Tag: NM-03

An effort of the New Mexico Netroots including Democracy for New Mexico and New Mexico FBIHOP.

For more, see Democracy for New Mexico’s post and words from one of the candidates himself, Martin Heinrich with guest blogs at both of the blogs.

We are in a unique situation in New Mexico.  There is an open Senate seat as well as three open House seats.  The other Senate seat is already held by a Democrat (Jeff Bingaman).  This means four out of five federal seats are up for grabs. In other words, we have an opportunity to make a True Blue New Mexico.  

Today, on January 23, the George W Bush administration, current and former employees alike, will do their best to get Republicans elected.  Dick Cheney will hold a fundraiser in DC for Senate candidate Steve Pearce.  He has already held  a similar DC fundraiser for Heather Wilson.  And none other than Karl Rove himself will headline a fundraiser today. Rove will be in Artesia, NM to raise money for the New Mexico Republican Party.

You can do your part by donating to great progressive Democratic candidates at our ActBlue page.  So why are we doing this drive now?

All this is money — which  will come from wealthy Republicans — will be used to blunt the possibility of a True Blue New Mexico.  So what can we do?  Show them their $5000/PAC, $2000/person dinners with Vice President Dick Cheney are no match for our people powered politics.

So who are the candidates we’re supporting with the True Blue New Mexico donation drive?  

For Senate, the choice is obvious.  Tom Udall is currently a true progressive voice in the House. Udall will be a true progressive voice in the Senate when he is New Mexico’s next Senator.  Not only will this be a great change from Sen. Pete Domenici, but much better than the two main Republican choices.  The ultra-conservative Steve Pearce and fake-moderate Heather Wilson would be disasters for New Mexico.

In the First Congressional District, Martin Heinrich is another great progressive voice.  As an Albuquerque city councilor, Heinrich spoke out against the War in Iraq when it was not a popular thing to do.  He has won environmental awards and has called for an Apollo-type program for energy independence.  And Heinrich spearheaded a successful effort to raise the minimum wage in Albuquerque.  He is a true progressive.

The same cannot be said of his likely general election opponent, Bernalillo County Sheriff Darren White.  White was the Bernalillo County Chair of the Bush/Cheney campaign in 2004.  In other words, he is partially responsible for helping deliver the county to Bush in 2004.  He does not even have the illusion of moderation that Heather Wilson has; as one person told me, “He isn’t even Heather Wilson — he’s Steve Pearce.”  Not what the First Congressional District needs — now or ever.

In the Second Congressional District, we are lucky enough to have another great candidate in Bill McCamley.  McCamley has experience in Southern New Mexico; he is a Doña Ana County Commissioner and a New Mexico State Alum.  Lobo fans (like myself) will have to give him a pass on that last one, but only because he has great stances on the issues and would make a fine Representative.

McCamley’s Republican opponents will surely be ensnarled in a costly and bitter primary.  The Republicans see this as a safe Republican seat; but last election, it took an incumbent Republican (Pearce) a ten-to-one money advantage to reach 60 percent against an underfunded and unknown Democratic opponent.  This seat isn’t outside the realm of possibility, and if anyone can deliver it, it would be McCamley.

The Third Congressional District is a bit more muddled.  It’s a problem that most districts in the country would love to have: too many great progressive candidates any one of which can win the general.  So instead of asking people to donate to one progressive candidate in the primary, we ask that money be donated to the NM-03 Democratic Nominee Fund.  The money raised for this will go to the eventual Democratic nominee after the June 3 primary elections.

So once again, please donate to some great Democratic candidates and show  Dick Cheney and Karl Rove that they can’t decide who wins elections by top dollar fundraisers.

Speaker of the House Ben Lujan (D) says he will support easier ballot access once again according to Heath Haussamen.

“Yeah, I will support any possible way of getting more people to be able to participate in the process,” Lujan said. “The more the merrier.”

This is an about-face from previously when Lujan only grudgingly admitted it might be needed; when he said he would instead push for an “instant run-off”, and then only if no candidate received the 20 percent support necessary.

More under the fold.

Originally posted at New Mexico FBIHOP

Now, after political pressure from all sides, Lujan seems to be changing his tune a bit.  This change by Lujan just ahead of the January 15 start to the Legislative Session may be because of a potential backlash against his son, Ben Ray Lujan (D).  Ben Ray is running for Congress in the Third Congressional District, and is currently viewed as the frontrunner.  Because of that, he may be the one with the most to gain from less people on the primary ballot.

There is an additional hurdle to jump, however.  To implement such a bill before the June pre-primary nominating conventions, the bill would need to receive at least two-thirds of the votes in both the state House and Senate.  This is because it would be an emergency clause.

This is doable, however, because of broad bipartisan support for such a measure.  In the Senate, both party leaders support such a bill.  This is because the new rule could effect both Republicans and Democrats in the coming elections — Democrats in the Third Congressional District and Republicans in the Second Congressional District.

Lujan deciding to support such legislation should help.  Without the support of the the Speaker of the House, a bill has virtually no chance of being heard let alone passing.

• LA-04: Former Shreveport Mayor Keith Hightower (D) is taking a hard look at the open seat of retiring GOP Rep. Jim McCrery:

  Hightower said he is “trying to look at the lay of the land” before making a decision.

  One thing that may be in his favor, he said, is that Democratic candidates have an advantage in 2008 because Congress is under Democratic control.

  “Part of the reason McCrery is getting out is that he was on the down side. But I would be on the up side,” Hightower said.

  A Hightower candidacy would force Republicans to sweat a little in this R+6.5 district.  Could they afford to play defense in this district and in LA-06, where state Rep. Don Cazayoux (D) will challenge what is likely going to turn into an open seat?

• AZ-08: Should Democrats start worrying about the seat of frosh Rep. Gabby Giffords?  A Summit Group poll conducted 12/3-4 for AZ state Senate President Tim Bee (R) shows Giffords under 40%:
  

  Gabrielle Giffords (D-inc): 36%
  
  Tim Bee (R): 30%
  
  (MoE: 5%)

  Bee has yet to make his candidacy official (he’s still in the “exploratory phase”), but with results like these, you can bet that he’ll be entering the race in the near future.

• IN-07: Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels has set a date for the special election to replace the late Rep. Julia Carson: March 11.  Democrats will caucus this Saturday to choose the nominee for the special election, and a contested primary will happen in May to determine the November nominee.  While Carson’s grandson, Indianapolis city councilor Andre Carson, is looking like the front runner for the caucus nomination, some are speculating that we could see a different cast of characters contest the May primary.




• NM-03: NM FBIHOP brings the news that Carol Miller, the same spoiler who caused Republicans to win a 1997 special election for the seat now held by Tom Udall, is running again.  However, I haven’t been able to find this story in other media yet. UPDATE: Link to sub. only ABQ Journal story.




• IL-14: The fists are flying in the GOP primary to replace Dennis Hastert.




• CT-05: Chris Murphy tells it like it is: “I think it’s hard to justify that Senator Lieberman is a member of the Democratic Party any longer.”

  The early makings of a 2012 Senate campaign, perhaps?  We can only hope…

After the announcement of Martin Chavez’ departure, to start the weekend, it only seemed fitting to end the weekend with another rundown of just who is running for the House and Senate in 2008.  With all a Senate seat up for grabs along with all three House seats, it promises to be an exciting year in New Mexico politics.

The primaries will be held on June 3rd for all these races, but the preprimary nominating conventions will be held March 15.  It is at the preprimary nominating convention where the candidates attempt to get on their party’s ballot for the primary.

We’ll start with the big race, where it looks like the field is set — though that’s what I said last month and we’ve had a big change since then.

Senate

For the Democrats, the clear frontrunner is Tom Udall, who only gained more momentum when Martin Chavez dropped out of the race.  Also in the race is alternative magazine publisher Leland Lehrman who is running a campaign from the far-left.

On the Republican side of things, it is Representative Steve Pearce against Representative Heather Wilson.  Both are, like Udall, giving up their House seats to take a run at being a US Senator.  

There is an Independent in the race, Zach Boatman, a teacher at Santa Fe High School.

First Congressional District

The First Congressional District seat is in central New Mexico and serves Albuquerque. It has been held by Republicans since the state received a third Congressional District in 1969.  The seat has been held by Republican Heather Wilson since 1998.  Wilson has been rocked by scandals, but is now running for the open Senate seat (above).  The district has a PVI of D+2.4.

The Democrats in the race are led by Martin Heinrich, with Michelle Lujan-Grisham a step below the former Albuquerque city councilor.  Two lesser-tier challengers are also in the race, Jon Adams and Jason Call.

Prominent author Alisa Valdez-Rodgriguez is also considering a run at the seat.

For Republicans, the former Bernalillo County Bush/Cheney campaign chairman and sheriff Darren White is the frontrunner, followed by the, shall we say, outspoken state Sen. Joe Carraro.  

Also considering the race, though it looks increasingly less-likely she will enter with each passing day, is Janice Arnold-Jones.

Second Congressional District

New Mexico’s Second Congressional District encompasses much of New Mexico south of I-40, including the cities of Las Cruces, Roswell, Carlsbad, Hobbs and Socorro.  The seat has been in the hands of Republicans since 1981 and Rep. Steve Pearce has held the seat since 2003.  Pearce is running for the Senate seat (above).  The district’s PVI is R+5.7.

For Democrats, the crowded field of challengers is led by State Rep. Joseph Cervantes, who had been mentioned as a possible challenger to Pearce for previous cycles.  Also in the race are Doña Ana County Commissioner Bill McCamley and former Lea County commissioner Harry Teague. Retired Roswell school teacher Frank McKinnon and Presbyterian minister Al Kissling round out the field of official entrants in the race; the last two will have a tough time reaching the 20 percent number at the preprimary convention.

Two Democrats still have not made a decision on running; State Sen. John Arthur Smith and State Rep. Jeff Steinborn.

For Republicans, this is a chance of a lifetime; it is a seat that is solidly Republican and has been held by a far-right Republican for years.  Former Bernalillo County GOP executive director Bob Cornelius, rancher Aubrey L. Dunn Jr. and businessman Ed Tinsley have all officially thrown their hat in the ring for the Republican nomination.  

The Republicans who have been reported to be considering taking a run at the seat are Domenici staffer Clint Chandler, Sierra County GOP chair C. Earl Greer and former state representative Terry Marquardt.  No matter what, this looks to be a crowded primary race on both sides.

Third Congressional District

New Mexico’s Third Congressional District came into existence in 1983 and has been held by Democrats ever since then except for a term from 1997-1999.  The district covers most of Northern New Mexico, including Santa Fe, most of Rio Rancho, Taos and Farmington.  Rep. Tom Udall has held this seat since 1999 and is leaving the seat to run for Senate (above).  The PVI for the district is D+5.5.

This is the seat most friendly to Democrats in the state, and is considered a “safe Democrat hold” by all political observers.  In the race so far are Santa Fe green developer Don Wiviott, Santa Fe County commissioner Harry Montoya and  secretary for the state’s Indian Affairs Department Benny Shendo Jr.  

But the big name in the room is a Democrat who is still officially in the “consideration” stages — Public Regulation Commission chairman Ben Ray Lujan.  Lujan’s father is Ben Lujan, the Speaker of the state House.  Also considering are Santa Fe County sheriff Greg Solano and former state Rep. Patsy Trujillo.

As of yet, no Republicans have officially entered the race to be the sacrificial lamb to take on whichever Democrat wins the nomination.  But considering are LANL engineer Ron Dolin, and state Rep. Brian Moore.  Dolin lost to Udall by an incredible margin in 2006.

With Tom Udall entering the race for the open Senate seat of the retiring Pete Domenici, there is yet another open House seat in New Mexico.  And Santa Fe green developer Don Wiviott is going to switch his campaign over from the Senate race to the race for the now-open Third Congressional District seat.

Democracy for New Mexico first reported on the change, saying, “Don intends to seriously explore running for Congress in NM-03.”  Later yesterday, Heath Haussamen got a quote from Wiviott saying he would officially change over to the House race.

Read what he had to say under the fold.  Crossposted at New Mexico FBIHOP.

Wiviott said Udall is a friend, in addition to being his congressman. He will defer to him in the Senate race, but said he plans, in running for Udall’s House seat, to stay in the fight to end the Iraq war, protect the environment and improve the education system.

Wiviott loaned himself $400,000 and raised an additional $137,189, so he will enter the House race with a significant amount of campaign cash to play with.  It will be some time before we find out exactly who will oppose Wiviott.  We know, however, that state Rep. Peter Wirth will not seek the job.

As for the Democratic side of the Senate race, Jim Hannan said immediately following Domenici’s retirement a month ago he would drop out of the race if Udall stepped in.  But Albuquerque Mayor Martin Chavez and Mother Media editor Leland Lehrman both vowed to stay in the race for the US Senate seat.

Chavez’s campaign manager was confident in Chavez despite the Udall entry into the race.

Chavez’s campaign manager Mark Fleisher said today that the mayor believes he absolutely can beat Udall. Fleisher says the mayor is known around the state probably as well as Udall.

Udall and Chavez’ opponent Lehrman issued a press release explaining why he would not back off his run for Senate:

Although his votes on the environment and civil liberties make us all proud, his Washingtonian willingness to avoid tough issues means that he cannot be trusted with the leadership role a US Senator must take.

One example Lehrman gave was Udall’s vote to table a bill which would start impeachment hearings on Vice President Dick Cheney, a proposal set forth by Dennis Kucinich.

Heath Haussamen, who by now should be a household name among political junkies, again has the goods on Don Wiviott, a developer who had been running a longshot bid for Senate for a good portion of the year:

Wiviott said Udall is a friend, in addition to being his congressman. He will defer to him in the Senate race, but said he plans, in running for Udall’s House seat, to stay in the fight to end the Iraq war, protect the environment and improve the education system.

“You have to have the courage of your convictions. That’s why I started in this. That’s why I remain in it,” Wiviott said. “I’m committed to either raise or spend whatever it takes to win (the House race).”

Wiviott will be joining a potentially crowded field for the nomination for the Dem-leaning seat.  Other names mentioned as possible candidates include Santa Fe County Commissioner Harry Montoya, Sheriff Greg Solano, State Auditor Hector Balderas, ex-state Rep. Patsy Trujillo, Espanola Mayor Joseph Maestas, state Public Regulation Commissioner Ben Ray Lujan, and New Mexico Highlands Regent Javier Gonzales.

That’s a long list of possibilities.  Whatever the case, the next nominee for this D+5.5 district should be suitably progressive.  While I was never convinced that Wiviott, a political neophyte, had the necessary gravitas for the Senate race, he’ll deserve a long look — along with the other candidates — for the House nomination.

Race Tracker: NM-03

Ladies and gentlemen, we now have a progressive candidate in the New Mexico Senate race that we can be proud of.  From Heath Haussamen:

U.S. Rep. Tom Udall, D-N.M., has decided that he will run for the Senate seat being vacated by Pete Domenici next year.

Udall has called a number of Democratic Party insiders this week, including at least some county party chairs, to inform them of his decision, reliable sources confirmed. A Udall spokesperson could not be reached for comment.

The early polls show Udall dominating his potential GOP foes: fellow Reps. Heather Wilson and Steve Pearce.  It looks like we will not only have a solid progressive in the race, but we’ll have the most “electable” candidate of either party’s current field, as well.

This is a huge coup for the folks over at Draft Udall.  Give it up, folks!

Maybe Tom Udall isn’t going to be running for Senate against Pete Domenici in 2008.  What makes me say that is his latest campaign fundraising numbers.  Sure, the numbers look good.  Udall has $712,941 cash on hand after the end of the first quarter.

But when you begin the quarter with $712,873, it’s not all that impressive.  In other words, he netted something under $100 for his fundraising efforts.  Udall raised just $1600 in the first quarter.  I could go on and on on the numbers (the number of “other income” which includes interest and dividends is nearly four times that of the money he raised), but I think you get the point.

More under the fold.  Crossposted at New Mexico FBIHOP.

This doesn’t look like someone gearing up for an intense Senate run against an incumbent of over thirty years. It looks like a safe incumbent who is willing to stay in the position he is at.

Sure, Udall has more cash on hand than Domenici, but if Udall was serious about going after Domenici — or of even scaring Domenici into retirement — he would have been out trying to put up a big number.  Raising $300,000 would have put Udall at twice the amount of money Domenici has at this point.

I’m disappointed that Udall looks to not be interested in running for Senate.  I’m just not sure which credible New Mexico Democrat will step up to the plate to take on Domenici.