The Dying GOP: Oregon Conservative Magazine Closes

In the latest example of the dying GOP, at least out here in Oregon, Brainstorm NW, the leading magazine of the conservative movement in the state, is closing its doors.  Its February issue will be the last it ever publishes.

Major H/T to Steve Duin of the Oregonian for this story: Brainstorm is Toast

Cross-Posted from Loaded Orygun: http://www.loadedorygun.net/sh…

In its 12-year history, Brainstorm NW was the voice of the fiscally conservative but not socially conservative aspects of the OR GOP (which given that they published Lars Larson tells you how crazy the mainstream GOP is).  Describing themselves as the “magazine for Northwest decision makers”, it proved to be nothing of the sort.  At the present time it had 12,000 subscribers and enjoyed a regular print run of about 25,000.  While it is sad to see well-meaning people fail in such an endeavor and for a, relatively, centrist publication to die, it is a sign of the fact that the OR GOP has moved quite far to the right.

Their final editorial (copied from Steve Duin’s blog, linked above), says in part:

For the past 12 years, BrainstormNW has published in Oregon and been read by thousands of well-educated, active, thoughtful citizens. We, of course, are a niche magazine, not a newspaper. Did we have a message, a slant, like the Aurora of 1798? Yes. For 12 years we have sounded the alarm that Oregon’s business climate was rapidly cooling. We have made the case that our planet was just as likely to be cooling and that the global warming fanatics were just that, con artists seeking power and financial gain. For 12 years we warned that ignoring the rich resources of rural Oregon was foolhardy and would lead to poverty and social decay. For 12 years we have sounded the alert that 22 years of one-party rule by Democrats would eventually corrupt. That the concentrated power, numbers and inflated pensions and benefits of public unions would undermine and finally destroy Oregon’s economy.

And now we will be silent. Like the Aurora and Porcupine’s Gazette, our time has ended. This month’s issue, February 2009, will be our last. We were the voice of many Oregonians, but we have been stilled by the failing economy we predicted for this past decade. Ironic. Sad. In this instance it has been less than gratifying to be right. But given that a pro-business publication in Oregon is a bit more of a rare hothouse orchid than an old growth Doug fir, it is not surprising that we could not weather the economic and political firestorm. Still, for our writers, editors and readers, the loss of this 12-year endeavor is painful

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I should correct one obvious factual error in this editorial.  The Dems did not control the state legislature fully from 1992-2006 and did not control either chamber for a good period of time, it still speaks to a certain brand of conservative myopia.  In further proof of this, one need look no further than their piece on the bailout published in October:

Shoveling a trillion taxpayer dollars into a hole of government spending is not the answer. If infrastructure projects and handouts are the focus of Obama’s stimulus package, the money is as good as gone. Real economic recovery will only come from small business stimulus. And no doubt it’s time for thinking outside the box that goes well beyond standard direct payments or traditional tax cuts – though these too may play a role.

Link: http://www.brainstormnw.com/co…

So goodbye Brainstorm NW, and may such conservative BS ideology go with you.

CT-Sen: Blumenthal Crushes Lieberman in Early Polling; Dodd Weakening

Check it. Quinnipiac (2/5-8, registered voters):

Richard Blumenthal (D): 58

Joe Lieberman (I-Inc.): 30

(MoE: ±2.5%)

No need to adjust your TV sets — these are general election numbers, not some fantasy scenario where Lieberman tries to win the Democratic primary nomination again. Indeed, he would be foolish to even try, especially if state AG Dick Blumenthal gets into the race. Here’s an eye-popping number for you: among Democrats, Blumenthal steamrolls Lieberman by a devastating 83-9 margin! Of course, Lieberman has four years to try to repair his douche-stained reputation, and who knows if Blumenthal will really pull the trigger. However, with numbers like these, Blumenthal has every reason to finally throw down; this race may be his last real opportunity to wage a Senate campaign.

Meanwhile, Connecticut’s other Senator, Chris Dodd, continues his downward spiral:

A total of 42 percent of voters say they “definitely” or “probably” will vote to reelect Sen. Dodd in 2010, while 51 percent say the “probably won’t” or “definitely won’t” vote for him.

By a 54 – 24 percent margin, Connecticut voters say they are not satisfied with Sen. Dodd’s explanation of allegations that he received preferential mortgage treatment and 56 percent of voters say they are less likely to vote for him because of this controversy.

And that’s not all: Dodd’s approval has entered net negative territory for the first time in recent Quinnipiac polling history, with 48% of voters disapproving of his job performance to 41% who still give Dodd their approval.

If John Cornyn is successful in luring Rob Simmons or even a cash-flush self-funder into this race, it’ll be a significant accomplishment for the NRSC. At the very least, attacking this pressure point will force Democrats to reallocate resources to a defensive position — and who knows, maybe lightning could strike.

LA-Sen: We’ve Found Our Porn Star!

Several weeks ago, I posted an interesting rumor regarding a possible porn star primary opponent for David “Diapers” Vitter as the good Senator enters his reelection campaign in 2010. Well, look no further, because someone(s) have found their pornstar:

Draft Stormy for US Senate has been set up by independent individuals not associated with any party in order to draft pornstar Stormy Daniels to run in the US Senate race in Louisiana. The fact that Stormy is from Louisiana indicates that whoever set up their website did their research and wasn’t just some two bit fan of her movies.

How serious is Ms. Daniels considering a run for political office? She is planning a “listening tour” around the Bayou State, and if that doesn’t convince you, check out the what passes for a serious interview she did with CNN’s Rick Sanchez:

All I can say is at this point in time, if a pornstar is able to have the time to do a “listening tour” around her home state listening to people’s concerns about the economy and other issues, and a sitting US Senator is hiding under his desk afraid to talk about family values, then said Senator has a serious problem.

Not necessarily from the pornstar challenging him, but from the actually serious candidates that start to emerge from the swamps of the Big Easy when they realize Vitter is becoming more of a dead duck by the day.

CA-Gov: Whitman Forms Exploratory Committee

Everyone thinks they’re Christopher Columbus nowadays:

It’s official: Meg Whitman, the former chief executive of eBay, is planning to run for governor of California.

She announced on Monday that she had formed an exploratory committee, the first step in seeking the Republican nomination for governor in the 2010 race. Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger faces term limits and cannot run for re-election, leaving the field wide open for one of the nation’s most powerful governorships.

She’s lining up some heavy hitters in her corner, too:

She also announced that former California Gov. Pete Wilson would serve as the chairman of the campaign while Reps. Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) and Mary Bono Mack (R-Calif.) will serve as co-chairs.

On the staff side, Whitman has attracted high level talent — reflective of the national profile of California races not to mention Whitman’s significant personal wealth — that borrows from a number of the GOP presidential campaigns of 2008 including those of Arizona Sen. John McCain and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney.

Question #1 is whether she can escape a GOP primary with conservative jillionaire state Insurance Comm’r Steve Poizner. Whitman, of course, is worth a fortune, too. Should be a good fight.

CT-Sen: Simmons Mulling a Run

This would be a pretty big coup for John Cornyn:

Former Rep. Rob Simmons (R-Conn.) is contemplating a challenge to Sen. Chris Dodd (D-Conn.) in 2010, as Republicans appear to be telegraphing that they plan to target the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs chairman for defeat.

National Republican Senatorial Committee Chairman John Cornyn (Texas) met with Simmons to discuss a potential bid a few weeks ago while the former Congressman was in town for the Republican National Committee winter meeting, according to a knowledgeable source. Simmons, however, has not yet made any commitments to the NRSC.

“Congressman Simmons would be a very strong candidate in this race, particularly when ethics and the economy will be two of the biggest issues in 2010,” NRSC spokesman Brian Walsh said. “That said, it’s our understanding that he’s still examining his options as are other potential candidates.”

Simmons, who was knocked off by Democrat Joe Courtney in an extremely close race in 2006, is already testing out some attacks against Dodd:

“I am currently looking around for opportunities to be of service,” Simmons said. “As you know, I’ve got a fairly substantial background in public service and I’m currently just looking around, if you will, exploring possibilities to see what looks good.”

Although Simmons was coy about 2010, he touted his service as an aide to former Sens. John Chafee (R-R.I.) and Barry Goldwater (R-Ariz.) as proof of his ability to straddle the spectrum of the Republican Party. Simmons was also fast to criticize Dodd for not foreseeing the economic crisis as chairman of the Banking panel, as well as not disclosing the details of a well-publicized deal he got on a mortgage for his home.

“Sen. Dodd has disappointed a lot of his supporters up here in Connecticut with his activities over the last several years,” Simmons said. “He left the state, moved to Iowa, to pursue what turned out to be a frivolous attempt to run for president of the United States of America.”

If Simmons goes for it, this race could conceivably get pretty interesting. The latest polling (Quinnipiac, December 2008) hasn’t exactly been kind to Dodd the Bod — his approval rating is limping along at 47-41, and his re-elects are in even worse shape: only 44% say that they’ll vote to re-elect the incumbent in 2010, while 47% say that they’ll go with someone else.

There’s no question that Simmons would have to run one hell of a race in order to win in this bright blue state, but the path for him is available if he decides to take a crack against an incumbent who voters seem to be getting at least somewhat tired of.

Weekend Rumblings Roundup

Alexi Giannoulias, Illinois state treasurer, upset the incumbent in 2006 after being endorsed by Barack Obama met with Dick Durbin in Washington recently to discuss a potential senate bid.  Giannoulias also has the ability to self fund, being the former vice president of a bank.  

Giannoulias was in DC again last week to meet with potential campaign staff, fundraisers, etc. He also met with US Sen. Dick Durbin, who said yesterday that Giannoulias would be a “formidable” candidate if he runs. Giannoulias is clearly gearing up for a Senate bid.

http://thecapitolfaxblog.com/2…

In Ohio, Lt. Governor Fisher is all but in and will likely announce in the next 45 days.  

The quick entry of former Congressman Rob Portman into the contest for George Voinovich’s seat turned the heat up on everyone else in the kitchen, Fisher included. He said his answer will come in the next 45 days-maybe soon, maybe not-but it will be based on the first two of what he believes are the three reasons a candidate runs : personal, professional, and political. Fisher says this isn’t a run for his own gratification, but rather another way to help Governor Strickland and Senator Brown bring good paying jobs back to Ohio.

http://www.ohiodailyblog.com/c…

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Former State Treasurer of Missouri Sarah Steelman is also all but in, for Missouri’s senate race, ensuing, she is expected to cause collateral damage in a primary with Washington’s favorite Blunt.

Two Republican sources close to Steelman say after weeks of laying the groundwork, Steelman is “very, very likely” going to run for outgoing Sen. Kit Bond’s seat.

“She is continuing to meet with people across the state. She’s being encouraged by many supporters to run. She has had some great meetings in D.C. and around the state,” says one source. “Her message is about reform, transparency and accountability in government. That message is relevant now more than ever before.”

http://ky3.blogspot.com/2009/0…

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Tiarht’s (KS-04) R+12 district probably won’t be very competitive in the general election, but that doesn’t make the primary uninteresting!  First into the ring, State Senator Dick Kelsey.  

Kansas Sen. Dick Kelsey, R-Goddard, announced Friday that he will run for the 4th Congressional District seat being vacated by Todd Tiahrt.

Kelsey, the first candidate to officially announce he is seeking the office, made his plans known before about 100 supporters during a news conference at the Wichita Independent Business Association.

http://www.kansas.com/news/sta…

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In Virginia’s Democratic primary for Governor, Former state delegate Brian Moran turned on the offense against McCauliffe in front of Bill Clinton at the Democratic party’s Jefferson-Jackson dinner, trying to turn his financial advantage into a negative.  

At the Democratic Party of Virginia’s annual Jefferson-Jackson dinner  on Saturday, McAuliffe got an earful from former House member Brian Moran, who implied that the onetime DNC chairman is trying to buy the governor’s mansion by tapping his rolodex of national donors.

“We must decide what our party stands for,” Moran told the audience of activists in Richmond. “Will our party be dominated by big money and those who raise it, or will we be the party of the people?”

http://politicalticker.blogs.c…  

PA-Sen: Torsella Is In

Arlen Specter has his first confirmed challenger for 2010, but it’s not Allyson Schwartz or Patrick Murphy (the two names you usually see associated with this race): it’s Joe Torsella. He hasn’t held elective office before, but he’s a local mover and shaker in Philadelphia: he was, until very recently, CEO of the National Constitution Center, and before that, Ed Rendell’s deputy mayor.

Torsella’s interest in the Senate seat has always struck me as being a little above his pay grade (his only run for office was the primary for the open seat in PA-13 in 2004, which he lost to Schwartz; he was also reportedly wooed for the PA-06 candidacy in 2008). He does have one huge asset in his corner, though: Governor Ed Rendell. With Rendell having given no indication of interest in the Senate, Torsella is basically running as a Rendell proxy, and should have access to all the levers of Rendell’s machinery. Time will tell whether that will be enough to overcome the better-known Schwartz (and/or Murphy) in the primary, though.

KS-SEN, KS-GOV, Sebelius for HHS Secretary?

This suddenly makes Phil Bredesen not sound so bad

Kansas Gov. Kathleen Sebelius was very near the top of President Barack Obama’s list of candidates to head the Health and Human Services Department, a senior administration official said Saturday.

The source, speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss private administration deliberations, said no decision was imminent. But the official added the former Kansas insurance commissioner was rising as Obama considers prospective candidates.

Now, Sebelius would certainly be qualified for the job, but this raises two important questions:

1. I thought the whole point of picking Daschle was to get someone who knew their way around the halls of congress. Unless Obama plans to enact his healthcare legislation by executive fiat a la Blago (and look at how well that turned out for him), it’s going to be essential that things with those blowhards in congress go as smoothly as possible.

2. Uh, hello, whose going to run for Sam Brownback’s senate seat? She’s probably not seriously interested in being a Senator if she takes this job, but it’s not as if she wouldn’t be able to be convinced as long as she’s not just starting a new job.

CA-Gov: Feinstein leads in Dem Primary (if she ran)

From Capitol Weekly/Probolsky Research between 1/22/09 to 1/25/09:

Democratic Primary:

Dianne Feinstein – 36

Jerry Brown – 14

Antonio Villaraigosa – 9

Gavin Newsom – 9

John Garamendi – 4

Jack O’Connell – 3

Steve Westly – 1

However, two factors pointed out by brownsox of Daily Kos points to the more likely scenario of Feinstein NOT entering the race: old age (Feinstein will be 77 in 2010), and her current Chairmanship of the Senate Intelligence Committee.

As for the Republican primary:

Tom Campbell – 15

Meg Whitman – 14

Steve Poizner – 4

Peter Foy – 1

With the only name I recognize as Meg Whitman, she’ll probably be the one I assume to emerge as the winner of the GOP primary, unless someone with more prominence emerges from that field.

Personally, I think John Garamendi would be a good governor, based on what I’ve read about his fight against the corrupt and greedy practices of a number of insurance companies over the years.

Other than that, it’s safe to assume that this gubernatorial seat is coming home to the Blue Team.