Strategic Vision (R) has a new poll of the Florida Senate race, with some different names being polled than past polls. The poll results are based on telephone interviews with 1200 likely voters in Florida, aged 18+, and conducted February 6-8, 2009. The margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.
2010 Senate Democratic Primary
Ron Klein 12%
Kendrick Meek 10%
Pam Iorio 8%
Dan Gelber 4%
Undecided 66%
2010 Senate Republican Primary with Crist
Charlie Crist 54%
Connie Mack IV 16%
Vern Buchanan 10%
Alan Bense 7%
Marco Rubio 4%
Undecided 9%
2010 Senate Republican Primary without Crist
Connie Mack IV 21%
Vern Buchanan 11%
Alan Bense 8%
Marco Rubio 5%
Undecided 9%
2010 Senate General Election
Crist 58%, Klein 24%
Crist 60%, Meek 26%
Crist 57%, Iorio 29%
Crist 58%, Gelber 27%
Mack 32%, Klein 27%
Mack 35%, Meek 25%
Mack 32%, Iorio 30%
Mack 33%, Gelber 20%
Buchanan 24%, Klein 28%
Buchanan 29%, Meek 23%
Buchanan 26%, Iorio 30%
Buchanan 23%, Gelber 20%
Bense 22%, Klein 27%
Bense 28%, Meek 21%
Bense 24%, Iorio 30%
Bense 27%, Gelber 25%
Rubio 18%, Klein 29%
Rubio 26%, Meek 24%
Rubio 19%, Iorio 32%
Rubio 22%, Gelber 17%
Not sure if this poll tells us too much. Clearly, Crist dominates if he runs. If he doesn’t, then the race is wide open.
Among the Democrats, Iorio consistently polled best in the general election match-ups, followed by Klein, then Meek, with Gelber last. Of course, there are huge numbers of undecideds, so it’s impossible to say who would be the strongest general election candidate for the Democrats this far out. When the primary is this open, I hope the DSCC stays out, as I think the strongest candidate tends to emerge from the primary.