MA, MD, NH, NY, RI, & WI Results Thread #3

11:01pm: Let’s move the party over here!

11:00pm: We finally have something out of the DC mayor’s race, but it’s only partially absentees. Adrian Fenty (the incumbent) leads Vincent Gray 58-41 (for now).

10:58pm: The AP finally called MD-01, which I’d kind of forgotten about. As expected, Andy Harris beats Rob Fisher; he currently leads 67-33 with 57% in.

10:56pm: Wow, things are just continuing to dwindle for Charlie Bass in NH-02. He’s up over Jennifer Horn now only 41-37, with third wheel Bob Giuda at 17 (meaning that Bass vs. only one teabagger would have been a convincing teabagger win). And that’s with only 16% in.

10:54pm: Is there some hope for Eric Schneiderman in the NY AG race? He’s pulled with 33-27 behind Kathleen Rice as The City starts to report. Schneiderman’s up 45-25 over Rice in NYC, but also 32-21 in Westchester + Rockland. (Rice, the Nassau Co DA, is up 57-22 on Long Island.)

10:50pm: One other prominent Dem state Senator going to massive defeat in New York: Pedro Espada (the coup leader who’s likely going to prison for health care fraud) is losing SD-33 to David Rivera by a whopping 76-17 margin.

10:46pm: 23% are in statewide for the New York GOP. Carl Paladino is still with a serious lead in the Gov race (though still shrinkin): 61-39 over Rick Lazio. In NY-Sen-B, it’s DioGuardi 41, Malpass 40, Blakeman 20. (Could this turn out to be the race that takes the longest tonight to get a call?) And in poor forgotten NY-Sen-A, it’s Jay Townsend 57, Gary Berntsen 43.

10:42pm: Checking back in on our incumbent Dems in New York: in NY-14, Maloney leads Saujani 85-15 with 10% in. In NY-10, Ed Towns is leading Kevin Powell (the other Real World alum in a primary tonight) 66-34 with 15% in. And in NY-15, with 8% in, Charlie Rangel is at 45%, but with his nearest competition (Adam Clayton Powell IV) back at 23.

10:40pm: As expected, William Keating caught a bit of a bounce as his Norfolk Co. base continued to report. The AP just called the MA-10 Dem primary for him (he’ll face off against Jeff Perry). He’s ahead of O’Leary 55-45 with 77% reporting.

10:36pm: No, it’s not you… New Hampshire is still moving in slow motion. NH-Sen is at 20% in, with Lamontagne at 44 and Ayotte at 36. Could tighten as the state’s outer reaches report. In NH-01 for the GOP, it’s Guinta 37, Ashooh 34, Mahoney 20 (with 28% in); bad news for Guinta is that all of Manchester has reported. And in the GOP’s NH-02, it’s Charlie Bass looking weak in the face of a teabagging; he leads Jennifer Horn 43-36 (with only 15% in).

10:34pm: For some reason, 19% are in in the Dem AG primary, despite that also being statewide. Kathleen Rice is in the lead at 36. Coffey’s at 25 and Schneiderman’s at 22. Also an interesting note for state Senate watchers: long-time Dem state Sen. William Stachowksi lost a primary in his Buffalo-area seat to Tim Kennedy by a wide margin.

10:33pm: The Carl Paladino lead is shrinking quite a bit, as places other than Buffalo report. His lead on Rick Lazio in the GOP gube race in New York is down to 67-33, with 13% in.

10:30pm: Paul Begala sums up the night, and pretty much all of politics: “If Christine O’Donnell can’t stand masturbation, she’ll hate the US Senate.”

10:28pm: Wow, things flipped in the GOP primary in NY-23. With 17% in, Matt Doheny now leads Doug Hoffman 56-44.

10:25pm: Only 2% is in in the GOP primary in NY-13, but the marginally employed Mike Grimm has a big lead over possibly ‘connected’ Mike Allegretti, 65-35. Further out Long Island, Randy Altschuler’s still leading George Demos and Chris Cox, 46-31-23, in NY-01 (31% reporting).

10:23pm: Charlie Rangel’s looking in better, but still weak, shape, up to 57% now with 1% reporting in NY-15. And here’s a surprise, in NY-05, not on anyone’s radar: long-time backbencher Gary Ackerman is at only 65 (with 3% reporting) to the unheralded P. Maher’s 35.

10:22pm: This won’t surprise you, but Kirsten Gillibrand has been called the winner of the Dem Senate primary.

10:21pm: RI-02 has been called by the AP for Jim Langevin, who with 56% of the vote can be added to the long list of Reps. surviving their 2010 primary with lower-than-usual numbers.

10:18pm: Things are super-close in MA-10 right now on the Dem side. Keating leads 50.5-49.5 over O’Leary, with 60% in. But Keating may push that lead, as less of his base (Norfolk and Plymouth Cos.) has reported (53%) than O’Leary base (Barnstable: 74% reporting). Both lead 69-31 in their respective turfs.

10:17pm: Ooops, thanks to the RGA press release, I’ve been reminded that there was a GOP gubernatorial primary in Rhode Island. Former communications director for Don Carcieri, John Robitaille, is the nominee, beating former state Rep. Victor Moffitt 69-31.

10:15pm: No surprise here; the AP has called WI-Sen for Ron Johnson on the GOP side, with 84% of the vote. In the Gov race, with 13% in, it’s Walker 51, Neumann 46, but not much Milwaukee Co. has reported yet so Walker’s lead should go up.

10:12pm: The margin for Frank Guinta in NH-01 on the GOP side keeps narrowing: he’s only leading at 37 now (with 30% reporting), but it’s Rich Ashooh, not Sean Mahoney, who’s closing. Ashooh’s at 34, with Mahoney still at 20. By the way, in the NH-02 GOP primary, with only 14% reporting, Charlie Bass leads Jennifer Horn 45-34. The current tally on the Dem side (already called) is Kuster 74, Swett 26.

10:11pm: David Cicilline, despite being in the low 30s, has been called the winner in the Dem primary in RI-01 by the AP. He’ll face John Loughlin in November.

10:10pm: Yikes, check out the O’Donnell photo at the WaPo!

10:08pm: We’re up to 19% in NH-Sen, still not much new to say there: 45 for Lamontagne, 36 for Ayotte.

Hope you’re enjoying the Fancy Feast, John Cornyn!

Results:

138 thoughts on “MA, MD, NH, NY, RI, & WI Results Thread #3”

  1. Wow!  Ezra Klein just said on Rachel Maddow that 44% of Castle voters said they planned to vote for Coons in the General Election if O’Donnell won.

  3. Although the percents in NH R Senate keep tightening, the absolute difference is actually slightly inching up. It looks like the little towns may be about tied, in which case Lamontagne may hang on to his current vote lead.

    Just for fun, I’ll guess L wins by 2%.

  5. I don’t care about any other race tonight other than NH Sen, and the fact that this is taking so long to report is going to make me not look at this for about an hour.

  6. Lamontaigne leading in New Hampshire? O’Donnell winning in Delaware? Jeez, it’s another night of “Teabaggers Gone Wild!” Thank goodness. I have a feeling Bob Menendez and Harry Reid are smiling tonight. 😉

  10. …but it appears my incumbent New York state assemblywoman Ginny Fields (5th district) has lost her primary to a challenger from the left!

    She was pretty conservative, but I’m totally floored.

    This is a Republican district (I’m certain it went for McCain…not sure by how much), so I don’t know if the insurgent can win in November.

    But Castle and Lamontagne (hopefully) make up for it.

  16. his ads air in burlington (thank god im in ct now) and its standard “elect a citizen legislature by ensuring only big biz and lawyers can afford to run 4 office”  he is very annoying

  17. Here’s a Redstate poster, in response to Limbaugh et al demonizing Castle supporters.

    He’s invoking Codevilla to imply that anyone who isn’t supporting O’Donnell only wishes to empower the ruling class. That isn’t fair at all.

    Ok, now connect the dots….  (I love Redstate, it is the most fascinating thing to read, period.  People who think they are smarty-pants vilifying actual smarty-pants, I view reading that blog one giant political science project.  So much to figure out….)

  20. …Hoffman already has the Conservative line, and the split we NEED to help Owens is between the GOP and Conservative lines.  That Hoffman displaced the Republican in last year’s special and has residual name recognition ensures he’ll get some percentage as the Conservative in November.

    But if Hoffman wins the GOP primary tonight, then he’s legitimized to the larger electorate, and he has a chance in November in this anti-Democratic climate.

  25. New York has passed New Hampshire for percentage of precincts counted. It’s okay to report slower than Delaware, which is typically efficient counting it’s numbers, but to count slower than New York is pretty pathetic.

    And it can’t be about New Hampshire using towns instead of counties to oversee elections. Massachusetts and Connecticut are the same way and are never this slow. I blame ACORN for this.

  28. Walker 55.2

    Neumann 42.1

    Here is a contested primary too 🙂

    Castle losing, Ayotte losing, Malone losing in MA-10, Lazio losing, I’m losing too… my words

  32. I understand this is a Democratic site, but is anyone circulating petitions to run against Rangel as an independent in November?  He’s wrong on a number of issues including trade not to mention the obvious ethical lapses.  Are they allowed to run as an independent after losing in the primary?  

  35. I’m finding a little bit (not much) of an excuse for optimism in Wisconsin. I’m impressed by how Ron Johnson consolidated support there after getting in the race so late: he’s beating Dave Westlake, who’s been in forever and was the presumed nominee for a while, 84-10. Haven’t seen that kind of support from an NRCC fave at all this cycle, even against Some Dudes.

    The teabaggers had better hope that 1. Angle, Buck, and Paul win (esp. the last two) and 2. Connecticut or West Virginia becomes competitive, because if the Republicans get close but miss out on taking the Senate because of their candidates, there’s going to be an awful lot of finger-pointing on November 3rd.

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