SoonerPoll.com (1/2-5, likely voters):
Drew Edmondson (D): 39
Mary Fallin (R): 51Jari Askins (D): 36
Mary Fallin (R): 52
(MoE: ±3.9%)
Primaries:
Drew Edmondson (D): 46
Jari Askins (D): 36
(MoE: ±5.4%)Randy Brogdon (R): 16
Mary Fallin (R): 68
(MoE: ±6%)
These numbers are pretty close to the general picture we’ve seen so far: a Fallin internal from June had similar spreads, while PPP had Fallin up by spreads of 10 and 16 points. The interesting thing, though, is that Askins and Edmondson remain pretty well-liked; in fact, Edmondson’s favorable rating (51-31) is very close to Fallin’s (54-29). Askins is at a pretty decent 43-28. It almost makes you wonder if one of these two leading Democrats might consider running for re-election instead.
RaceTracker Wiki: OK-Gov
no surprise here as I think we all know that we’re going to lose this one. We’ll have our pickups (California/ RI / Connecticut/ Vermont) and they’ll have theirs (Oklahoma/ Kansas/ Wyoming)
I know that Oklahoma is about as toxic to the Democrats as any state, so it’s impressive that both Democrats are (a) have good approval ratings and (b) are not being blown out by Fallin.
should run for re-election. Dems desperately need to keep their bench – which is actually not as terrible in OK as you might think – intact for better election years.
Could one of them drop down to a run for Mary Fallin’s now-open OK-05, the Oklahoma City-based district? As far as I know, we don’t even have a candidate, even though it’s actually one of Oklahoma’s bluest districts. A top-tier candidate could make this seat winnable against the gaggle of mostly lower-tier Republicans.
Unfortunately, Askins is the weaker candidate (Edmondson’s won like 5 times statewide, and Askins just rode Gov. Henry’s coattails), but her base is in Lawton, which is not in OK-05. Still, I bet she’s at least eligible to run.
So I guess if I had my pick of candidates, btw, I would actually go for neither of these two for the seat but Jim Roth, former two-term OKC county commissioner who was appointed to the Corporation Commission and lost narrowly to hold that statewide seat, 52-48%, while actually winning in OK-5. An openly-gay Congressman from Oklahoma would probably make a lot of wingnuts’ heads explode.
but I fully expect Fallin to be the next Gov of OK. If anything, I can root for her because we need more women governors. There’s my silver lining and Im going to stick with it.
Maybe she’ll sign Rep. Kern’s bill to ban divorce in the state of OK. Pick your poison from a google research to read about it.
I thought for awhile there Edmonson was considered the front runner?
Yeah, I know it’s OK but I thought he was polling well early on.