10:15pm: Let’s move this party over here.
10:08pm: With not quite a quarter in, on the GOP side of the AL-Gov primary, Bentley has actually pulled into the lead at 27%. James is 2nd at 26, with Byrne at 25. Can’t quite count Byrne out yet, but that Dem 527 meddling in the GOP primary may have had the desired effect (i.e. taking out Byrne, ostensibly the toughest general election opponent). And Roy Moore’s at 18: what’s up with his collapse?
10:05pm: We’re now up to 48% in AL-05: Brooks leads Griff by 51-34, and Raby leads Taze by 62-23.
10:03pm: As expected, Luther Strange is kicking Alabama AG Troy King’s ass by a 60-40 margin.
10:02pm: 70% reporting in MS-01, and Nunnelee is resting at 51.3%.
9:59pm: Over in MS-04, state Rep. Steven Palazzo leads businessman Joe Tegerdine by 58-42 with 59% in.
9:56pm: Hah, Spencer Bachus leads his teabagger opponent, Stan Cooke, by only 59-41 with 13% in. It’s a TARP!
9:54pm: We’re now up to 37% of precincts reporting in AL-05, and Mo Brooks leads Griffith by 53-31. (Raby still cruising.)
9:51pm: SSP Labs doesn’t take an election night off, and here is our model for Alabama. It’s based on the usual back-of-the-envelope stuff, but also incorporates the racial composition of each county. (jeffmd)
9:47pm: Checking in with New Mexico, Susana Martinez has a 16-point lead over Allen Weh in the early vote.
9:43pm: 21.5% of the vote’s now in in AL-05, and Brooks leads Griffith by 49-38. Raby is up over Taze Shepard by 65-21.
9:41pm: Terri Sewell has now pulled into second place (just 200 votes behind Shelia Smoot) in AL-07, but only 12% of the vote’s been counted.
9:39pm: With 11.7% in, Sparks leads by 63-37. On the GOP side, Tim James leads with 28%, followed by Rob Bentley at 26%. Front-runner Bradley Bryne is in third at 23%.
9:35pm: We’re up to 41% reporting in MS-01, and Alan Nunnelee is dangerously flirting with a runoff at 49.7%.
9:30pm: Big swing in Jeffco, where Sparks now leads Davis by 54-46. Overall, Sparks is up by 61-39 with 7% in.
9:24pm: Check out AL-07, where the three front-runners are separated by just 170 votes. Smoot has 31, Hilliard’s at 30, and Sewell checks in at 27 with 11% reporting.
9:20pm: Almost 10% of Jeffco is in, where Artur Davis is cleaning up. The Gov race has tightend to 60-40 for Sparks. And, in AL-05, Mo Brooks leads Griffith by 58-28 with 8 precincts in.
9:11pm: It looks like Dick Shelby will survive an attempted teabagging from Clint Moser.
9:08pm: We’re now at 4/326 in AL-05, and Brooks has pulled ahead of Griffith by 48-36. Whoa baby!
9:03pm: Over in AL-05, with just three precincts in, turncoat Parker Griffith has fallen just barely under 50%. Mo Brooks has 33%.
9:00pm: Alan Nunnelee is now flirting with 50%. He leads Ross by 51-37. McGlowan is a huge non-factor here.
8:44pm: We also have our first precinct reporting in MS-01, and Alan Nunnelee has 56% to teabagger Henry Ross’ 26%. Sarah Palin’s late pick, Angela McGlowan, is in third.
8:41pm: 9/2843 in so far, and Sparks leads Davis by 73-27. On the GOP side, it looks like a three-way fight for second place between Tim James, Robert Bentley, and Roy Moore.
8:36pm: Now Barber is up on Roby by two votes. In AL-05, Parker Griffith has 62% of the very early vote.
8:23pm: In the AL-02 primary, teabagging businessman Rick “The Barber” Barber only trails NRCC-crowned favorite Martha Roby by 40-37. Just three precincts in there so far, though.
8:20pm: We’re up to three precincts in Alabamer, and Sparks leads by a 71-29 spread. Over in the Ag Comm’r primary, American Hero Dale Peterson is in third.
8:09pm: We’ve got one precinct out of the oven in Alabama. Sparks leads Davis by 12 votes to 5.
Polls will close in Alabama and Mississippi in about fifteen minutes, and in New Mexico an hour later. We’ll be using this thread to follow the returns — and if you have any additional results links, please share ’em in the comments.
RESULTS:
- AL: Associated Press | Politico | AL.com | WSFA | SSP Labs AL-Gov (D) Model
- MS: Associated Press | Politico | Jackson Clarion-Ledger
- NM: Associated Press | Politico
Sparks leads 12-5.
WSFA in Montgomery is running both a live blog and live video feed.
http://www.wsfa.com/
and why is he currently in second?
Montgomery and Mobile will come in late giving Davis a boost?
There’s a rather unfortunate race in the Democratic primary in District 68. Two guys, including the incumbent, both with the name Thomas Jackson are running against each other. State house races are toss-up affairs in the first place, having the same name as the incumbent has got to increase his chances.
is great
don’t give a rip about Alabama.
Nothing but thugs and criminals so far, wait for the real Alabamas to speak up.
with 62% of the vote. I hope that doesn’t continue long.
…that the guy I most want to win tonight is Dale Peterson?
http://www.clarionledger.com/a…
YIKES!
he seems to have a pretty good grassroots thing going here
with 1 vote. Not a good precint for her!
(WITH 7 OF 94 PRECINCTS COUNTED 7.45%)
MO BROOKS – 1,509 (57.25%)
PARKER GRIFFITH – (28.00%)
LES PHILLIP – 389 (14.76%)
http://www.co.madison.al.us/pr…
is named YOUNG BOOZER(i am not kidding)
but could Mo Brooks wrap this up tonight? How I would love to see that.
Bachus is looking safe.
In AL-07 Sewell narrowly leads Smoot with Hilliard a bit behind.
has Sparks up in Jefferson County …
Politico shows Sparks leading 54-46 in JeffCo with 20% in 🙂
which site are you using? politico has SPARKS winning jeffco at about 20% reported
According to Politico, he is now up in Jefferson and all over the state, including the Black Belt. If the careers of Parker Griffith and Artur Davis end tonight, I will be one happy little fucker.
Which is Griffith’s home county.
http://www.co.madison.al.us/pr…
He’s getting a substantial amount of the black vote. For example, using the Politico numbers, Macon County has reported a third of it’s vote, and Sparks is at almost 60%. Macon County is 85% black, and home to Tuskegee University. If this comes anywhere near close to holding throughout the state, he’s going to win.
Childers could use a run-off here.
If Davis is losing the AA vote outside of his district it really doesn’t matter what happens inside his district given he’s losing majority white counties 3-1 throughout the state as well. This one’s basically over.
Something just moved for Griffith pretty big.
um, yay?
in AL-06 – now 59-41. I imagine he’ll still come up short.
is winning big
63% in (MS-01), Nunnelee’s up to 52%. go back down! so close to a runoff!
is King losing? Do the baggers have some beef with him or what am I missing?
is really paying off
soon to be ex rep Griffith. How did he not see this coming? He could have won as a Democrat as well.
Looking good for us in the Smoot camp
The numbers from Jeff Co are behind
One more Attorney General losing.
Can anyone shed some light on what exactly goes into the projection models SSP generally uses?
is in david paterson territory
Lot more votes in the Republican primary than the Democratic Primary.
it’s in AL-07, Davis only won is 52-48. Not enough to cancel out Sparks’ huge margins elsewhere. Davis is toast.
Enrico … I mean Steve Palazzo.
is the biggest disappointment of the night. His nomination would make AL-Gov a tossup.