Selzer & Co. for the Des Moines Register (6/1-3, likely voters, no trend lines):
Terry Branstad (R): 57
Bob Vander Plaats (R): 29
Rod Roberts (R): 8
(MoE: ±4.4%)
Research 2000 for KCCI-TV (5/31-6/2, likely voters):
Terry Branstad (R): 44
Bob Vander Plaats (R): 29
Rod Roberts (R): 12
(MoE: ±4.4%)
Public Policy Polling (5/25-27, likely voters):
Terry Branstad (R): 46
Bob Vander Plaats (R): 31
Rod Roberts (R): 13
(MoE: ±4.5%)
Rounding up the wave of Iowa polls that have been released over the past week, it doesn’t look like former Gov. Terry Branstad has anything to worry about today. How about the general election? The results are pure yuck for Chet Culver.
R2K:
Chet Culver (D-inc): 42
Terry Branstad (R): 51Chet Culver (D-inc): 43
Bob Vander Plaats (R): 42Chet Culver (D-inc): 45
Rod Roberts (R): 35
(MoE: ±4%)
PPP:
Chet Culver (D-inc): 37
Terry Branstad (R): 52Chet Culver (D-inc): 38
Bob Vander Plaats (R): 43Chet Culver (D-inc): 38
Rod Roberts (R): 40
(MoE: ±2.7%)
The Senate race:
R2K:
Roxanne Conlin (D): 42
Chuck Grassley (R-inc): 50
(MoE: ±4%)
PPP:
Roxanne Conlin (D): 31
Chuck Grassley (R-inc): 57Tom Fiegen (D): 28
Chuck Grassley (R-inc): 56Bob Krause (D): 26
Chuck Grassley (R-inc): 56
(MoE: ±2.7%)
Pick your poison.
But what did Culver do to be polling as an incumbent at 42%?
I don’t trust R2K, they’ve been terrible so far this cycle, missing badly on most of the general election contests after the 2008 election cycle. PPP has been much better for the most part although they biffed on PA-12.
Really, I think the truth might be somewhere between the two.