According to CQ Politics, former Republican Speaker of the House Dennis Hastert will announce his retirement plans on Friday.
After less than a year as a rank-and-file House member, former Speaker J. Dennis Hastert is expected to call an end to a political career that made him the longest serving Republican Speaker in the history of the House of Representatives.Several Illinois newspapers, including the Aurora Beacon News and the Chicago Tribune, reported Tuesday that the Illinois Republican has scheduled a Friday announcement on the steps of the Kendall County Courthouse in Yorkville, Ill. While Hastert aides are refusing to discuss what he plans to say, he is expected to announce that he will not run for a 12th term in 2008, according to Republican sources.
The only question that remains is: will Hastert resign this year, or will he serve out the balance of his final term?
Greg Giroux, writing for CQ, takes a look at the district’s numbers and, erm, finds that Republicans are favored to retain this Republican-leaning seat (boldly stated, CQ):
The expected retirement of former House Speaker J. Dennis Hastert from Illinois’ 14th District will serve as a test of Republican strength in predominantly suburban and exurban districts that have long been GOP bailiwicks.On paper at least, Republicans will be favored to retain the 14th, which includes exurbs west of Chicago and rural communities farther west. President Bush took 55 percent of the vote in the district in 2004, and Hastert won re-election to an 11th term last fall with 59.8 percent of the vote. Still, that was his lowest vote share since he first captured the seat in 1986 with 52 percent of the vote.
The other nugget out of all this from Illinois’ other retiring Representative, Ray Lahood:
LaHood, who recently announced his own plan to retire, said he believed there would be additional retirement announcements from within the House GOP. “I retired because it was the right time to leave. Others will also be leaving, for their own reasons,” he said.
Let the games begin.
(Hat-tip to TheUnknown285.)
I think CQ is way off base in giving Republicans such an advantage (I’ve called them on it on the story, but they haven’t posted my comment yet).
In addition to IL-06, IL-10, and IL-11 are races that having Obama top of the ticket would help the most. Though I’m not sure how much the native card will play here, I think Hillary would do the worst here.