FL-05: A challenger emerges

Well it looks like we have got ourselves a candidate for the 5th district in western/northwestern Florida.

http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmsp…

This is probably the area of Florida I know the least. All I know is that the 5th was represented by a Democrat until 2002 and then Republicans changed the district to get rid of her and McCain received 56 percent of the vote here so it will be a tough race. The guy running has an interesting story to say the least (he introduced Joe Biden as John McCain at a rally??)

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v…

29 thoughts on “FL-05: A challenger emerges”

  1. now the chairman of the State Democratic Party, or at least she was. They took all the black areas of Jackson, which she used to represent, out and gave her more republcian territory in a Republican year and she still just narrowly lost to then State Senator Ginny Waite-Brown.

  2. Hmm, what IS my watchlist?  I don’t think I’ve even made it.  What a good time to start.

    My House watchlist, for now (please correct and suggest entries): Races not in parentheses have confirmed challengers.

    * (AK-AL) need a challenger here!  will Ethan Berkowitz take another shot?  (on Young)

    * WA-08: Suzan DelBene vs. Dave Reichert  (likely R until I see otherwise)

    * CA-03: Bill Durston vs. Dan Lungren

    * (CA-26) need a challenger here!  (David Dreier)

    * CA-44: Bill Hedrick vs. Ken Calvert

    * (CA-46) need a challenger here!  (Dana Rohrabacher)

    * CA-48: Beth Krom vs. John Campbell

    * CA-50: Francine Busby vs. Brian Bilbray  (likely R until I see otherwise)

    * (NV-02) do we have a challenger here yet, in this rapidly blueing district?  (Dean Heller)

    * ID-01: Walt Minnick (freshman defense)

    * (WY-AL) need a challenger here!  though it’s unlikely we can do much without Trauner running…  (Cynthia Lummis)

    * UT-02: Jim Matheson (non-freshman defense)

    * (MT-AL) need a challenger here!  how unbeatable is Rehberg?  (Dennis Rehberg)

    * CO-04: Betsy Markey (freshman defense)

    * AZ-01: Ann Kirkpatrick (freshman defense)

    * NM-02: Harry Teague (freshman defense)

    * TX-10: Jack McDonald vs. Mike McCaul

    * TX-17: Chet Edwards (non-freshman defense)

    * (TX-22) need a challenger here!  though I doubt we’ll ever have a shot at this district unless it’s changed…  (Pete Olsen)

    * TX-23: Ciro Rodriguez (non-freshman defense) (won 55-41; not the best numbers)

    * (OK-05) need a challenger here!  will Andrew Rice try for this seat after getting in over his head trying to go after Inhofe?  (open (Mary Fallin))

    * (KS-02) need a challenger here!  another run for Boyda?  (Lynn Jenkins)

    * (NE-02) need a challenger here!  those voters can’t vote for Obama and Terry together anymore…  (Lee Terry)

    * SD-AL: open (open defense) if Herseth-Sandlin goes for Gov or Sen

    * (MN-02) need a challenger here!  (John Kline)

    * (MN-03) need a challenger here!  (Erik Paulsen)

    * (MN-06) do we have a challenger here yet, who can finally beat Bachmann?

    * (IA-04) need a challenger here!  Becky Greenwald?  (Tom Latham, the sane one in the very blue district)

    * (IA-05) need a challenger here!  Rob Hubler?  (Steve King, the crazy one)

    * (MO-06) need a challenger here!  (Sam Graves)

    * (MO-09) need a challenger here!  (Blaine Luetkemeyer)

    * (LA-02) WTF LOLOLOLOLOLOLOL  (Joe Cao)

    * (LA-04) need a challenger here!  (John Fleming)

    * (LA-06) need a challenger here!  (Bill Cassidy)

    * Wiconsin?  Wisconsin?  no?

    * MI-07: Mark Schauer (freshman defense)

    * (MI-08) need a challenger here!  (Mike J. Rogers)

    * MI-09: Gary Peters (freshman defense)

    * (MI-11) need a challenger here!  (Thad McCotter)

    * (IL-06) need a challenger here!  (Pete Roskam)

    * (IL-10) need a challenger here!  another perennially challenged seat (Mark Kirk)

    * (IL-13) need a challenger here!  (Judy Biggert)

    * (IL-18) need a challenger here!  we might want to knock off Schock before he gets entrenched.

    * IN-02: Joe Donnelly (non-freshman defense, to cement him for 2012)

    * (IN-03) need a challenger here!  (Mark Souder)

    * (IN-04) need a challenger here!  (Steve Buyer)

    * (IN-06) need a challenger here!  (Mike Pence)

    * OH-01: Steve Driehaus (freshman defense)

    * (OH-02) need a challenger here!  we should really keep one on call in case Schmidt starts shooting her mouth off, though she seems to have more self-control than Bachmann (Jean Schmidt)

    * (OH-12) need a challenger here!  (Pat Tiberi)

    * OH-15: Mary Jo Kilroy (freshman defense)

    * (MS-03) need a challenger here!  though, better question may be, do we have any chance of knocking off Harper?  (Gregg Harper)

    * AL-02: Bobby Bright (freshman defense)

    * AL-03: Josh Segall vs. Mike D. Rogers

    * AL-05: Parker Griffith (freshman defense)

    * GA-08: Jim Marshall (non-freshman defense)

    * GA-12: John Barrow (non-freshman defense)

    * FL-05: Jim Piccillo vs. Ginny Brown-Waite  (Piccillo looks to be this cycle’s double-double-letter candidate!)

    * FL-10: Charlie Justice vs. C. W. “Bill” Young  (the battle of the awesome names?)

    * (FL-13) need a challenger here!

    * (FL-16) do we have a challenger here yet, before Rooney gets entrenched?

    * (FL-18) need a challenger here!  (Ileana Ros-Lehtinen)

    * (FL-21) need a challenger here!  (Lincoln Diaz-Balart)

    * FL-22: Ron Klein (non-freshman defense)

    * (FL-25) need a challenger here!  (Mario Diaz-Balart)

    * (SC-01) need a challenger here!  will Ketner try again?  (Henry Brown)

    * (SC-02) need a challenger here!  will Rob Miller try again?  (Joe Wilson)

    * (SC-03) need a challenger here!  (open (J. Gresham Barrett))

    * VA-02: Glenn Nye (freshman defense)

    * VA-05: Tom Perriello (freshman defense)

    * (VA-10) need a challenger here!  Judy Feder?  (Frank Wolf)

    * MD-01: Frank Kratovil (freshman defense)

    * (MD-06) need a challenger here!  (Roscoe Bartlett)

    * DE-AL: Chris John Carney vs. Mike Castle

    * (WV-02) need a challenger here!  Anne Barth?  (Shelley Moore Capito)

    * PA-03: Kathy Dahlkemper (freshman defense)

    * (PA-05) need a challenger here!  Mark McCracken?  (Glenn Thompson)

    * (PA-06) yet another tantalizingly competitive seat!  (Jim Gerlach)

    * PA-08: Patrick Murphy (non-freshman defense)

    * PA-10: Chris Carney (non-freshman defense)

    * PA-11: Paul Kanjorski (non-freshman defense)

    * PA-12: John Murtha (non-freshman defense)

    * (PA-15) need a challenger here!  Siobhan “Sam” Bennett?  (Charlie Dent)

    * NJ-03: John Adler (freshman defense)

    * (NJ-04) need a challenger here!  do we have any hope of winning here? (Chris Smith)

    * (NJ-05) need a challenger here!  (Scott Garrett)

    * (NJ-07) need a challenger here!  (Leonard Lance)

    * NY-20: (most likely) Scott Murphy (freshman defense)

    * NY-24: Mike Arcuri (non-freshman defense)

    * NY-25: Dan Maffei (freshman defense)

    * (NY-26) need a challenger here!  (get out, Jack Davis)  (Chris Lee)

    * NY-29: Eric Massa (freshman defense)

    * CT-04: Jim Himes (freshman defense)

    * NH-01: Carol Shea-Porter (non-freshman defense)

  3. 55-41 is a good margin to win by in that district for any Dem, much less a very liberal Dem like Ciro.  It’s still a slightly repub-leaning district if anything.

    1. Let’s not go crazy now.  We’ll probably win those deep red suburban GOP Georgia districts before we ever have a chance at FL-01.

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