-Sea Country Club and owner/driver of an auto racing team. Another suggestion he may be running to the left of Ayotte (although her intentionally amorphous political persona gives no clue about her ideology); Binnie is tight with moderate GOP ex-Rep. Andrew Zeliff, and has given money to Democratic candidates in the past.

TX-Sen: Rumors out of Texas have Kay Bailey Hutchison resigning her seat at year’s end (on Dec. 31 or Jan. 1) in order to pursue her gubernatorial bid against Rick Perry. Under Texas law, this would lead to a short-term appointment, and then a special election on May 8.

IA-Gov: Incumbent Dem Chet Culver continues to sport rather good favorables, clocking in at 50/37, but his re-elect numbers may give him some pause (28% say “definitely vote for,” 27% say “consider an alternative,” and 21% say “definitely vote for alternative”). Republican ex-Gov. Terry Branstad, who’s been receptive to the idea of a bid for a return to office, is still remembered fondly by Iowans, with favorables of 59/22. Sen. Chuck Grassley is the state’s best-liked figure, though, with 64% favorables and a 45% “definitely vote for.” (H/t Steve Benen.)

NJ-Gov (pdf): Neighborhood Research is a Republican internal pollster (they worked with primary loser Steve Lonegan), but they were the first pollster to find Jon Corzine moving back within the margin of error. They’re back with a new poll, showing Corzine still within striking distance, trailing Chris Christie 37-33 (although that’s down from their August finding of 37-35) with Chris Daggett at 6. Meanwhile, Chris Daggett has joined a voter suit challenging ballot ordering in New Jersey, which favors the two major-party candidates.

PA-Gov: Montgomery County Commissioner and ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel says he’s moving ahead with plans to run for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination. No formal announcement date is set, but the progressive from the Philly suburbs is starting to staff up, and is bolstered by an internal poll he commissioned through Lake Research, showing him leading the nebulous field at 15%, with Allegheny County Exec Dan Onorato and state Auditor Jack Wagner both at 12, Scranton mayor Chris Doherty at 6, and Philly businessman Tom Knox at 5.

NY-23: With the 23rd now officially vacant, Dem candidate Bill Owens is the first to put up a TV spot. He stresses his military roots and efforts to generated jobs via the redevelopment of the old Plattsburgh AFB.

TN-01: Get ready for Roe vs. Davis III in the 1st. Ex-Rep. David Davis, who defeated current Rep. Phil Roe in the 2006 GOP primary and then lost the 2008 GOP primary to him (in this R+21 district), has been publicly blasting Roe’s record.

NY-Lt. Gov: On Friday, Sept. 11th, New York’s highest court, the Court of Appeals, heard oral arguments regarding David Paterson’s appointment of Richard Ravitch as Lt. Governor. According to reports, Paterson’s camp seemed to have gotten its most favorable treatment to date. Lawyers on both sides, says the NYT, expect a decision within two weeks, which would mean the end of this week or the beginning of next. One possibility is that the court could rule that Republican leader Dean Skelos simply didn’t have standing to sue, which would leave the Ravitch appointment intact. (D)

NYC-Mayor: Marist finds that Democratic city Comptroller William Thompson, despite a convincing primary win, still trails Independent/Republican incumbent Mike Bloomberg in the general, 50-39 among RVs and 52-43 among LVs. It’s still some improvement for Thompson, who trailed 48-35 among RVs in July.

Ads: Conservative PAC the Family Research Council has published its own target list for the 2010 cycle: Michael Bennet and Chris Dodd, plus the Missouri and Ohio open seats, in the Senate, and John Boccieri, Steve Driehaus, Parker Griffith, Mary Jo Kilroy, Ann Kirkpatrick, Betsy Markey, Walt Minnick, John Murtha, Glenn Nye, Tom Perriello, and Dina Titus in the House.

49 thoughts on “SSP Daily Digest: 9/21”

  1. She’s got to be one of the safest freshmen.  She has a longstanding regional and statewide profile, and she knocked off one of the most difficult incumbents, in a district that was drawn as a tossup IIRC, in a county that has always been Democratic and that has trended rapidly towards us as well.  And I’m not aware of her even having a real challenger yet.

    Her only worry that I can see is that Reid and Reid will drag her down.  And I still Just Don’t Believe that Reid is going to lose at the end of the day, unless his base is also through with him that is.  But then, if the unemployment rate is the same in a year as it is today, all bets are off I guess.

    Still, targeting Dina Titus ahead of even Jerry McNerney or Harry Mitchell seems silly to me, and I don’t think those two are exceptionally vulnerable either.  If I’ve got only twelve House seats to target, none of those are on my list.

    I wanna see some Bobby Bright and Frank Kratovil and Carol Shea-Porter, you FRC bitches!!  

    Interestingly, there isn’t one House sophomore on that list…

  2. She only won with 47% of the vote so I can understand why they would target her. Having said that it is a Dem leaning seat.

  3. Can anyone explain to me why, despite apparently having no political ideology to speak of, Kelly Ayotte in recent polling has been ahead of Paul Hodes by more than at least 5 points? Is it the nature of NH as having a lot of Independent voters who don’t care much about ideology? I know that the Free State Project has been trying to change the political makeup of the state for some time, so is that a factor in the recent polling numbers?

  4. I know he has been a fairly popular mayor in Houston, but how well do you think that translates state wide?  I looked at some polls, and he only is leading in one instance ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U… ).

    And who is more progressive of the two announced candidates (Former Comptroller John Sharp and Bill White)?

    Im kinda fascinated with Texas politics, mainly due to the fact that Lyndon Johnson was such an effective whip in the early 50’s.

  5. Just a quick reminder that former House majority leader Tom Delay (R-TX), formerly one of the most powerful men in Congress and possibly America, will be a celebrity contestant tonight on the show aformentioned.

    Anyone willing to discuss this incredible fall from grace, after watching the show, may post your comments here.

    Dancing With The Stars Season Premiere begins tonight at 8 PM (EST). Enjoy!

  6. Connecticut isn’t family-values-y. Dodd’s electoral liability is he took a sweetheart mortgage from a company he was supposed to be regulating. FRC getting involved will probably help Dodd.

  7. Well, see, there’s this USPS branch post office in the MIT student center building, that’s both profitable and frequently used by many, many people.  MIT, as you may know, is in Cambridge, MA, which is represented by the Honorable Mr. Capuano.

    I’ve told my friends there that he might be interested in helping out his constituents.

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