Glengariff Group for WDIV-TV and the Detroit News (9/15-16, likely voters, no trend lines):
John Dingell (D-inc): 49
Rob Steele (R): 30
Others: 8
Undecided: 13
(MoE: ±4.9%)
Dingell has been in the House for 27 terms, and occupies a district that’s given over 60% of the vote to Democrats in each of the past three Presidential elections. It’s disturbing that this race is even a topic of discussion, but that’s the nature of the year. Dingell won re-election two years ago with a whopping 71% of the vote, but it doesn’t look like he’ll enjoy the same margin when he gets his 28th term.