I was working on an extended redistricting of Texas, but I accidentally closed out the file! I had saved it using an .RTF, but I don’t know how to open it (can anyone help with that??). But anyway, I did take a photoshot of Southern Texas before I closed out, and I think it might be worthwhile to examine what redistricting will look like along the border.
I used the 2010 Census numbers for this, so all follow the VRA. I also plugged in the partisan data for TX-23 and found that if you attach the district to San Angelo, you get a Obama 44% district and VAP of 59% Hispanic. Pretty cool!
I drew an extra fajita strip (purple) that went about 49% for Obama, while being around 60% VAP. The other Hispanic districts (TX-15, 20, 28, 35) are all around 70% VAP. The new TX27 (green) is safe for Farenthold (back-of-the-envelope calculations say that it went 41% for Obama).
Also, as you can see, McCaul is significantly safer, it’s now a 38% Obama district. However, and this is important, the estimations under the partisan data are wildly different than the actual Census numbers: the district is actually far more Hispanic under the 2010 numbers. In fact, it’s only 60% white VAP, and less so with the total numbers. Austin is far more Hispanic that one would imagine.
Also, Carter is made a lot safer in his district by removing Killeen to the super-duper red TX-11.
So tell me what you think! Sorry I don’t have the rest available–I will if someone helps me out. I do think this is what’s going to happen, though.
RTF is a rich text format file, and you should be able to open it using microsoft word.
(I’m curious to see what the southern part of those fajita strips look like.)
As a former resident with friends and relatives in that area, I can tell you that the big money down there will probably not allow Victoria to be put in a district with the valley.
It’s state senate district reaches to Houston (Katy) and they love themselves some Ron Paul down there.
I live in the Dallas area and I’m also trying to draw my own. My state house member is chairman of the Redistricting committee.
Male, 54, TX-24, Libertarian/Republican