Ipsos/Reuters (8/20-22, likely voters, no trend lines):
Michael Bennet (D-inc): 40
Ken Buck (R): 49
Undecided: 10
(MoE: ±4.6%)
Ipsos is back with the rosiest poll yet for turd-caked boot fetishist Ken Buck. The poll also offers an unsurprising glimpse of the enthusiasm gap in Colorado: 76% of Republicans say they are “completely certain” that they’ll vote compared to 59% of Democrats who feel the same. That gap is reflected in the registered voter screen version of the poll, where Buck’s lead over Bennet drops to 44-40.
Bennet’s campaign responded this morning with details of a Harstad Stategic Research poll (8/16-20, likely voters) conducted for their campaign:
Michael Bennet (D-inc): 44
Ken Buck (R): 40
(MoE: ±?%)
Bennet’s also up with a one-minute broadcast ad tearing into Ken Buck, in his own words. Republican media buying company Smart Media Group says that Bennet now has $106K worth of broadcast ads currently on the airwaves.
Ipsos also has a set of numbers on the gubernatorial race:
John Hickenlooper (D): 45
Dan Maes (R): 45
Other: 1
Undecided: 9John Hickenlooper (D): 41
Dan Maes (R): 33
Tom Tancredo (C): 16
Undecided: 9
(MoE: ±4.6%)
Yikes — if there was ever a reflection of how scary this environment is for Democrats, it’s the sight of John Hickenlooper being tied with broke-assed tinfoil-hatter Dan Maes in a direct head-to-head race. (Among registered voters, Hickenlooper leads by 48-38, and by 42-27-19 in a three-way.) Those numbers are a lot more optimistic for Dan Maes than the most recent most recent PPP poll, but keep in mind that PPP hadn’t shifted to a likely voter model when they last tested this race.
Still, Hickenlooper is still clearly favored — Tancredo is still in this game, and Maes is, not surprisingly, having serious money woes. Even if you have the generic ballot on your side, it’s a bit difficult to win an election with a shoestring ad campaign…
Full Ipsos crosstabs are available below the fold.