The Revised Wyoming Rule

After the 2010 census was released I wondered, what were the changes that would occur if the WY rule was implemented. The WY rule proposed that congressional apportionment would be decided by the state’s population divided by the pop per rep of the least populous state (Wyoming). I calculated the numbers and here they are

Arizona – 11

Alaska – 1

Alabama – 8

Arkansas- 5

California – 66

Connecticut- 6

Colorado- 8

Delaware – 1

Florida – 33

Georgia – 17

Hawaii – 1

Idaho- 2

Iowa – 5

Illinois – 22

Indiana – 11

Kansas – 5

Kentucky – 7

Louisiana – 8

Maine – 2

Massachusetts – 11

Maryland – 10

Michigan – 17

Mississippi – 5

Minnesota – 9

Missouri – 10

Montana – 1

Nebraska – 3

Nevada – 4

North Dakota – 1

North Carolina – 16

New Hampshire – 2

New Mexico – 3

New Jersey – 15

New York – 34

Ohio – 20

Oklahoma – 6

Oregon – 6

Pennsylvania – 22

Rhode Island – 2

South Carolina – 8

South Dakota – 1

Tennessee – 11

Texas – 44

Utah – 4

Vermont – 1

Virginia – 14

Washington – 11

West Virginia – 3

Wyoming – 1

Wisconsin – 10

The Changes

No Changes

AK,DE,HI,ID,ME,MT,NE,NV,NH,NM,ND,RI,SD,UT,VT,WV,WY

Gaining 1

AL,AR,CO,CT,IA,KS,KY,MN,MS,OK,OR,SC,WA

Gaining 2

AZ,IN,LA,MD,MA,MO,TN,WI

Gaining 3

GA,MI,NJ,NC,VA

Gaining 4

IL,OH,PA

Gaining 6

FL

Gaining 7

NY

Gaining 8

TX

Gaining 13

CA

House changes size +90 to 525 Representatives

Electoral Threshold changes to 319 EVs

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15 thoughts on “The Revised Wyoming Rule”

  1. As I understand it, the Wyoming Rule includes rounding up or down. It seems that you’ve uniformly rounded down. A number of states must therefore be shortchanged.

  2. Start with the US population: 308745538

    Divide by population of Wyoming: 568300

    This gives 543 total seats.

    Then use the apportionment algorithm to calculate where those seats go:

    http://www.thegreenpapers.com/

    Modify the script to calculate 543 seats.  Make sure you increase the maximum seats above 60, and change the “just for fun” ten extra seats part. Then run the script (using perl):

    Alabama – 8 seats

    Alaska – 1 seats

    Arizona – 11 seats

    Arkansas – 5 seats

    California – 66 seats

    Colorado – 9 seats

    Connecticut – 6 seats

    Delaware – 2 seats

    Florida – 33 seats

    Georgia – 17 seats

    Hawaii – 2 seats

    Idaho – 3 seats

    Illinois – 23 seats

    Indiana – 11 seats

    Iowa – 5 seats

    Kansas – 5 seats

    Kentucky – 8 seats

    Louisiana – 8 seats

    Maine – 2 seats

    Maryland – 10 seats

    Massachusetts – 12 seats

    Michigan – 17 seats

    Minnesota – 9 seats

    Mississippi – 5 seats

    Missouri – 11 seats

    Montana – 2 seats

    Nebraska – 3 seats

    Nevada – 5 seats

    New Hampshire – 2 seats

    New Jersey – 16 seats

    New Mexico – 4 seats

    New York – 34 seats

    North Carolina – 17 seats

    North Dakota – 1 seats

    Ohio – 20 seats

    Oklahoma – 7 seats

    Oregon – 7 seats

    Pennsylvania – 22 seats

    Rhode Island – 2 seats

    South Carolina – 8 seats

    South Dakota – 2 seats

    Tennessee – 11 seats

    Texas – 45 seats

    Utah – 5 seats

    Vermont – 1 seats

    Virginia – 14 seats

    Washington – 12 seats

    West Virginia – 3 seats

    Wisconsin – 10 seats

    Wyoming – 1 seats

  3. you always look to see whose ox is going to be gored.  There are winners and losers.  If we set a 1 million person minimum for house seats and guaranteed every state one member. We would see a decrease in members and the small states would benefit. By decreasing the average population for a house seat the large states benefit.

    The calculation for the population in the house is a matter of politics and not constitutional.  Yet it seems frozen in stone and unless we see some sort of compromise like a two member minimum I don’t see any changes.  

    Heres another quick reason why.

    Bush 270 Gore 268

    Bush 210 Gore 226

    That’s the count of ECV’s without 100 votes for US senators plus the DC bonus of 2.  That’s if I counted right but there is small state bonus in the electoral college for the GOP as they win more states.  Not every election but most elections.  Its not just the composition of US house but electoral college.  

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