DE, MA, MD, NH, NY, RI & WI Results Thread #2

10:06pm: In Rhode Island, in RI-01 with almost half in, it’s Cicilline 36, Lynch 22, Gemma 22, Segal 20. And in RI-02 also with almost half in, it’s Langevin 56, Dennigan 35.

10:02pm: As for the Dem House primaries in New York, we’ve got only 1% in in NY-14 but are looking at a blowout, with Maloney beating Saujani 83-17. There’s only one precinct reporting in NY-15, with Rangel looking bad at 39% but still winning because of the fractured field.

10:01pm: Briefly back to NH-02: Ann McLane Kuster has been called by the AP as the winner, beating Katrina Swett. Still no call on the GOP side, where Charlie Bass faces Jennifer Horn.

10:00pm: Turning to some GOP House races, in NY-01 with 10% reporting, we have Altschuler at 46, Demos at 31, and Cox at 23. (More egg on the state GOP’s face.) With 4% in in NY-23, Doug Hoffman leads Matt Doheny 55-45. (Remember if Doheny loses, he still has the IP line for November.)

9:58pm: Things are actually much tighter in the Senate race, where Joe DioGuardi had looked like the favorite. He leads David Malpass only 42-38, with Bruce Blakeman at 20. Kirsten Gillibrand is having little trouble with her primary challenge from Gail Goode, 77-23, on the D side.

9:56pm: Moving on to the Empire State, where there’s finally enough votes to talk about. Maybe the biggest news: with 5% reporting, the teabagger trifecta may in fact be completed tonight: Carl Paladino is dominating Rick Lazio, 78-22. That should diminish, though, as the most precincts of any county have come in from Erie (which has Paladino’s home town of Buffalo).

9:55pm: MA-10 has been called on the R side, with up-and-coming baggage-toting state Rep. Jeff Perry beating passe baggage-toting ex-state Treasurer Joe Malone.

9:53pm: Only 4% in in WI-08, but Reid Ribble seems on way to winning the GOP nod. He’s at 55, leading Roth at 27 and McCormick at 15. Did the volleyball coaching make all the difference?

9:51pm: With 5% in statewide in WI-Gov, it’s not looking as interesting as before. Walker leads Neumann 51-46. No problems for Johnson in WI-Sen, leading Westlake 84-11.

9:48pm: We’re up to 325/325 in DE-AL… but no AP call. Glen Urquhart leads 49-48, with about a 500-vote edge.

9:47pm: Things are still happening verrrry slowly in New Hampshire. We’re up to 16% reporting in NH-Sen, and it’s 46 Lamontagne, 35 Ayotte, 11 Binnie, 7 Bender. Ovide’s dominated in the commuter towns along I-93, which is his core area.

9:44pm: And with 3% reporting, it’s a little closer in RI-02 than expected: Jim Langevin leads Betsy Dennigan only 53-38.

9:43pm: Also a few numbers from Rhode Island. In RI-01, with about 1% reporting, David Cicilline leads, with David Segal in 2nd, followed by Lynch and Gemma: 41-27-16-16.

9:37pm: We’re getting our first Wisconsin dribbles in, and maybe it’s too early to talk about it with less than 1% in, but the GOP gube primary is looking interesting: Scott Walker and Mark Neumann are both at 48, with Walker up by only 12 votes.

9:36pm: Hey, did we mention there’s a GOP primary for MD-Sen (to go up against Barb Mikulski)? I’d assumed Eric Wargotz, a wealthy county commissioner from the Eastern Shore, had it locked down after Amadore dropped out, but he’s only leading the heretofore unknown J. Rutledge 34-32.

9:34pm: And up in Southie, the AP just called MA-09 for Stephen Lynch, who survives his weird anti-HCR gambit. He beats Mac d’Alessandro 64-36.

9:32pm: In case you’re wondering about the percentages on some of those Maryland races we glossed over, the GOP gube primary wasn’t even close (memo to Brian Murphy: Sarah Palin can’t save you now). It was Ehrlich 81, Murphy 19. And in MD-04, it was even more lopsided: Donna Edwards beat state Del. Herman Taylor 81-13.

9:30pm: The gap’s closing on the R side in DE-AL. Michelle Rollins only back by about 500 behind Glen Urquhart.

9:28pm: In NH-01, we’re up to 25% reporting, and Frank Guinta’s lead is getting smaller as places other than Manchester report. He’s now at 41, with Rich Ashooh at 30 and Sean Mahoney at 20.

9:20pm: Big shift in MA-10, with Keating pulling into the lead in the Dem primary at 53-47. I’d like to attribute that to him tackling that purse snatcher, but actually it has to do with Norfolk (the county where he’s DA) coming him with 79% for him.

9:18pm: The DE DoE leapt to 320/325, with a 53/47 margin. Looks like a done deal.

9:17pm: Anyone wanna guess what those PPP numbers on the Coons/O’Donnell matchup are, that they teased today?

9:16pm: The AP calls it for O’Donnell!!!! (The Giants win the pennant! The Giants win the pennant!)

9:11pm: Sorry about the slow servers tonight, folks; looks like we’re getting a lot of traffic. At any rate, here’s a longish update to make up for lost time.

In MD-01, Andy Harris is rolling, 69-31, over Rob Fisher, including 65% on the Eastern Shore (Fisher’s turf). In MA-10, it’s O’Leary over Keating, 60-40 with 11% reporting, for the Ds, and for the Rs, it’s Perry with 69% over Malone. In MA-09, Lynch is in control, at 64%. In NH-01, Guinta leads with 16% in, at 43%. In NH-Sen, Lamontagne leads in every county but one (Coos), over 50%, with only 7% still reporting. One more update from DE-Sen: O’Donnell leads Castle 54-46 with 85% reporting, with a 4000 vote spread.

Fresh new thread.


Results:

224 thoughts on “DE, MA, MD, NH, NY, RI & WI Results Thread #2”

  1. and once again the key message of the night is, no matter what, running a solid candidate always makes sense, even if it looks like a longshot.

    Hehe, I don’t know anything about Coons, but I hope he is President in 20 years and appoints beau to be ambassador to Albania.

  2. I think a lot of people here are being really unfair to Beau. He was in Iraq when others were able to set the groundwork for a senatorial run. He is still really young, and will be a solid candidate for governor in a few years.  

  3.  O’Donnell 27,674  53.7%

    Castle 23,874 46.3%

    85.5% in

    I wish they would say where in Delaware these votes are from. Even if the rest were from New Castle County, there is no way it is enough. MSNBC already called it for O’Donnell. If Ayotte loses in New Hampshire, it will be a great night.  

  4. I’m watching NBC and seeing these loon supporters of COD dancing around in Delaware. Chris Matthews is a total dipshit talking about how COD’s enthusiastic supporters are going to carry her into the general election and comparing her to Ronald Reagan.  

  5.  Is so strong it knocked out the candiate who was thought to be one of the most popular incumbents, someone who had not lost an election in 30 years in Delaware, who almost every voter knew. What people said about Delaware Republicans not being so conservative…

    Maybe there was just really big turnout in Sussex County but still…

  6. that we can think about rooting against Reid to get a better leadership? Man, imagine if Durbin made them actually fillibuster for months at a time every time they wanted to block something. Course that assumes a narrow hold on the house.  

  7. Lamontogue is leading 48%-34% with 11% in

    He is leading by 24 points in Hillsborough County, New Hampshire’s most popoulus county and he is leading by 8 in Rockingham, New Hampshire’s second most popoulus. Even  if Ayotte does well outside of these counties, she still should not win. Even when Rommney carried the two big counties by about 1 point, he still only lost by 5 statewide.  

  8. I’m sorry too.  I could not believe they’d choose O’Donnell.  Although I’m happy for Coons’ chances, it still bothers me that the Delaware Republican base has gone off the reservation

  9. Walter tweets:

    DSCC psyched in DE, but a Castle loss undermines “go negative” strategy Dems are counting on in Nov. Castle and media went after her hard

    Um, Amy, no, it’s not undermined at all because only Republican primary voters are batshit insane.  Everyone else is voting for Coons.  You’re smart enough to know the difference between voters, you should know better.

  10.  They are saying it is an anti establishment year, not exactly an anti incumbent year. The voters are protesting the establishment because they are fed up with their party. Although the news says that it is an anti Democratic year, many polls show that most voters do not like the Republicans either.  

  11. but seriously, Chris Matthews is really bugging me (not the first time, that’s for sure).

    He seriously believes that Christine O’Donnell could win the Senate race, because 1. Women seem to like her, and women only vote for people who share their chromosomes (an exaggeration, but basically he is saying that.) and 2. OMG She has so much momentum!

    It would probably be off-topic for me to just rant about Chris Matthews, so I’m going to channel my frustration into a germane post and just ask about the electoral implications of these two arguements he’s making:

    Can either of these supposed advantages, even if they have some real basis, overcome the fact that O’Donnell is just plain incompetent?

  12. I bet Mark Kirk is thanking Jeebus for early primaries in Illinois and that the Tea Party Express didn’t get involved on Patrick Hughes’ behalf.

  13.  Lamontagne is now ahead by 12, I think he should still win because it seems that the counties outside of Rockingham/Hillsborough are reporting. Those counties seemed to be going to Ayotte by a small margin but it is not nearly enough.  

  14. No polling data obviously, but lots of people on the ground here in Wisconsin (including myself) think that Neumann has an excellent chance to pull it out.  As one Republican blogger noted earlier this morning, Neumann has been acting like a candidate who is ahead, and Walker has been acting like a candidate who has blown a 40 point lead and has been trying to climb back into the lead.  

    Also, your preview suggesting that Barrett has polled better against Neumann than against Walker… not too many people in Wisconsin think that Neumann is actually a weaker candidate.  We actually think it will be much tougher for Barrett to beat Neumann than it would have been to beat Walker.  

  15. UNITED STATES SENATOR

    325 of 325 Districts Reported

    REPUBLICAN PARTY

     MICHAEL N. CASTLE 26201 820 27021 46 . 9 %

     CHRISTINE O’DONNELL 29882 679 30561 53 . 1 %

    325 of 325 Districts Reported

    REPRESENTATIVE IN CONGRESS

    REPUBLICAN PARTY

        ROSE IZZO 2025 57 2082 3 . 7 %

        MICHELE ROLLINS 26045 744 26789 47 . 7 %

        GLEN URQUHART 26651 690 27341 48 . 6 %

    As to the House seat, does DE have an automatic recount threshold?

  16.  Katrina Swett, Tom Lantos’s daughter is getting a challenge from the left. Apparently, she is losing by 50 points to strongly pro choice Ann Kuster with 12% in.  

  17. MA-04: 52% reporting

    Barney Frank 82%

    Dining Room Table 18%

    MA-09: 56.4% reporting

    Stephen Lynch 66%

    Mac D’Alessandro 34%

    MA-10: 55% reporting

    Keating 52%

    O’Leary 48%

  18. To pure sadness for Mike Castle, his wife, and his supporters. This is probably really hard on his wife after watching his sickness years ago and campaigning for him that year, and knowing how bad he wanted to be a Senator (She let him run b/c she said it would break her heart to tell him no).  

  19. I’m watching his concession speech now. He sounds to be taking it in stride, but I still feel that this was an unfair way for him to lose. It sucks that after winning every race before, he lost to the Republican version of Alvin Greene. (Either that, or the Delaware version of Basil Marceaux. But I think that this is the best line to go after O’Donnell for.)

  20. In the New York Governor’s race, Carl Paladino, the insurgent Republican is off to an early lead in first returns. But there are no returns yet from Nassau County and only 8 percent of precincts are reporting in Suffolk County, where Rick A. Lazio, the former U.S. representative from Long Island, is up 2-1. In Erie County, though, A.P. reports Mr. Paladino has 12,005 votes to Mr. Lazio’s 792.

  21. Ribble is from Brown County, which is almost 20% in, whereas McCormick and Roth are from Outagamie County, which has not reported results.  So this is probably Ribble’s high water mark.

  22.  Was okay and he stumbled a bit. He was thanking everybody but the way he talked seemed like your nice next door neighbor or someone you have over for dinner.  

  23. Paladino getting 93.8% of the vote in Erie County. That isn’t a typo.

    Now, he is from Buffalo, and Lazio from Long Island, but wow. The upstate/downstate hatred continues (I will not get into the redistribution of taxes from downstate to upstate).

    Aside from that, Politico’s maps piss me off. They are not Staten Island, Brooklyn, and Manhattan Counties. They’re Richmond, Kings, and New York Counties.  

  24. Love that O’Donnell photo- that’s the 2010 midterm elections in a nutshell…. 😀

    Oh, and Joe Malone lost in MA-10.  Good riddance to bad slime.  He spoke at my HS graduation…bleh.

  25. I understand this is a Democratic site, but is anyone circulating petitions to run against Rangel as an independent in November?  He’s wrong on a number of issues including trade not to mention the obvious ethical lapses.  Are they allowed to run as an independent after losing in the primary?  

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