How about an online poll about which Senate races are likely to flip in 2010?

After reading the “cattle call,” which is sort of interminable and starts to make my eyes glaze over, I thought, why not have a poll that would aggregate our guesses together and determine which races we (collectively) think are most likely to flip?

Here is such a poll:

http://www.cs.cornell.edu/w8/~…

Go vote if you’re interested!  I’ll leave it open for a couple of weeks.

If this gets popular, then maybe some of the organizers of this site should look into doing it as a regular thing.

FYI for voting rule nerds: this poll uses Condorcet rules, which tend to be good for rank-orderings like this.  In effect, the poll asks whether more people rate X more highly than Y, or Y more highly than X.  It’s slightly more complicated than that, but not much.

If you ever want to use this service to create polls like this, here’s the URL:

http://www.cs.cornell.edu/andr…

It’s pretty quick & easy.  And the results are far more detailed & useful than the kind of simple add-up-the-numbers-and-who-wins type of polling tools that you usually see (one of which I think is built in on this site…)

UPDATE: Hey, I see a few people have already taken the poll.  Thanks!  This should be interesting…