I have been thinking about this for weeks now, how much do you think that Carl Paladino will lose by, I am guessing at least 20 points. But I really do not know. And when do you think that the election will be called for Cuomo. I will be working as a poll worker and polls in NY do not close until 9pm. Do you think that by the time I get home around 10 pm or 10:30 or Paladino will be giving his concession speech?
15 thoughts on “How Much Will Carl Paladino Lose By?”
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I think the margin will be 15-20%. I also think there may be a surprisingly large number of 3rd party votes.
D – 50%
R – 30%
I – 20%
Cuomo – 89/14/54 = 60%
Paladino – 6/83/36 = 35%
Other – 5/3/10 = 5%
Schumer will reach 70% and Gillibrand will reach 60%. The Dems will win the AG and Comptroller as well somewhere in the mid 50% range of vote. Will this create some needed coattails for the US House and State Legislative races?
Here’s my question: how pronounced will regional effects be? Is it possible, that is, that Cuomo will win almost every county easy of Rochester, and none west (even Buffalo)?