How Much Will Carl Paladino Lose By?

I have been thinking about this for weeks now, how much do you think that Carl Paladino will lose by, I am guessing at least 20 points. But I really do not know. And when do you think that the election will be called for Cuomo. I will be working as a poll worker and polls in NY do not close until 9pm. Do you think that by the time I get home around 10 pm or 10:30 or Paladino will be giving his concession speech?