Ipsos for Reuters (9/10-12, likely voters, 8/6-10 in parentheses):
Kendrick Meek (D): 21 (19)
Marco Rubio (R): 40 (33)
Charlie Crist (I): 26 (38)
Undecided: 13 (10)Alex Sink (D): 45 (31)
Rick Scott (R): 47 (33)
Undecided: 8 (18 + 17 for Chiles)
(MoE: ±4.2%)
From Ipsos, here’s more confirmation of what a number of pollsters have seen: Charlie Crist and Kendrick Meek are mostly competing over the same voters, and as Meek gains ground, Crist loses ground — and here, that’s apparently compounded by losing voters to Rubio as well. (In fact, they make that explicit with a hypothetical question asking how a two-way Rubio/Crist race would go: it would be a 46-45 Rubio win.) Wondering what this month’s Crist slump/Meek and Rubio surges look like visually? Here you go:
This poll is another example of the enthusiasm gap at work: among RVs, Rubio still leads, but it’s only 32-29-22 over Crist and Meek, while Sink leads 45-41. Finally, there’s one other bit of news that isn’t going to help Crist. His ballot position got announced, and he’s all the way down in 9th, out of 10. (In Florida, the big two parties get the top 2 spots, with the one currently holding the governor’s seat the first one, so Rubio gets the first spot.) (Yes, I know Crist is officially an independent at this point, but he was elected a GOPer, so that counts in the state’s eyes.)
I made the case, to the chagrin of some around here, that Chris Daggett’s obscure ballot position could cost him some votes in NJ-Gov. Voters will actually have to bother looking through the Libertarian/Reform/Constitution/Right-to-Life weirdos to track down Crist. This, btw, was not the case in CT-Sen ’06 where, despite his late third-party bid, Lieberman actually garnered the TOP spot on the Connecticut ballot.
He is being hammered from both sides, Reps and Indys are fleeing him for Rubio, Dems are going to Meek. I think he will end up in third.
Does scott have 41 or 47?
For the simple reason that I don’t buy that Scott is leading Sink by 2.
In fact, generally speaking, these Ipsos polls have seemed pretty Republican friendly to me
Some of the people on the left who were encouraging people to back Crist were some of the first people to go after Arlen Specter. What was Crist’s voting record like in the State Senate? I would assume it to be conservative, why should we trust the guy? Go Meek!