Final Weekly Open Thread of the Cycle: Predictions Time!

HotlineTV had a fun 20 minute episode today featuring editors Chuck Todd and John Mercurio making predictions for all the districts that they deemed to be competitive. It was almost comprehensive, but they neglected to make calls on at least a few districts that are in some degree of play this year: IL-06, IL-08, IL-10, NE-01, NY-03, SC-05, TX-17, VT-AL, WA-05, and WY-AL, for instance.

I’ve reproduced their predictions in full below. Now, I’m not saying that either of these guys will be right, but we might as well use this as a conversation stimulator. How many seats will we win on Nov. 7 in the House and Senate? Which ones will they be, and why? Will the Republicans manage to snag at least one pickup in the House or Senate this year? How about the Governor’s mansions and state legislators or any other important election that you’re keeping an eye on? We had our prediction contest a few weeks ago, but now it’s time to broaden the playing field.




















































































































































































































































































































District Todd Mercurio
AZ-01 Renzi Renzi
AZ-05 Mitchell Mitchell
AZ-08 Giffords Giffords
CA-04 Doolittle Doolittle
CA-11 McNerney Pombo
CA-50 Bilbray Bilbray
CO-04 Paccione Musgrave
CO-05 Lamborn Lamborn
CO-07 Perlmutter Perlmutter
CT-02 Simmons Courtney
CT-04 Farrell Farrell
CT-05 Murphy Johnson
FL-08 Keller Keller
FL-09 Bilirakis Bilirakis
FL-13 Jennings Jennings
FL-16 Mahoney Mahoney
FL-22 Shaw Klein
GA-08 Marshall Marshall
GA-12 Barrow Barrow
ID-01 Sali Grant
IN-02 Donnelly Donnelly
IN-08 Ellsworth Ellsworth
IN-09 Hill Hill
IA-01 Braley Braley
IA-02 Leach Leach
IA-03 Boswell Boswell
IA-04 Latham Latham
KS-02 Ryun Ryun
KY-02 Lewis Lewis
KY-03 Yarmuth Northup
KY-04 Lucas Lucas
MN-01 Walz Walz
MN-06 Wetterling Wetterling
NE-03 Smith Smith
NV-02 Heller Heller
MV-03 Hafen Porter
NH-02 Hodes Bass
NM-01 Madrid Madrid
NY-19 Kelly Kelly
NY-20 Sweeney Sweeney
NY-24 Arcuri Meier
NY-25 Walsh Walsh
NY-26 Reynolds Reynolds
NY-29 Kuhl Kuhl
NC-08 Hayes Hayes
NC-11 Shuler Shuler
OH-01 Cranley Cranley
OH-02 Wulsin Schmidt
OH-12 Shamansky Tiberi
OH-15 Kilroy Kilroy
OH-18 Space Space
PA-06 Gerlach Murphy
PA-07 Sestak Sestak
PA-08 Murphy Murphy
PA-10 Carney Carney
TX-22 Lampson Lampson
TX-23 Runoff No Runoff
VA-02 Kellam Drake
WA-08 Burner Burner
WI-08 Kagen Kagen