Site News: Holy moly. We just passed ten million all-time visitors yesterday. Wow. Just really have to take a step back for a moment. When I started this site almost exactly seven years ago, I never, ever imagined we’d achieve anything like this. Just a huge thank you to every reader who has checked in since Oct. 19, 2003 to today – and beyond.
AR-Gov (Mason-Dixon): Mike Beebe (D-inc) 59, Jim Keet (R) 26
CA-Sen, CA-Gov (Greenberg Quinlan Rosner & American Viewpoint for the LA Times/USC): Barbara Boxer (D-inc) 50, Carly Fiorina (R) 42; Jerry Brown (D) 52, Meg Whitman (R) 39
CA-Gov (John McLaughlin & David Hill (R) for Meg Whitman): Jerry Brown (D) 46, Meg Whitman (R) 43
CO-Sen, CO-Gov (SurveyUSA for 9News/Denver Post): Michael Bennet (D-inc) 47, Ken Buck (R) 47; John Hickenlooper (D) 46, Dan Maes (R) 15, Tom Tancredo (ACP) 34
Bonus: SUSA also tested the state AG, SoS, and Treasurer races.
CO-Gov (Magellan): John Hickenlooper (D) 44, Dan Maes (R) 9, Tom Tancredo (ACP) 43
FL-Sen, FL-Gov (Ipsos for Florida media): Kendrick Meek (D) 20, Marco Rubio (R) 41, Charlie Crist (I) 26; Alex Sink (D) 41, Rick Scott (R) 44
Bonus: Ipsos also tested the AG, Ag Comm’r, and CFO races.
FL-Gov (Susquehanna for Sunshine State News): Alex Sink (D) 45, Rick Scott (R) 45
IL-Sen, IL-Gov (Mason-Dixon for St. Louis Post-Dispatch/KMOV-TV): Pat Quinn (D-inc) 40, Bill Brady (R) 44; Alexi Giannoulias (D) 41, Mark Kirk (R) 43
Note: The poll apparently asked respondents about “Alex Giannoulias.”
IL-Sen (Market Shares Corp. for the Chicago Tribune): Alexi Giannoulias (D) 41, Mark Kirk (R) 44
LA-Sen (Anzalone-Liszt (D) for Charlie Melancon): Charlie Melancon (D) 45, David Vitter (R-inc) 48
MA-Gov (Western New England College): Deval Patrick (D-inc) 44, Charlie Baker (R) 36, Tim Cahill (I) 8
MA-Gov (UNH): Deval Patrick (D-inc) 43, Charlie Baker (R) 39, Tim Cahill (I) 8
MD-Gov (OpinionWorks for the Baltimore Sun): Martin O’Malley (D-inc) 52, Bob Ehrlich (R) 38
ME-Gov (Critical Insights): Libby Mitchell (D) 20, Paul LePage (R) 32, Eliot Cutler 19
MN-Gov (Princeton Survey Research for the Minneapolis Star-Tribune): Mark Dayton (D) 41, Tom Emmer (R) 34, Tom Horner (I) 13
MO-Sen (Mason-Dixon for St. Louis Post-Dispatch/KMOV-TV): Robin Carnahan (D) 40, Roy Blunt (R) 49
NY-Gov (Marist): Andrew Cuomo (D) 60, Carl Paladino (R) 37
PA-Gov (Quinnipiac): Dan Onorato (D) 44, Tom Corbett (R) 49
WV-Sen (Global Strategy Group (D) for Joe Manchin): Joe Manchin (D) 48, John Raese (R) 43
Margins & Errors: On Sunday, Pat Toomey moved out to a 3-point lead in the Muhlenberg tracker, while Tom Corbett is +9… some sketchy details of IN-02 internals from Brian Howey: “Howard County Republican Chairman Craig Dunn said internal polling has shown Walorski chipping a 9-point Donnelly lead to “at the margin of error” around 4 percent.” … CNN sources tell them that Harry Reid’s internals have him up 6 over Sharron Angle in NV-Sen… PPP will have polls out for CA, CO, KY & WV this week
http://wjz.com/wireapnewsmd/Po…
http://www.oregonlive.com/poli…
Big difference with SUSA on OR-5.
http://www.staradvertiser.com/…
tells you what he REALLY thinks is going to happen instead of what Sean Hannity listeners want to hear. Blumenthal up 56-43, an 8-point improvement from two weeks ago.
http://www.rasmussenreports.co…
the NRSC is confident in its polling — they’re investing another $3 million in California. I’m somewhat surprised, given public polling shows Boxer with a consistent lead, and PPP’s tweets are less than sunny for Fiorina. Plus that money could go a lot further in, say, Colorado or West Virginia.
http://www.nationaljournal.com…
I’m looking forward to seeing the actual ad. This is going to look like either a brilliant move or a massive waste on Nov. 3.
already discussed one way or another here. I hope we will get something new tomorrow or Wednesday…. But generally i can’t remember a year with so much so wildly different polls
Muhlenberg now says Toomey leads 47-42.
I hope Sestak can reverse that trend.
Benishek (R) leads 42-40.
Keating up 37-33 in MA-10.
Frank up 46-33 in MA-4. (Different from poll showing up him 12% last week.)
http://www.boston.com/news/loc…
http://www.omaha.com/article/2…
Ralston on yesterday’s early voting…
GOP cheerleading going to get in the next week or so? I love talking about the polls, but I am getting really sick of the rah-rah comments about how great these GOP candidates are or touting GOP polls like they have anything to do with reality. If I wanted to read that nonsense, I’d spend time at the mainstream media sites.
Zogby went into FL for the Naples Daily News. I have a very low opinion of this pollster, so take these numbers for what you want.
Sen
Rubio 40 (39)
Crist 33 (33)
Meek 18 (18)
http://www.naplesnews.com/news…
Gov
Sink 43 (41)
Scott 39 (39)
http://www.naplesnews.com/news…
The Sen numbers seem a bit off to me – to little for Meek and a bit too much for Crist. Gov numbers have been all over the map, Scott up, Sink up, neither by much. Both of these polls show a remarkable amount of stability and that just doesn’t seem right in the Senate race to me. I could believe it in the Gov race, but who knows. Clearly, he didn’t push leaners very hard.
http://www.publicpolicypolling…
Bennet 47
Buck 47
Coats-53
Ellsworth-35
Question at this point does Ellsworth break 40? IDK.
http://www.wishtv.com/dpp/news…
Hickenlopper 47 (47)
Tancredo 44 (33)
Maes 05 (13)
http://publicpolicypolling.blo…
I wouldn’t have predicted this two months ago…
http://www.rasmussenreports.co…
Does someone have access to the party ID?
Rasmussen says double digits. I move it to Dem Favored.
http://www.rasmussenreports.co…
I really thought Brown was going to lose earlier this year, ala Coakley-style. But he keeps impressing me. I think its really likely Brown is headed for a win, based on gut instinct and the fact that everyone (Dems, GOP, and Indies) are tired of seeing eMeg’s face every single day, 3 times a day or even more so. Anyone else agree?
Frank Caprio didn’t get Barack Obama’s endorsement and then went ballistic:
Caprio is a horrible representative of the Democratic Party and even cavorted with the RNC:
It’s good to find out about Caprio before the election. Here’s hoping for Lincoln Chafee to kick his ass.
Either PPP or Ras are very wrong.
http://publicpolicypolling.blo…
http://www.nationaljournal.com…
http://www.rasmussenreports.co…
The Mellman Group, Inc. (.pdf link):
Not sure if Mellan Group is a Dem pollster or not though. Does anyone know?
I just don’t understand why GOP’ers think it’s a good idea to put foul smelling stuff in peoples mailbox?
http://hotlineoncall.nationalj…
with 19% undecided via TPM – http://tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo…
http://www.politico.com/news/s…
Either he’s really desperate or he’s trying to win favor with Republicans for a party switch.
http://www.kmph.com/Global/sto…
Sounds like dino Rossi when the SUSA poll showed him up 10.