Continuing through the alphabet, and nearing the end 🙂
Utah has 3 representatives: 2 Republicans and a Democrat
The filing deadline was March 17, the primary is June 24
Vermont has 1 representative – a Democrat
Filing deadline is July 21, primary is Sept. 9
Virginia has 11 representatives: 8 Republicans and 3 Democrats
Filing deadline was April 11, primary is June 10
District: UT-01
Location Northwestern UT, including Ogden and part of Salt Lake City
Representative Rob Bishop (R)
First elected 2002
2006 margin 63-32
2004 margin 68-29
Bush margin 2004 73-35
Notes on opponents Neither raised much
Current opponents Morgan Bowen, no funding info. Bishop has $150K COH
Demographics 36th fewest Blacks (1.1%), 8th most Republican (per Cook PVI)
Assessment Long shot
District: UT-02
Location Most of Salt Lake City, and all of southeastern UT
Representative Jim Matheson (D)
First elected 2000
2006 margin 59-37
2004 margin 55-43
Bush margin 2004 66-31
Notes on opponents In 2004, John Swallow raised $1.5 million to Matheson’s $2 million; in 2006, LaVar Christenson raised $800K to Matheson’s $1.6 million
Current opponents Bill Dew, Donald Ferguson, Kenneth Gray, Merrill Cook, Brian Jenkins, Chris Jacobs (no funding info on any). Matheson has $850K COH
Demographics 18th fewest Blacks (0.6%), 25th most Republican
Assessment Pretty safe
District: UT-03
Location Southwestern UT, including Orem and Provo
Representative Chris Cannon (R)
First elected 1996
2006 margin 58-32
2004 margin 63-33
Bush margin 2004 77-20
Notes on opponents Neither raised much
Current opponents A primary and then Bennion Spencer (n funding info). Cannon has only $52K COH and $180K in debt
Demographics 11th fewest Blacks (0.5%), most Republican district in the country
Assessment Cannon could lose a primary, but this is as Republican a district as exists.
District: VT-AL
Location Vermont
Representative Peter Welch (D)
First elected 2006
2006 margin 53-45
2004 margin NA
Bush margin 2004 39-59
Notes on opponents 13th most rural (61.8%), 4th most Whites (96.2%), 11th fewest Blacks (0.5%), 17th fewest Latinos (0.9%)
Current opponents None formally announced; Welch has $711K COH
Demographics 13th most rural (61.8%), 4th most White (96.2%), 11th fewest Blacks (0.5%), 17th fewest Latinos (0.9%)
Assessment Safe
District: VA-01
Location Northeast VA, including Fredericksburg and most of the Chesapeake shoreline (on the western side)
Representative Rob Wittman (R)
First elected 2007
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Bush margin 2004 60-39
Notes on opponents NA
Current opponents A primary, then Keith Hummel (no funding info).
Demographics 13th most veterans (17.7%),
Assessment The primary may be a battle
District: VA-02
Location Virginia Beach and the eastern side of the Chesapeake
Representative Thelma Drake (R)
First elected 2004
2006 margin 51-48
2004 margin 55-45
Bush margin 2004 58-42
Notes on opponents In 2006, Phil Kellam raised $1.7 million to Drake’s $2.3 million. In 2004, David Ashe raised $400K to Drake’s $800K
Current opponents Glenn Nye, who raised over $250K in the 1st quarter of 2008. On 12/31, Drake had $425K COH
Demographics 3rd most veterans (20.3%)
Assessment Vulnerable. Superribbie ranks it the 40th most vulnerable Republican seat.
District: VA-03
Location Richmond and Norfolk and more or less contiguous points in between
Representative Bobby Scott (D)
First elected 1992
2006 margin Unopposed
2004 margin 69-31
Bush margin 2004 33-66
Notes on opponents In 2004, Winsome Sears raised $200K to Scott’s $500K
Current opponents None
Demographics 53rd most veterans (15.5%), 59th fewest Whites (37.7%), 16th most Blacks (56%), 60th most Democratic
Assessment Free ride
District: VA-04
Location Southeastern VA
Representative Randy Forbes (R)
First elected 2001
2006 margin 76-23
2004 margin 64-35
Bush margin 2004 57-43
Notes on opponents Neither raised much
Current opponents Andrea Miller (no funding info). Forbes has $350K COH
Demographics 34th most veterans (16.2%), 38th most Blacks (33.1%), 91st fewest Latinos (2.0%)
Assessment long shot
District: VA-05
Location Central southern VA, north to Charlottesville
Representative Virgil Goode (R)
First elected 1996
2006 margin 59-40
2004 margin 64-36
Bush margin 2004 56-43
Notes on opponents Al Weed ran both times, raising about $500K each time
Current opponents Tom Perriello has raised $600K and has almost all of it. Goode has raised $438K and has $593K COH (both as of 3/31/08)
Demographics 10th most rural (64.0%), 68th most Blacks (23.9%), 67th fewest Latinos (1.6%)
Assessment Slightly vulnerable Superribbie ranks it the 54th most competitive Republican seat
District: VA-06
Location Northwestern VA, bordering WV, including Roanoke
Representative Bob Goodlatte (R)
First elected 1992
2006 margin 75-12-12 against minor parties
2004 margin essentially unopposed
Bush margin 2004 63-36
Notes on opponents NA
Current opponents Sam Rasoul had raised $131K and had $62K COH on 12/31; Goodlatte had over $1.3 million COH
Demographics 86th most Republican
Assessment Long shot
District: VA-07
Location Richmond and points north and west
Representative Eric Cantor (R)
First elected 2000
2006 margin 64-34
2004 margin 75-24
Bush margin 2004 61-38
Notes on opponents In 2006, James Nachman raised $100K to Cantor’s $3.5 million
Current opponents Anita Hartke (no funding info). Cantor has $555K COH
Demographics 90th highest income (median = $51K), 90th fewest Latinos (2.0%), 86th most Republican
Assessment
District: VA-08
Location DC suburbs
Representative Jim Moran (D)
First elected 1990
2006 margin 66-31
2004 margin 60-37
Bush margin 2004 35-64
Notes on opponents In 2004, Lisa Marie Cheney raised $300K to Moran’s $1.6 million. In 2006, Tom O’Donoghue raised $111K to Moran’s $1 million
Current opponents Amit Singh, Mark Ellmore, Dianne Kelly, Basil Mossaides, John Villaneuva…. all of whom either have no funding info, or more debt than COH. Moran has $700K COH
Demographics 68th highest income (median = $63K), 48th most nonBlack, nonLatino, nonWhites (mostly 9.5% Asians), 77th most Democratic
Assessment
District: VA-09
Location Eastern VA, bordering NC, TN, KY and WV
Representative Rick Boucher (D)
First elected 1982
2006 margin 68-32
2004 margin 59-39
Bush margin 2004 59-39
Notes on opponents In 2004, Kevin Triplett raised $600K to Boucher’s $1.6 million. The 2006 opponent raised little
Current opponents Jody Egan (no funding info). Boucher has $1.2 million COH
Demographics 7th most rural (65.9%), 24th lowest income (median = $30K), 27th most Whites (93.3%), 27th fewest Latinos (1.1%)
Assessment safe
District: VA-10
Location Northern VA, bordering MD and WV
Representative Frank Wolf (R)
First elected 1980
2006 margin 57-41
2004 margin 64-36
Bush margin 2004 55-44
Notes on opponents In 2004, James Socas raised $900K to Wolf’s $1.6 million. In 2006, Judy Feder raised $1.6 million to Wolf’s $1.8 million
Current opponents Feder is running again, as is Mike Turner and there is a primary opponent, too. Feder has raised $588K and has $480K COH, Turner has raised $60K and has $30K COH; Wolf has $550K COH.
Demographics 10th highest income (median = $72K), 76th most nonWhite, nonBlack, nonLatino (6.6% Asian, 1.9% multiracial),
Assessment Slightly vulnerable Superribbie ranks it the 46th most competitive Republican seat
District: VA-11
Location DC suburbs
Representative Tom Davis (R) who is retiring
First elected 1994
2006 margin 55-44
2004 margin 60-38
Bush margin 2004 50-49
Notes on opponents In 2006, Andrew Hurst raised $300K to Davis $3.6 million
Current opponents The Democrats:
Doug Denneny $31K raised, $14K COH
Gerry Connolly no funding info
Leslie Byrne $115K raised, $110K COH
Demographics Highest income (median = $80K), 41st most veterans (15.9%), 40th most nonWhite, nonBlack, nonLatino (10.9% Asian, 2.6% multiracial)
Assessment Should be a competitive race. Superribbie ranks it the 10th most competitive Republican seat