Monmouth University Poll
Frank Pallone (D)-53%
Anna Little (R)-41%
Undecided-6%
Little leads 51-38 of independent voters, but the district has a 2-1 Democratic registration edge, and Little is only winning over 8% of Democrats. Pallone has decent favorables and job approval. This should be Pallone’s closest election in a while, but you’d still have to say it is Likely Democrat at best (or worst) depending on your preference.