Research 2000 came out with some new Senate numbers that highly different from what Rasmussen released. Surprisingly John Hostettler outperforms Coats by a large margin. Hill slightly outperforms Ellsworth, but he has already declined to run. They also check out Jim Schellinger who does better than I thought he would do. I think this poll proves that you shouldn’t write off Indiana and don’t take one Rasmussen poll to heart.
http://www.dailykos.com/statep…
Hostettler-40%
Ellsworth-34%
Coats-37%
Ellsworth-36%
Hostettler-42%
Hill-36%
Coats-37%
Hill-37%
Hostettler-44%
Schellinger-33%
Coats-39%
Schellinger-34%
Update
I thought I would post the Rasmussen numbers as well, you can compare and contrast.
http://www.rasmussenreports.co…
John Hostettler-46%
Brad Ellsworth-27%
Dan Coats-46%
Brad Ellsworth-32%
John Hostettler-49%
Baron Hill-31%
Dan Coats-48%
Baron Hill-32%
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But still take notice of what he has to say and adjust accordingly. Same deal with Research 2000 in the other direction. So, small GOP lead, well under 50 and with Ellsworth having lots of room to grow. Can’t see anything other than tossup as being fair.
I think Ras was a decent pollster before this current election cycle. Now, I trust them less than I do the old strategic vision polls.
It just has ‘South’ as a region, which I’m assuming combines parts of the 4th, 8th, and 9th Districts. I’m just curious to see what Ellsworth v. Hostettler looks like in the 8th in particular. Requesting ‘Southwest’ region!
Can you please stop spamming?
Love,
a fellow political junkie
Tossup for now, but Ellsworth has a lot of room to grow considering the fact that no one outside of his district knows who he is. Actually, since the populations of Evansville and Terre Haute combined probably make up about 30% of the state (third and fourth largest cities), that really just shows that he’s way popular in his district.
Also, I love how Ellsworth just got in last week, nobody knows who he is, and he’s still almost tied with Coats. Stick a fork in Coats, he’s done.
I call this anything from a Lean D to blowout D race come election day. Once Hostettler opens his mouth and Ellsworth introduces himself to Marion County, Fort Wayne, and parts of Northern Indiana, he’ll cruise unless he runs a totally incompetent campaign – which I don’t think he will.